Oil Consumption and Growth: Panel Data Analysis on OECD Countries

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 17 Sayı: 4, 1574 - 1585, 27.09.2018

Tuncer Gövdeli , Tuba Direkçi

https://doi.org/10.21547/jss.422685

Cited By: 3

Öz

In this study, the
relationship between oil consumption and economic growth has been analyzed for
28 OECD countries which is covering the years 1980 to 2013. Firstly, cross section
dependence among countries is examined. Due to the findings in the cross
section dependency unit root test and cointegration test must be the second
generation tests. For this reason, we used second generation unit root test (Pesaran
CADF (2007)) and cointegration test (Westerlund Durbin-H (2008)). The result
was found long run relationship between oil consumption and economic growth. At
the end of the study, the long term cointegration coefficients were estimated with
Common Correlated Effect (CCE). In the results obtained, the coefficient of
elasticity is found to be 0.279, so that oil consumption affects economic
growth positively.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Oil consumption, Economic growth, Panel data analysis, OECD

Petrol Tüketimi ve Büyüme: OECD Ülkelerine İlişkin Panel Veri Analizi

Öz

Çalışmada petrol tüketimi ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki 1980 ile 2013 yıllarını
kapsayacak şekilde 28 OECD ülke için analiz edilmiştir. Öncelikle ülkeler
arasında yatay kesit bağımlılığı incelenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgularda yatay
kesit bağımlılığı olmasından dolayı birim kök testi ve eşbütünleşme testlerinin
ikinci nesil test olması gerekmektedir. Bu nedenle ikinci
nesil birim kök testiyle (Pesaran CADF (2007)) eşbütünleşme testi (Westerlund
Durbin-H (2008)) kullanılmıştır. Ortaya çıkan sonuçlarda petrol tüketimi ile
ekonomik büyüme arasında eşbütünleşme ilişkisi bulunmuştur. Çalışmanın son
aşamasında ise uzun dönem eşbütünleşme katsayılarının tahmini Common Correlated
Effect (CCE) yardımıyla tahmin edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlarda, esneklik
katsayısı 0.279 olarak bulunmuştur, böylece petrol tüketimi ekonomik büyümeyi
olumlu yönde etkilemektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Petrol tüketimi, Ekonomik büyüme, Panel veri analizi, OECD

Kaynakça

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