TÜRKİYE’DE YURTİÇİ TASARRUFLAR İLE EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ARASINDAKİ ASİMETRİK İLİŞKİ

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 10 Sayı: 19, 414 - 421, 26.11.2018

Yunus Açcı

https://doi.org/10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.455894

Öz

İktisat teorisinde
yüksek tasarruf oranları yatırımları artırmakta ve ekonomik büyümeyi sağlamaktadır.
Bu nedenle yurtiçi tasarrufların artırılması ekonomik büyümenin temel finansman
kaynağı olarak görülmektedir. Bu çalışmada Türkiye ekonomisinde 1968-2017
dönemine ait tasarrufların gayrisafi yurtiçi hasılaya oranı ve gayri safi
yurtiçi hasıla büyüme hızı arasındaki ilişki güncel zaman serisi yöntemleri ile
araştırılmıştır. Ampirik analizler sonucunda ekonomik büyüme hızının negatif
bileşeninden tasarruf oranının pozitif bileşenine orta dönemde, tasarruf
oranının pozitif bileşeninden ekonomik büyüme hızının pozitif bileşenine kısa
dönemde, tasarruf oranının negatif bileşeninden ekonomik büyüme hızının negatif
bileşenine orta ve uzun dönemde nedensellik bulunmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Tasarruf Oranı, Ekonomik Büyüme, Asimetrik Nedensellik

Kaynakça

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