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An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 14 Sayı: 27, 453 - 467, 29.11.2022

Ömer Doru Örsan Özer

https://doi.org/10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.1160045

Öz

Purpose: It is to empirically examine the factors affecting intra-industry trade in the automotive sector between Turkey and 24 OECD member trade partners.
Design/Methodology: The determinants of intra-industry trade were tested with panel data analysis in the automotive sector. As a result of the test carried out to determine the model, regression analysis was performed with the Driscoll-Kraay standard error estimation method.
Findings: The variables market size, development level, and trade openness have a positive impact on intra-industrial trade, while the variables market size difference, income inequality, and geographical distance have a reverse impact on intra-industry trade.
Limitations: Export and import data for 2003–2019 are used in international trade figures in the 3-digit Standard International Trade Classification, SITC Revision-3.
Originality/Value: Empirical application on the factors affecting intra-industry trade in the Turkish automotive sector is considered to be important and different in terms of subject.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Automotive Industry Driscoll-Kraay Standard Error Intra-Industry Trade Grubel Lloyd Index Panel Data Analysis

Kaynakça

  • Aggarwal, S., & Chakraborty, D. (2017). Determinants of India’s Bilateral Intra-industry Trade over 2001–2015: Empirical Results. South Asia Economic Journal, 18(2), 296-313.
  • Balassa, B. (1967). Trade Creation and Trade Diversion in the European Common Market. Economic Journal, 305, 1-21.
  • Balassa, B. (1986). The Determinants of Intra-Industry Specialization in United States Trade. Oxford Economic Papers, 38, 220-233.
  • Balassa, B., & Bauwens, L. (1987). Intra-industry Specialization in a Multi-country and Multi-Industry Framework. The Economic Journal, 97(388), 923-939.
  • Baltagi, B. (2008). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. John Wiley & Sons.
  • Bergstrand, J. H. (1990). The Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson Model, The Linder Hypothesis and The Determinants of Bilateral Intra-Industry Trade. The Economic Journal, 100(403), 1216-1229.
  • Caves, R. E. (1981). Intra-industry Trade and Market Structure in the Industrial Countries. Oxford Economic Papers, 33(2), 203-223.
  • Çuhadar, P. & Doru, Ö. (2020), Kurumlar ve Uluslararası Ticaret İlişkisi: Geçiş Ekonomileri Üzerine Panel Veri Analizi ile Bir İnceleme. Sosyoekonomi, 28(45), 165-186.
  • De Hoyos, R. E., & Sarafidis, V. (2006). Testing for Cross-Sectional Dependence in Panel-Data Models. The Stata Journal, 6(4), 482-496.
  • Driscoll, J. C., & Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(4), 549-560.
  • Emirhan, P. N. (2005). Determinants of Vertical Intra-industry Trade of Turkey: Panel Data Approach. Dokuz Eylül University Faculty of Business Department of Economics Discussion Paper, 5(05), 468-506.
  • Frees, E. W. (2004), Longitudinal and Panel Data: Analysis and Applications in Social Sciences, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  • Google Maps. (2021). https://www.google.com.tr/maps
  • Greene, W. H. (2000). Econometric Analysis 4th Edition. International Edition, New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
  • Greenaway, D., Hine, R., & Milner, C. (1994). Country-specific Factors and the Pattern of Horizontal and Vertical Intra-industry Trade in the UK. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 130(1), 77-100.
  • Greenaway, D., & Milner, C. (1987). Intra-industry Trade: Current Perspectives and Unresolved Issues. Review of World Economics, 123(1), 39-57.
  • Grubel, H. & Lloyd, P.J. (1971). The Empirical Measurement of Intra-Industry Trade. Economic Record, 47, 494-517.
  • Grubel, H. G. (1975). Intra-industry Trade. The Theory and Measurement of International Trade in Differntiated Products
  • Güriş, S. (Ed.). (2018). Uygulamalı Panel Veri Ekonometrisi (1. baskı). İstanbul: Der Yayınları.
  • Helpman, E. (1981). International Trade in the Presence of Product Differentiation, Economies of Scale and Monopolistic Competition: A Chamberlin-Heckscher-Ohlin Approach. Journal of International Economics, 11(3), 305-340.
  • Hoechle, D. (2007). Robust Standard Errors for Panel Regressions with Cross-Sectional Dependence. The Stata Journal, 7(3), 281-312.
  • Hsiao, C. (2007). Panel Data Analysis-Advantages and Challenges. Test, 16(1), 1-22.
  • Koçbulut, Ö., & Altıntaş, H. (2016). İkiz Açıklar ve Feldstein-Horioka Hipotezi: Oecd Ülkeleri Üzerine Yatay Kesit Bağımlılığı Altında Yapısal Kırılmalı Panel Eşbütünleşme Analizi. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, (48), 145-174.
  • Krugman, P.R. & Obstfeld, M. & Melitz, M.J. (2015). International Economics Theory and Policy. US: Pearson Global Edition.
  • Lancaster, K. (1980). Intra-industry Trade under Perfect Monopolistic Competition. Journal of International Economics, 10(2), 151-175.
  • Łapińska, J. (2016). Determinant Factors of Intra-industry trade: The Case of Poland and its European Union Trading Partners. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 11(2), 251-264.
  • Leitão, N. C., & Faustino, H. C. (2009). Intra-industry Trade in the Automobile Components Industry: an Empirical Analysis. Journal of Global Business and Technology, 5(1), 32.
  • Leitão, N. C., & Shahbaz, M. (2012). Liberalization and United States’ Intra-industry Trade. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2(4), 505-512.
  • Linder, S. B. (1961). An Essay on Trade and Transformation (pp. 82-109). Stockholm: Almqvist & Wiksell.
  • Loertscher, R., & Wolter, F. (1980). Determinants of Intra-industry Trade: Among Countries and Across Industries. Review of World Economics, 116(2), 280-293.
  • Marius-Răzvan, S., & Camelia, S. (2015). Analysis of the Intra-industry Trade for the Motor Vehicle Parts and Accessories Sector from Romania. Procedia Economics and Finance, 22, 343-352.
  • Menyah, K., Nazlioglu, S., & Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2014). Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in African Countries: New Insights from a Panel Causality Approach. Economic Modelling, 37, 386-394.
  • Nguyen, H. M., Quan, B. Q. M., Le, H. V., & Tran, T. V. (2020). Determinants of Intra-Industry Trade between Vietnam and Countries in TPP. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics, and Business, 7(1), 123-129.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., & Yamagata, T. (2008). A bias‐adjusted LM test of error cross‐section independence. The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
  • Sezer, Ş. (2019). Türkiye İmalat Sanayinde Endüstri-İçi Ticareti Etkileyen Faktörler Üzerine Ampirik Bir İnceleme (Master’s Thesis, Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü).
  • Şentürk, C. (2014). Endüstri İçi Ticaretin Belirleyicileri: Türkiye’nin İmalat Sanayi Endüstri İçi Ticaretine Yönelik Panel Veri Analizi (Doctoral Dissertation, Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü).
  • Turkcan, K., & Ates, A. (2010). Structure and determinants of intra-industry trade in the US auto-industry. Journal of International and Global Economic Studies, 2(2), 15-46. Uludağ İhracatçı Birlikleri Genel Sekreterliği (2021) https://uib.org.tr/tr/kbfile/turkiye-otomotiv-endustrisi-raporu Erişim tarihi: 15.04.2021.
  • Umemoto, M. (2005). Development and intra-industry trade between Korea and Japan: The case of automobile parts industry. Yokohoma National University, CITS Working Paper Series, (2005-03).
  • United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2021). https://unctadstat.unctad.org/wds/ReportFolders/reportFolders.aspx
  • Weiss, L. W. (1972). The Geographic Size of Markets in Manufacturing. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 245-257.
  • World Bank. (2021). https://databank.worldbank.org/
  • Wooldridge, J. M. (2015). Introductory econometrics A modern approach. Cengage learning
  • Verbeek, M. (2008). A guide to modern econometrics. John Wiley & Sons.
  • Xie, X., Huang, H., & Gao, F. (2020, March). An Empirical Analysis of the Influence Factors on the Automobile Intra-industry Trade in Guangzhou. In IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering (Vol. 768, No. 5, p. 052109). IOP Publishing.
  • Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2013). Panel Veri Ekonometrisi: Stata Uygulamalı (2. baskı). İstanbul: Beta Yayınları.
  • Zhang, Z., & Chuan, L. I. (2006). Country‐Specific Factors and the Pattern of Intra‐Industry Trade in China’s Manufacturing. Journal of International Development: The Journal of the Development Studies Association, 18(8), 1137-1149.

Türkiye Otomotiv Sektöründe Endüstri İçi Ticareti Etkileyen Faktörler Üzerine Ekonometrik Bir Analiz

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 14 Sayı: 27, 453 - 467, 29.11.2022

Ömer Doru Örsan Özer

https://doi.org/10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.1160045

Öz

PAmaç: Türkiye ve OECD üyesi 24 ticaret ortağı arasında otomotiv sektöründe endüstri içi ticareti etkileyen faktörleri ampirik olarak incelemektir.
Tasarım/Yöntem: Otomotiv sektöründe endüstri içi ticaretin belirleyicileri panel veri analizi ile test edilmiştir. Model belirlemek üzere yapılan testler neticesinde Driscoll-Kraay Standart Hata Tahmincisi yöntemi ile regresyon analizi gerçekleştirilmiştir.
Bulgular: Piyasa büyüklüğü, kalkınma düzeyi ve dışa açıklık değişkenleri endüstri içi ticareti pozitif yönde; piyasa büyüklüğü farkı, kalkınma düzeyi farkı ve coğrafi uzaklık değişkenleri ise endüstri içi ticareti zıt yönde etkilemektedir.
Sınırlılıklar: Dış ticaret rakamlarında, Standart Uluslararası Ticaret Sınıflaması SITC Revizyon-3, 3 basamaklı sınıflandırmada 2003-2019 yılları ihracat ve ithalat verileri kullanılmıştır.
Özgünlük/Değer: Türkiye otomotiv sektöründe endüstri içi ticareti etkileyen faktörler üzerine ampirik uygulamanın konu itibariyle önemli ve farklı olduğu düşünülmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Otomotiv Sektörü Driscoll-Kraay Standart Hatalar Endüstri İçi Ticaret Grubel Lloyd Endeksi Panel Veri Analizi

Kaynakça

  • Aggarwal, S., & Chakraborty, D. (2017). Determinants of India’s Bilateral Intra-industry Trade over 2001–2015: Empirical Results. South Asia Economic Journal, 18(2), 296-313.
  • Balassa, B. (1967). Trade Creation and Trade Diversion in the European Common Market. Economic Journal, 305, 1-21.
  • Balassa, B. (1986). The Determinants of Intra-Industry Specialization in United States Trade. Oxford Economic Papers, 38, 220-233.
  • Balassa, B., & Bauwens, L. (1987). Intra-industry Specialization in a Multi-country and Multi-Industry Framework. The Economic Journal, 97(388), 923-939.
  • Baltagi, B. (2008). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. John Wiley & Sons.
  • Bergstrand, J. H. (1990). The Heckscher-Ohlin-Samuelson Model, The Linder Hypothesis and The Determinants of Bilateral Intra-Industry Trade. The Economic Journal, 100(403), 1216-1229.
  • Caves, R. E. (1981). Intra-industry Trade and Market Structure in the Industrial Countries. Oxford Economic Papers, 33(2), 203-223.
  • Çuhadar, P. & Doru, Ö. (2020), Kurumlar ve Uluslararası Ticaret İlişkisi: Geçiş Ekonomileri Üzerine Panel Veri Analizi ile Bir İnceleme. Sosyoekonomi, 28(45), 165-186.
  • De Hoyos, R. E., & Sarafidis, V. (2006). Testing for Cross-Sectional Dependence in Panel-Data Models. The Stata Journal, 6(4), 482-496.
  • Driscoll, J. C., & Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data. Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(4), 549-560.
  • Emirhan, P. N. (2005). Determinants of Vertical Intra-industry Trade of Turkey: Panel Data Approach. Dokuz Eylül University Faculty of Business Department of Economics Discussion Paper, 5(05), 468-506.
  • Frees, E. W. (2004), Longitudinal and Panel Data: Analysis and Applications in Social Sciences, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.
  • Google Maps. (2021). https://www.google.com.tr/maps
  • Greene, W. H. (2000). Econometric Analysis 4th Edition. International Edition, New Jersey: Prentice Hall.
  • Greenaway, D., Hine, R., & Milner, C. (1994). Country-specific Factors and the Pattern of Horizontal and Vertical Intra-industry Trade in the UK. Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 130(1), 77-100.
  • Greenaway, D., & Milner, C. (1987). Intra-industry Trade: Current Perspectives and Unresolved Issues. Review of World Economics, 123(1), 39-57.
  • Grubel, H. & Lloyd, P.J. (1971). The Empirical Measurement of Intra-Industry Trade. Economic Record, 47, 494-517.
  • Grubel, H. G. (1975). Intra-industry Trade. The Theory and Measurement of International Trade in Differntiated Products
  • Güriş, S. (Ed.). (2018). Uygulamalı Panel Veri Ekonometrisi (1. baskı). İstanbul: Der Yayınları.
  • Helpman, E. (1981). International Trade in the Presence of Product Differentiation, Economies of Scale and Monopolistic Competition: A Chamberlin-Heckscher-Ohlin Approach. Journal of International Economics, 11(3), 305-340.
  • Hoechle, D. (2007). Robust Standard Errors for Panel Regressions with Cross-Sectional Dependence. The Stata Journal, 7(3), 281-312.
  • Hsiao, C. (2007). Panel Data Analysis-Advantages and Challenges. Test, 16(1), 1-22.
  • Koçbulut, Ö., & Altıntaş, H. (2016). İkiz Açıklar ve Feldstein-Horioka Hipotezi: Oecd Ülkeleri Üzerine Yatay Kesit Bağımlılığı Altında Yapısal Kırılmalı Panel Eşbütünleşme Analizi. Erciyes Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi, (48), 145-174.
  • Krugman, P.R. & Obstfeld, M. & Melitz, M.J. (2015). International Economics Theory and Policy. US: Pearson Global Edition.
  • Lancaster, K. (1980). Intra-industry Trade under Perfect Monopolistic Competition. Journal of International Economics, 10(2), 151-175.
  • Łapińska, J. (2016). Determinant Factors of Intra-industry trade: The Case of Poland and its European Union Trading Partners. Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, 11(2), 251-264.
  • Leitão, N. C., & Faustino, H. C. (2009). Intra-industry Trade in the Automobile Components Industry: an Empirical Analysis. Journal of Global Business and Technology, 5(1), 32.
  • Leitão, N. C., & Shahbaz, M. (2012). Liberalization and United States’ Intra-industry Trade. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 2(4), 505-512.
  • Linder, S. B. (1961). An Essay on Trade and Transformation (pp. 82-109). Stockholm: Almqvist & Wiksell.
  • Loertscher, R., & Wolter, F. (1980). Determinants of Intra-industry Trade: Among Countries and Across Industries. Review of World Economics, 116(2), 280-293.
  • Marius-Răzvan, S., & Camelia, S. (2015). Analysis of the Intra-industry Trade for the Motor Vehicle Parts and Accessories Sector from Romania. Procedia Economics and Finance, 22, 343-352.
  • Menyah, K., Nazlioglu, S., & Wolde-Rufael, Y. (2014). Financial Development, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in African Countries: New Insights from a Panel Causality Approach. Economic Modelling, 37, 386-394.
  • Nguyen, H. M., Quan, B. Q. M., Le, H. V., & Tran, T. V. (2020). Determinants of Intra-Industry Trade between Vietnam and Countries in TPP. The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics, and Business, 7(1), 123-129.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., & Yamagata, T. (2008). A bias‐adjusted LM test of error cross‐section independence. The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
  • Sezer, Ş. (2019). Türkiye İmalat Sanayinde Endüstri-İçi Ticareti Etkileyen Faktörler Üzerine Ampirik Bir İnceleme (Master’s Thesis, Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü).
  • Şentürk, C. (2014). Endüstri İçi Ticaretin Belirleyicileri: Türkiye’nin İmalat Sanayi Endüstri İçi Ticaretine Yönelik Panel Veri Analizi (Doctoral Dissertation, Süleyman Demirel Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü).
  • Turkcan, K., & Ates, A. (2010). Structure and determinants of intra-industry trade in the US auto-industry. Journal of International and Global Economic Studies, 2(2), 15-46. Uludağ İhracatçı Birlikleri Genel Sekreterliği (2021) https://uib.org.tr/tr/kbfile/turkiye-otomotiv-endustrisi-raporu Erişim tarihi: 15.04.2021.
  • Umemoto, M. (2005). Development and intra-industry trade between Korea and Japan: The case of automobile parts industry. Yokohoma National University, CITS Working Paper Series, (2005-03).
  • United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. (2021). https://unctadstat.unctad.org/wds/ReportFolders/reportFolders.aspx
  • Weiss, L. W. (1972). The Geographic Size of Markets in Manufacturing. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 245-257.
  • World Bank. (2021). https://databank.worldbank.org/
  • Wooldridge, J. M. (2015). Introductory econometrics A modern approach. Cengage learning
  • Verbeek, M. (2008). A guide to modern econometrics. John Wiley & Sons.
  • Xie, X., Huang, H., & Gao, F. (2020, March). An Empirical Analysis of the Influence Factors on the Automobile Intra-industry Trade in Guangzhou. In IOP Conference Series: Materials Science and Engineering (Vol. 768, No. 5, p. 052109). IOP Publishing.
  • Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2013). Panel Veri Ekonometrisi: Stata Uygulamalı (2. baskı). İstanbul: Beta Yayınları.
  • Zhang, Z., & Chuan, L. I. (2006). Country‐Specific Factors and the Pattern of Intra‐Industry Trade in China’s Manufacturing. Journal of International Development: The Journal of the Development Studies Association, 18(8), 1137-1149.
Toplam 46 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm ARAŞTIRMA MAKALELERİ
Yazarlar

Ömer Doru 0000-0001-8119-4908

Örsan Özer 0000-0002-3206-1313

Yayımlanma Tarihi 29 Kasım 2022
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022 Cilt: 14 Sayı: 27

Kaynak Göster

APA Doru, Ö., & Özer, Ö. (2022). An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry. Akademik Araştırmalar Ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD), 14(27), 453-467. https://doi.org/10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.1160045
AMA Doru Ö, Özer Ö. An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry. Akademik Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD). Kasım 2022;14(27):453-467. doi:10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.1160045
Chicago Doru, Ömer, ve Örsan Özer. “An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry”. Akademik Araştırmalar Ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD) 14, sy. 27 (Kasım 2022): 453-67. https://doi.org/10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.1160045.
EndNote Doru Ö, Özer Ö (01 Kasım 2022) An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry. Akademik Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD) 14 27 453–467.
IEEE Ö. Doru ve Ö. Özer, “An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry”, Akademik Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD), c. 14, sy. 27, ss. 453–467, 2022, doi: 10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.1160045.
ISNAD Doru, Ömer - Özer, Örsan. “An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry”. Akademik Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD) 14/27 (Kasım 2022), 453-467. https://doi.org/10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.1160045.
JAMA Doru Ö, Özer Ö. An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry. Akademik Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD). 2022;14:453–467.
MLA Doru, Ömer ve Örsan Özer. “An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry”. Akademik Araştırmalar Ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD), c. 14, sy. 27, 2022, ss. 453-67, doi:10.20990/kilisiibfakademik.1160045.
Vancouver Doru Ö, Özer Ö. An Econometric Analysis on Factors Affecting Intra-Industry Trade in Turkish Automotive Industry. Akademik Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi (AKAD). 2022;14(27):453-67.
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