COVID-19'un Tüketici Çevrimiçi Satın Alma Davranışı Üzerindeki Etkisini Araştırmak için Yapay Zekadan Yararlanma: Konya İli Örneği
Yıl 2022,
Cilt: 1 Sayı: 1, 5 - 26, 25.02.2022
Kamola Bayram
,
Hüseyin Ergun
,
Yonis Gulzar
Hasan Basri Alım
Yasir Hamid
Öz
Bu makale, COVID-19 sağlık krizinin tüketicilerin çevrimiçi alışveriş davranışları üzerindeki etkisini ele almayı ve e-ticaret platformunun seçimine yönelik karar vermeyi etkileyen faktörlere odaklanmayı amaçlamaktadır. Çalışma, Konya Ticaret Odası’ndan çevrimiçi olarak uygulanan bir ankete verilen yanıtların yorumlanmasına dayanmaktadır. Kolaylık, popülerlik, aşinalık, faydalar ve şeffaflık açısından bir e-ticaret platformunu diğerine tercih etme sorunu ortaya çıkmaktadır. Çalışma aynı zamanda farklı nesillerin çevrimiçi alışveriş platformlarını, ürün öğelerini seçmeye yönelik davranışlarını ve katılımcıların yerel (Yalnızca Konya’dan) çevrimiçi perakendecileri destekleme istekliliğini etkileyen ana faktörleri de araştırmaktadır. Çalışma, yerel tedarikçilerden alışveriş yapma olasılığı en yüksek olası müşterileri bulmak ve belirlemek için yapay zeka tekniklerine işaret ediyor. Müşterilerin ülke çapındaki muadili yerine bölgesel olarak yerel tedarikçileri tercih etme olasılığını tahmin eden bir AI (Yapay Zeka) modeli geliştirilmiştir. Eğitimli model, test setinde 0,91 doğruluk bildirmiştir; bu, müşterinin verileri göz önüne alındığında, modelin insanların %91’inin yerel bir tedarikçiden satın almaya istekli olduğunu tahmin ettiği anlamına geliyor. Bu model, satışları artıran belirli bir zamanda belirli kişilere yönelik hedefli reklamlar için kullanılabilir. Araştırma betimsel bir araştırma yöntemini benimsemiş ve Konya Ticaret Odası üyeleri tarafından temsil edilen Konya’da yaşayan insanların tutumlarını betimlemeyi amaçlamaktadır.
Kaynakça
- A. J. Rohm and V. Swaminathan, A typology of online shoppers based on shopping motivations, Journal of Business Research, 57(7), 748-757, 2004.
- A. Rangaswami and S. Gupta, Innovation Adoption and Diffusion in the Digital Environments: Some Research Opportunities. In Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller, and Yoram Wind (Eds.), New Product Diffusion Models, New York: Springer, 2000.
- Accenture (2020). How COVID-19 Will Change Consumer Behavior https://www.accenture.com/_ acnmedia/PDF-134/Accenture-COVID19-Consumer-Behaviour-Survey-Research-PoV.pdf
- Ambrus A., Field E. and Gonzalez R., 2020. Loss in the time of cholera: long-run impact of a disease epidemic on the urban landscape. American Economic Review, 110(2), pp.475–525.
- Anderson, R.M., Heesterbeek, H., Klinkenberg, D. and Hollingsworth, T.D. (2020), “How will countrybased mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic?”, The Lancet, Vol. 395 No. 10228, pp. 931-934
- Arslan, A. (2009). Kriz yönetiminde liderlik. Akademik Bakış Uluslararası Hakemli Sosyal Bilimler E-Dergisi, 18, 179-190
- Baker, S.R., Farrokhnia, R. A., Meyer, S., Pagel, M. and Yannelis, C. (2020). “How does household spending respond to an epidemic? Consumption during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic”, NBER Working Paper Series Working Paper 26949 http://www.nber.org/papers/w26949
- Ballantine, P.W., Zafar, S. and Parsons, A.G. (2014), “Changes in retail shopping behaviour in the aftermath of an earthquake”, The International Review of Retail, Distribution and Consumer Research, Vol. 24 No. 1, pp. 1-13
- Bostan S, Erdem R, Öztürk YE, Kılıç T, Yılmaz A. (2020) The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Turkish Society. Electronic Journal of General Medicine Vol 17(6) https://doi.org/10.29333/ejgm/7944
- C. Lin and W. Lekhawipat, Factors affecting online repurchase intention, Industrial Management & Data Systems, 114(4), 597-611, 2014)
- D. Howland, The consumer after COVID-19, Retail Dive, April 8, 2020. [Online] https://www.retaildive. com/news/the-consumer-after-covid-19/575634/
- E.M. Rogers, Diffusion of Innovations, 3rd ed., London: The Free Press, 1983.
- Evans-Lacko S, Knapp M, McCrone P, Thornicroft G, Mojtabai R. The mental health consequences of the recession: economic hardship and employment of people with mental health problems in 27 European countries. PLoS One. 2013;8(7): e69792.
- Finsterwalder, J. and Grey, H. (2016), “Customer relationships and experiences during times of disaster: a case study of Ballantynes”, in Hall, C.M., Malinen, S., Vosslamber, R. and Wordsworth, R. (Eds), Business and Post-Disaster Management: Business, Organisational and Consumer Resilience and the Christchurch Earthquakes, Routledge, Abingdon, pp. 132-154.
- Gao X, Shi X, Guo H, Liu Y (2020) To buy or not buy food online: The impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on the adoption of e-commerce in China. PLoS ONE 15(8): e0237900. https://doi.org/ 10.1371/journal. pone.0237900
- Giorgi G, Arcangeli G, Mucci N, Cupelli V. Economic stress in workplace: the impact of fear the crisis on mental health. Work. 2015;51(1): 135–142. doi:10.3233/WOR-141844
- Grier, S.A. and Perry, V.G. (2018), “Dog parks and coffee shops: faux diversity and consumption in gentrifying neighborhoods”, Journal of Public Policy and Marketing, Vol. 37 No. 1, pp. 23-38.
- Hall, M.C., Prayag, G., Fieger, P., Dyason, D. (2020). Beyond panic buying consumption displacement and COVID-19. Journal of Service Management vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print 1757-5818 DOI 10.1108/JOSM-05-2020-0151
- Lanius R.A., Vermetten E. and Pain C., 2010. The impact of early life trauma on health and disease: The hidden epidemic. Cambridge, UK.
- Larson, L.R. and Shin, H. (2018), “Fear during natural disaster: its impact on perceptions of shopping convenience and shopping behavior”, Services Marketing Quarterly, Vol. 39 No. 4, pp. 293-309.
- Lee S, Guo WJ, Tsang A, et al. evidence for the 2008 economic crisis exacerbating depression in Hong Kong. J Affect Disord. 2010;126: 125–133.
- M. Wolfinbarger and M.C. Gilly, Shopping Online for Freedom, Control, and Fun, California Management Review, 43(2), 34-55, 2001.
- Morning Consult, Crosstabulation Results, National Tracking Poll #200394, March 26, 2020. [Online] https://morningconsult.com/wpcontent/uploads/2020/03/200394_crosstabs_CORONAVIRUS_ CONTENT_Adults_v4_J B-1.pdf
- Müftüoğlu, D. (2004). Ekonomik kriz dönemlerinde anlık alışveriş yapan tüketicileri planlı tüketicilerden ayıran özellikleri belirlemeye yönelik bir uygulama. Yüksek Lisans Tezi. Çukurova Üniversitesi, Adana.
- Narvaez D., Gleason T., Wang L., Brooks J., Lefever J.B., Cheng Y. and Centers for the Prevention of Child Neglect, 2013. The evolved development niche: Longitudinal effects of caregiving practices on early childhood psychosocial development. Early childhood research quarterly, 28(4), pp.759–773.
- Pal, R. and Bhadada, S.K. (2020), “Cash, currency and COVID-19”, Postgraduate Medical Journal, doi: 10.1136/postgradmedj-2020-138006.
- Pantano, E., Pizzi, G., Scarpi, D. and Dennis, C. (2020), “Competing during a pandemic? Retailers’ ups and downs during the COVID-19 outbreak”, Journal of Business Research, Vol. 116, pp. 209-213.
- Peck, H. (2006), Resilience in the Food Chain: A Study of Business Continuity Management in the Food and Drink Industry, Cranfield University, Shrivenham.
- R. Peres, E. Muller, and V. Mahajan, Innovation diffusion and new product growth models: A critical review and research directions, International Journal of Research in Marketing, 27, 91-106, 2010. R.Y.
- Kim, The influx of skeptics: an investigation of the diffusion cycle effect on online review, Electronic Markets, In press, 2020.
- Republic of Turkey Ministry of Trade (2020). Effects of COVID-19. E-commerce Knowledge Platform. https://eticaret.gov.tr/istatistikler
- Sar V., Taycan O., Bolat N., O¨ zmen M., Duran A., O¨ ztu¨rk E. et al., 2010. Childhood trauma and dissociation in schizophrenia. Psychopathology, 43(1), pp.33–40. https://doi.org/10.1159/000255961 PMID: 19893342
- Sheu, J.B. and Kuo, H.T. (2020), “Dual speculative hoarding: a wholesaler-retailer channel behavioral phenomenon behind potential natural hazard threats”, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Vol. 44, Art.101430.
- Statista (2020). Products and services people spend more than usual on due to the COVID-19 / coronavirus pandemic in the United States, United Kingdom and Germany 2020. Retrieved from: https://www.statista. com/statistics/1108088/products-and-services-people-spend-more-on-due-to-the-covid-19-pandemic/
- Ulutaş, S. (2010). Kriz yönetimi ve dönüşümcü liderlik. Yüksek Lisans Tezi. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi, İzmir.
- Wang JL, Smailes E, Sareen J, Fick GH, Schmitz N, Patten SB. The prevalence of mental disorders in the working population over the period of global economic crisis. Can Child Adolesc Psychiatr Rev. 2010;55(9): 598–605.
- Xuwen Gao, Xinjie ShiID*, Hongdong Guo, Yehong Liu (2020).
- Zukin, S., and Maguire, J.S. (2004). Consumers and Consumptions. Annual Review for Sociology, Vol. 30 No. 1, pp. 173-137.
- Demiralp, S. (2020). The economic impact of COVID-19 on Turkey. Available at: https://www.mei.edu/ publications/economic-impact-covid-19-turkey
- Mitchell, Tom M. “Machine learning.” (1997).
- Quinlan, J. Ross. “Induction of decision trees.” Machine learning 1.1 (1986): 81-106.
- Asuero, A. Garcia, Ana Sayago, and A. G. Gonzalez. “The correlation coefficient: An overview.” Critical reviews in analytical chemistry 36.1 (2006): 41-59.
Leveraging AI to Study the Impact of COVID-19 on Consumer Online Purchase Behaviour: A Study of Konya
Yıl 2022,
Cilt: 1 Sayı: 1, 5 - 26, 25.02.2022
Kamola Bayram
,
Hüseyin Ergun
,
Yonis Gulzar
Hasan Basri Alım
Yasir Hamid
Öz
The paper intends to address the impact of the COVID-19 crisis upon consumer online shopping behaviour, focusing on the factors that affect the decision making towards the choice of e-commerce platform. The study relies on interpreting answers received from the Konya Chamber of Commerce to a questionnaire applied online. The problem of choosing one e-commerce platform over another in terms of convenience, popularity, familiarity, benefits, and transparency is introduced. The study also investigates the main factors that influence different generations’ behaviour towards choosing the online shopping platforms, product items, and respondents’ willingness to support the local (Only from Konya) online retailers. The study implies AI techniques to find and identify the prospective customers most likely to shop from the local suppliers. An AI model has been developed that predicts the customers’ likelihood of preferring regionally local suppliers over the nationwide counterpart. The trained model reported an accuracy of 0.91 on the testing set, which means that given the customer’s data, the model predicts that 91% of the people are willing to buy from a local supplier. This model can be used for targeted advertisement for specific people at a specific time which improve the sales. The study adopts a descriptive research method and aims at describing the attitude of people living in Konya, represented by the members of the Konya Chamber of Commerce.
Kaynakça
- A. J. Rohm and V. Swaminathan, A typology of online shoppers based on shopping motivations, Journal of Business Research, 57(7), 748-757, 2004.
- A. Rangaswami and S. Gupta, Innovation Adoption and Diffusion in the Digital Environments: Some Research Opportunities. In Vijay Mahajan, Eitan Muller, and Yoram Wind (Eds.), New Product Diffusion Models, New York: Springer, 2000.
- Accenture (2020). How COVID-19 Will Change Consumer Behavior https://www.accenture.com/_ acnmedia/PDF-134/Accenture-COVID19-Consumer-Behaviour-Survey-Research-PoV.pdf
- Ambrus A., Field E. and Gonzalez R., 2020. Loss in the time of cholera: long-run impact of a disease epidemic on the urban landscape. American Economic Review, 110(2), pp.475–525.
- Anderson, R.M., Heesterbeek, H., Klinkenberg, D. and Hollingsworth, T.D. (2020), “How will countrybased mitigation measures influence the course of the COVID-19 epidemic?”, The Lancet, Vol. 395 No. 10228, pp. 931-934
- Arslan, A. (2009). Kriz yönetiminde liderlik. Akademik Bakış Uluslararası Hakemli Sosyal Bilimler E-Dergisi, 18, 179-190
- Baker, S.R., Farrokhnia, R. A., Meyer, S., Pagel, M. and Yannelis, C. (2020). “How does household spending respond to an epidemic? Consumption during the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic”, NBER Working Paper Series Working Paper 26949 http://www.nber.org/papers/w26949
- Ballantine, P.W., Zafar, S. and Parsons, A.G. (2014), “Changes in retail shopping behaviour in the aftermath of an earthquake”, The International Review of Retail, Distribution and Consumer Research, Vol. 24 No. 1, pp. 1-13
- Bostan S, Erdem R, Öztürk YE, Kılıç T, Yılmaz A. (2020) The Effect of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Turkish Society. Electronic Journal of General Medicine Vol 17(6) https://doi.org/10.29333/ejgm/7944
- C. Lin and W. Lekhawipat, Factors affecting online repurchase intention, Industrial Management & Data Systems, 114(4), 597-611, 2014)
- D. Howland, The consumer after COVID-19, Retail Dive, April 8, 2020. [Online] https://www.retaildive. com/news/the-consumer-after-covid-19/575634/
- E.M. Rogers, Diffusion of Innovations, 3rd ed., London: The Free Press, 1983.
- Evans-Lacko S, Knapp M, McCrone P, Thornicroft G, Mojtabai R. The mental health consequences of the recession: economic hardship and employment of people with mental health problems in 27 European countries. PLoS One. 2013;8(7): e69792.
- Finsterwalder, J. and Grey, H. (2016), “Customer relationships and experiences during times of disaster: a case study of Ballantynes”, in Hall, C.M., Malinen, S., Vosslamber, R. and Wordsworth, R. (Eds), Business and Post-Disaster Management: Business, Organisational and Consumer Resilience and the Christchurch Earthquakes, Routledge, Abingdon, pp. 132-154.
- Gao X, Shi X, Guo H, Liu Y (2020) To buy or not buy food online: The impact of the COVID-19 epidemic on the adoption of e-commerce in China. PLoS ONE 15(8): e0237900. https://doi.org/ 10.1371/journal. pone.0237900
- Giorgi G, Arcangeli G, Mucci N, Cupelli V. Economic stress in workplace: the impact of fear the crisis on mental health. Work. 2015;51(1): 135–142. doi:10.3233/WOR-141844
- Grier, S.A. and Perry, V.G. (2018), “Dog parks and coffee shops: faux diversity and consumption in gentrifying neighborhoods”, Journal of Public Policy and Marketing, Vol. 37 No. 1, pp. 23-38.
- Hall, M.C., Prayag, G., Fieger, P., Dyason, D. (2020). Beyond panic buying consumption displacement and COVID-19. Journal of Service Management vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print 1757-5818 DOI 10.1108/JOSM-05-2020-0151
- Lanius R.A., Vermetten E. and Pain C., 2010. The impact of early life trauma on health and disease: The hidden epidemic. Cambridge, UK.
- Larson, L.R. and Shin, H. (2018), “Fear during natural disaster: its impact on perceptions of shopping convenience and shopping behavior”, Services Marketing Quarterly, Vol. 39 No. 4, pp. 293-309.
- Lee S, Guo WJ, Tsang A, et al. evidence for the 2008 economic crisis exacerbating depression in Hong Kong. J Affect Disord. 2010;126: 125–133.
- M. Wolfinbarger and M.C. Gilly, Shopping Online for Freedom, Control, and Fun, California Management Review, 43(2), 34-55, 2001.
- Morning Consult, Crosstabulation Results, National Tracking Poll #200394, March 26, 2020. [Online] https://morningconsult.com/wpcontent/uploads/2020/03/200394_crosstabs_CORONAVIRUS_ CONTENT_Adults_v4_J B-1.pdf
- Müftüoğlu, D. (2004). Ekonomik kriz dönemlerinde anlık alışveriş yapan tüketicileri planlı tüketicilerden ayıran özellikleri belirlemeye yönelik bir uygulama. Yüksek Lisans Tezi. Çukurova Üniversitesi, Adana.
- Narvaez D., Gleason T., Wang L., Brooks J., Lefever J.B., Cheng Y. and Centers for the Prevention of Child Neglect, 2013. The evolved development niche: Longitudinal effects of caregiving practices on early childhood psychosocial development. Early childhood research quarterly, 28(4), pp.759–773.
- Pal, R. and Bhadada, S.K. (2020), “Cash, currency and COVID-19”, Postgraduate Medical Journal, doi: 10.1136/postgradmedj-2020-138006.
- Pantano, E., Pizzi, G., Scarpi, D. and Dennis, C. (2020), “Competing during a pandemic? Retailers’ ups and downs during the COVID-19 outbreak”, Journal of Business Research, Vol. 116, pp. 209-213.
- Peck, H. (2006), Resilience in the Food Chain: A Study of Business Continuity Management in the Food and Drink Industry, Cranfield University, Shrivenham.
- R. Peres, E. Muller, and V. Mahajan, Innovation diffusion and new product growth models: A critical review and research directions, International Journal of Research in Marketing, 27, 91-106, 2010. R.Y.
- Kim, The influx of skeptics: an investigation of the diffusion cycle effect on online review, Electronic Markets, In press, 2020.
- Republic of Turkey Ministry of Trade (2020). Effects of COVID-19. E-commerce Knowledge Platform. https://eticaret.gov.tr/istatistikler
- Sar V., Taycan O., Bolat N., O¨ zmen M., Duran A., O¨ ztu¨rk E. et al., 2010. Childhood trauma and dissociation in schizophrenia. Psychopathology, 43(1), pp.33–40. https://doi.org/10.1159/000255961 PMID: 19893342
- Sheu, J.B. and Kuo, H.T. (2020), “Dual speculative hoarding: a wholesaler-retailer channel behavioral phenomenon behind potential natural hazard threats”, International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, Vol. 44, Art.101430.
- Statista (2020). Products and services people spend more than usual on due to the COVID-19 / coronavirus pandemic in the United States, United Kingdom and Germany 2020. Retrieved from: https://www.statista. com/statistics/1108088/products-and-services-people-spend-more-on-due-to-the-covid-19-pandemic/
- Ulutaş, S. (2010). Kriz yönetimi ve dönüşümcü liderlik. Yüksek Lisans Tezi. Dokuz Eylül Üniversitesi, İzmir.
- Wang JL, Smailes E, Sareen J, Fick GH, Schmitz N, Patten SB. The prevalence of mental disorders in the working population over the period of global economic crisis. Can Child Adolesc Psychiatr Rev. 2010;55(9): 598–605.
- Xuwen Gao, Xinjie ShiID*, Hongdong Guo, Yehong Liu (2020).
- Zukin, S., and Maguire, J.S. (2004). Consumers and Consumptions. Annual Review for Sociology, Vol. 30 No. 1, pp. 173-137.
- Demiralp, S. (2020). The economic impact of COVID-19 on Turkey. Available at: https://www.mei.edu/ publications/economic-impact-covid-19-turkey
- Mitchell, Tom M. “Machine learning.” (1997).
- Quinlan, J. Ross. “Induction of decision trees.” Machine learning 1.1 (1986): 81-106.
- Asuero, A. Garcia, Ana Sayago, and A. G. Gonzalez. “The correlation coefficient: An overview.” Critical reviews in analytical chemistry 36.1 (2006): 41-59.