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GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ

Yıl 2014, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 33, 0 - , 01.06.2014
https://doi.org/10.19168/jyu.47923

Öz

The aim of this study is to test the existence of day of the month effect at Istanbul, Bovespa, Merval , Shanghai and Sensex stock markets whether investors have chance to benefit from these abnormal returns. In the study, emerging markets from Asia-Pacific and America are chosen and results are compared to Turkish stock index. Daily percentage returns of each market are calculated starting from the first transaction day to the December 31, 2012. 31 hypotheses for each of five markets are tested by using Z statistics. Results show that positive and negative abnormal returns exist at all of the five stock markets.

Kaynakça

  • Ariel, R.A. (1987). A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 18: 161-174.
  • Apolinario R.M.C., Santana O.M., Sales L.J, Caro, A.R. (2006). Day of the Week Effect on European Stock Markets. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 2: 53-70.
  • Brooks, C., Persant, G. (2001). Seasonality in Southeast Asian Stock Markets: Some New Evidence on Day-Of-The Week Effects. Applied Economics Letters, 8: 155 -158.
  • Boudreaux, D.O. (1995). The Monthly Effect in International Stock Markets: Evidence and Implications. Journal Of Financial and Strategic Decisions, 8 (1) : 15-20.
  • Basher, S. A., Sadorsky, P. (2006). Day-Of-The-Week Effects In Emerging Stock Markets. Applied Economics Letters, 13: 621–628.
  • Chen, H., Chua, A. (2011). The Turn of the Month Anomaly in the Age of ETFs: A Reexamination of Return Enhancement Strategies. Journal of Financial Planning, 24(4): 62-67.
  • Chong, R., Hudson, R., Keasey, K., Littler, K. (2005). Pre-Holiday Effects: International Evidence on the Decline and Reversal of a Stock Market Anomaly. Journal of International Money and Finance, 24: 1226-1236.
  • Coutts, A.J.,Sheikh, M. A. (2000). The January Effect and Monthly Seasonality in the All Gold Index on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange 1987-1999. Applied Economics Letter. 7: 489-492.
  • Chan, M. W. L., Khanthavit, A., Thomas, H. (1996). Seasonality and Cultural Influences on Four Asian Stock Markets. Asia Pacific Journal of Management, 13 (2): 1-24.
  • Cheung, K.C., Coutts, A. J. (1999). The January Effect and Monthly Seasonality in the Hang Seng Index: 1985- Applied Economics Letter. 5: 121-123.
  • Choudhry, T. (2001). Month of the Year Effect and January Effect in Pre-WWI Stock Returns: Evidence from a Non-linear Garch Model. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 6: 1-11.
  • Desai, J., Trivedi, A. (2012). A Survey of the Month Effect in World Stock Markets. Shri Chimanbhai Patel Institutes, Ahmedabad, Working Paper No: CPI/ MBA/ 2012/ 0003: 1-14.
  • Fama, E.F., (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory & Empirical Work. Journal of Finance, 25: 383-417.
  • Gultekin M; Gultekin N. (1983). Stock Market Seasonality: International Evidence. Journal of Finance Economics, 12: 469–481.
  • Hensel, C.R.,William T. Z. (1996). Investment Results from Exploiting Turn-of-the-Month Effects. Journal of Portfolio Management, 22: 17–23.
  • Haug, M., Hirschey, M. (2006). The January Effect. Financial Analysts Journal, 62 (5): 78-88.
  • Kim, C., Park, J., (1994). Holiday Effects and Stock Returns: Further Evidence. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 29 (1): 145-157.
  • Kiymaz, H., Berument, H. (2003). The Day of the Week Effect on Stock Market Volatility and Volume: International Evidence. Review of Financial Economics, 12: 363-380.
  • Kunkel, R. A., Compton, W.S. (1998). A Tax-Free Exploitation of the Turn-of-the-Month Effect: C.R.E.F. Financial Services Review, 7: 11–23.
  • Lian, K.K., Chen, W.Y. (2004). Seasonal Anomalies of Stocks in Asian Equity Markets. Sunway College Journal, 1: 1-11.
  • Maghayereh, A. (2003). Seasonality and January Effect Anomalies in an Emerging Capital Markets. The Arab Bank Review, 5 (2): 25-32.
  • Nawaz, S., Mirza N. (2012). Calendar Anomalies and Stock Returns: A Literature Survey. Journal of Basic and Applied Scientific Research, 2(12): 12321-12329.
  • Rozeff, M.S., Kinney, W.R. (1976). Capital Market Seasonality: The Case of Stock Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 3 (4): 399-426.
  • Seyhun, H. N. (1993). Can Omitted Risk Factors Explain the January Effect? A Stochastic Dominance Approach. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 28: 195–212.
  • Wachtel, S. B. (1942). Certain Observations On Seasonal Movements In Stock Markets. The Journal of Business of Chicago, 15 (2): 184-193.
  • Wong, W., Agarwal, A., Wong, N. (2006). The Disappearing Calendar Anomalies in the Singapore Stock Market. The Lahore Journal of Economics, 11 (2): 123-139.

GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ

Yıl 2014, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 33, 0 - , 01.06.2014
https://doi.org/10.19168/jyu.47923

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı İstanbul, Bovespa, Merval, Shanghai ve Sensex hisse senedi piyasalarında ayin gün etkisinin varlığını ve yatırımcıların bu yüksek getirilerden fayda sağlama şansının olup olmadığını araştırmaktır. Çalışmada Asya – Pasifik’ ten ve Amerika’ dan gelişmekte olan piyasalar seçilmiş ve sonuçlar Türk hisse senedi endeksi ile karşılaştırılmıştır. Her piyasaya ait günlük getiriler, endekslerin işlem görmeye başladığı tarihten 31 Aralık 2012 tarihine kadar hesaplanmıştır. Beş endekse ait 31 hipotez Z istatistiği kullanılarak test edilmiştir. Bulgular beş hisse senedi piyasasında da negatif ve pozitif normal olmayan getirilerin varlığını göstermektedir.

Kaynakça

  • Ariel, R.A. (1987). A Monthly Effect in Stock Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 18: 161-174.
  • Apolinario R.M.C., Santana O.M., Sales L.J, Caro, A.R. (2006). Day of the Week Effect on European Stock Markets. International Research Journal of Finance and Economics, 2: 53-70.
  • Brooks, C., Persant, G. (2001). Seasonality in Southeast Asian Stock Markets: Some New Evidence on Day-Of-The Week Effects. Applied Economics Letters, 8: 155 -158.
  • Boudreaux, D.O. (1995). The Monthly Effect in International Stock Markets: Evidence and Implications. Journal Of Financial and Strategic Decisions, 8 (1) : 15-20.
  • Basher, S. A., Sadorsky, P. (2006). Day-Of-The-Week Effects In Emerging Stock Markets. Applied Economics Letters, 13: 621–628.
  • Chen, H., Chua, A. (2011). The Turn of the Month Anomaly in the Age of ETFs: A Reexamination of Return Enhancement Strategies. Journal of Financial Planning, 24(4): 62-67.
  • Chong, R., Hudson, R., Keasey, K., Littler, K. (2005). Pre-Holiday Effects: International Evidence on the Decline and Reversal of a Stock Market Anomaly. Journal of International Money and Finance, 24: 1226-1236.
  • Coutts, A.J.,Sheikh, M. A. (2000). The January Effect and Monthly Seasonality in the All Gold Index on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange 1987-1999. Applied Economics Letter. 7: 489-492.
  • Chan, M. W. L., Khanthavit, A., Thomas, H. (1996). Seasonality and Cultural Influences on Four Asian Stock Markets. Asia Pacific Journal of Management, 13 (2): 1-24.
  • Cheung, K.C., Coutts, A. J. (1999). The January Effect and Monthly Seasonality in the Hang Seng Index: 1985- Applied Economics Letter. 5: 121-123.
  • Choudhry, T. (2001). Month of the Year Effect and January Effect in Pre-WWI Stock Returns: Evidence from a Non-linear Garch Model. International Journal of Finance and Economics, 6: 1-11.
  • Desai, J., Trivedi, A. (2012). A Survey of the Month Effect in World Stock Markets. Shri Chimanbhai Patel Institutes, Ahmedabad, Working Paper No: CPI/ MBA/ 2012/ 0003: 1-14.
  • Fama, E.F., (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory & Empirical Work. Journal of Finance, 25: 383-417.
  • Gultekin M; Gultekin N. (1983). Stock Market Seasonality: International Evidence. Journal of Finance Economics, 12: 469–481.
  • Hensel, C.R.,William T. Z. (1996). Investment Results from Exploiting Turn-of-the-Month Effects. Journal of Portfolio Management, 22: 17–23.
  • Haug, M., Hirschey, M. (2006). The January Effect. Financial Analysts Journal, 62 (5): 78-88.
  • Kim, C., Park, J., (1994). Holiday Effects and Stock Returns: Further Evidence. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 29 (1): 145-157.
  • Kiymaz, H., Berument, H. (2003). The Day of the Week Effect on Stock Market Volatility and Volume: International Evidence. Review of Financial Economics, 12: 363-380.
  • Kunkel, R. A., Compton, W.S. (1998). A Tax-Free Exploitation of the Turn-of-the-Month Effect: C.R.E.F. Financial Services Review, 7: 11–23.
  • Lian, K.K., Chen, W.Y. (2004). Seasonal Anomalies of Stocks in Asian Equity Markets. Sunway College Journal, 1: 1-11.
  • Maghayereh, A. (2003). Seasonality and January Effect Anomalies in an Emerging Capital Markets. The Arab Bank Review, 5 (2): 25-32.
  • Nawaz, S., Mirza N. (2012). Calendar Anomalies and Stock Returns: A Literature Survey. Journal of Basic and Applied Scientific Research, 2(12): 12321-12329.
  • Rozeff, M.S., Kinney, W.R. (1976). Capital Market Seasonality: The Case of Stock Returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 3 (4): 399-426.
  • Seyhun, H. N. (1993). Can Omitted Risk Factors Explain the January Effect? A Stochastic Dominance Approach. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 28: 195–212.
  • Wachtel, S. B. (1942). Certain Observations On Seasonal Movements In Stock Markets. The Journal of Business of Chicago, 15 (2): 184-193.
  • Wong, W., Agarwal, A., Wong, N. (2006). The Disappearing Calendar Anomalies in the Singapore Stock Market. The Lahore Journal of Economics, 11 (2): 123-139.
Toplam 26 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Sevinc Guler Bu kişi benim

Aysegul Cımen Bu kişi benim

Yayımlanma Tarihi 1 Haziran 2014
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2014 Cilt: 9 Sayı: 33

Kaynak Göster

APA Guler, S., & Cımen, A. (2014). GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, 9(33). https://doi.org/10.19168/jyu.47923
AMA Guler S, Cımen A. GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi. Haziran 2014;9(33). doi:10.19168/jyu.47923
Chicago Guler, Sevinc, ve Aysegul Cımen. “GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ”. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi 9, sy. 33 (Haziran 2014). https://doi.org/10.19168/jyu.47923.
EndNote Guler S, Cımen A (01 Haziran 2014) GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi 9 33
IEEE S. Guler ve A. Cımen, “GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ”, Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, c. 9, sy. 33, 2014, doi: 10.19168/jyu.47923.
ISNAD Guler, Sevinc - Cımen, Aysegul. “GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ”. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi 9/33 (Haziran 2014). https://doi.org/10.19168/jyu.47923.
JAMA Guler S, Cımen A. GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi. 2014;9. doi:10.19168/jyu.47923.
MLA Guler, Sevinc ve Aysegul Cımen. “GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ”. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi, c. 9, sy. 33, 2014, doi:10.19168/jyu.47923.
Vancouver Guler S, Cımen A. GELİŞMEKTE OLAN ÜLKELERDE AYIN GÜN ETKİSİ. Yaşar Üniversitesi E-Dergisi. 2014;9(33).