Gelecek-11 Ülkelerinde İhracat ve Büyüme İlişkisi: Bootstrap Granger Nedensellik Analizi

Öz

Büyüme ve büyümenin kaynakları iktisat yazınında en çok araştırılan konuların başında gelmektedir. Büyümenin kaynakları arasında ihracat, ithalat, üretim, yatırım gibi faktörler yer almaktadır. Bu faktörler arasında en etkili aracın ihracat olduğu yönünde birçok ampirik çalışma bulunmaktadır. İhracata dayalı büyüme hipotezi olarak ifade edilen yaklaşıma göre ihracatın artışı büyümeyi pozitif yönde etkilemekte ve büyümenin sürdürülebilir olmasına destek olmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, Gelecek-11 ülkeleri için 1989-2017 yılları arasında ihracat ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki Bootstrap Granger Nedensellik analiziyle tahmin edilmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre iki ülkede ihracata dayalı büyüme hipotezi kabul edilmiştir. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

• İhracat,Ekonomik Büyüme

Kaynakça

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