Türkiye'de Gelecek Yıllar için Toplam Lisanslı Sporcu Sayısının Yapay Sinir Ağları Kullanılarak Analizi

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 14 Sayı: 4, 2153 - 2171, 15.12.2024

Halil Şenol , Halil Çolak , Emre Çolak

https://doi.org/10.31466/kfbd.1531019

Öz

Spor terimi, bireylerin fiziksel yeteneklerini, becerilerini ve dayanıklılıklarını geliştirmek için belirli kurallar ve düzenlemeler çerçevesinde gerçekleştirilen rekabetçi veya eğlence amaçlı fiziksel aktiviteler bütünü olarak tanımlanmaktadır. Resmi kayıtlara göre Türkiye'de yaklaşık 6,25 milyon lisanslı sporcu bulunmaktadır (2022 yılı için). Önümüzdeki yıllarda bu sayının tahmin edilmesi, spor politikalarının daha etkili planlanmasına olanak sağlaması açısından önemlidir. Bu bağlamda, 2040 yılına kadar Türkiye'deki toplam sporcu sayısı yapay sinir ağları (YSA) ile tahmin edilmiştir. Sporcu sayısını tahmin etmek için YSA'ların uygulanması, gelecek yıllar için tahminlerin üretilmesini sağlamaktadır. Bu tahminler, sporun yaygınlaşması ve spor ekonomisinin büyüme potansiyeli için kritik bilgiler sağlamaktadır. Çalışmada YSA'nın Levenberg-Marquardt ve Bayes Regülarizasyon algoritmaları kullanılmıştır. 2040 yılına kadar Türkiye'de en az 7,33 milyon sporcu olacağı tahmin edilmektedir. Gelecek çalışmalarda farklı branşlardaki sporcu sayılarının YSA algoritmaları kullanılarak hesaplanıp tartışılması önerilmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Makine öğrenmesi, Tahmin yöntemleri, Yoon algoritması, Sporlar, Sporcu sayısı

Analysis of the Total Number of Licensed Athletes Using Artificial Neural Networks for the Future Years in Türkiye

Öz

The term sport refers to a collection of competitive or leisure physical activities conducted under certain rules and regulations to enhance individuals' physical capabilities, skills, and endurance. Official figures indicate that there are roughly 6.25 million licensed athletes in Türkiye as of 2022. The projection of this figure in the forthcoming years is crucial for facilitating more efficient sports policy planning. The entire number of athletes in Türkiye till 2040 was projected using artificial neural networks (ANN). The utilization of artificial neural networks to predict the number of athletes facilitates the production of projections for subsequent years. These estimations furnish essential data for the expansion of sports and the growth potential of the sports business. The study utilized the Levenberg-Marquardt and Bayesian Regularization techniques of ANN. By the year 2040, it is projected that Türkiye would have a minimum of 7.33 million athletes. Future research should quantify and analyze the number of athletes across various disciplines utilizing ANN algorithms.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Machine learning, Estimate methods, Yoon algorithm, Sports, Number of athletes

Kaynakça

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