Analysis of Vulnerability Performances with the MEREC-Based RAFSI Method: G7 Group Countries

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 25 Sayı: 44, 464 - 490, 30.06.2023

Furkan Fahri Altıntaş

Öz

In particular, fragility performances of large economies can affect global economy and activities and strategies of other countries on fragility. Therefore, analysis of fragility performances of large economies is of great importance. In this context, fragility performances of G7 countries, which control more than half of global economy, were measured by MEREC-based RAFSI method, over values of "Fragile States Index (FSI)" components for 2021, which is latest and current. According to findings, firstly, it was determined that the most important component within scope of MEREC method was "demographic pressures", and the least important one was "external interventions". Secondly, according to MEREC-based RAFSI method, fragility performances of countries are listed as Canada, Germany, Japan, France, USA, England and Italy. According to sensitivity, discriminant and correlation analyzes within framework of method, it has been evaluated that fragility performances of the countries can be measured with MEREC-based RAFSI method within scope of FSI.

Anahtar Kelimeler

G7 countries, Vulnerability Performance, MEREC-based RAFSI.

Kırılganlık Performanslarının MEREC Tabanlı RAFSI Yöntemi ile Analizi: G7 Grubu Ülkeleri

Öz

Özellikle büyük ekonomilerin kırılganlık performansları küresel ekonomiyi ve diğer ülkelerin kırılganlık konusundaki faaliyetlerini ve stratejilerini etkileyebilmektedir. Dolayısıyla büyük ekonomilerin kırılganlık performanslarının analizi büyük önem arz etmektedir. Bu bağlamda araştırmada, küresel ekonominin yarıdan fazlasını kontrol altına alan G7 ülkelerinin en son ve güncel olan 2021 yılı için ‘‘Kırılgan Devletler Endeksi (FSI)’’ bileşenlerine ait değerler üzerinden söz konusu ülkelerin kırılganlık performansları MEREC tabanlı RAFSI yöntemi ile ölçülmüştür. Bulgulara göre, ilk olarak MEREC yöntemi kapsamında önemlilik derecesi en fazla olan bileşeninin ‘‘demografik baskılar’’, en az önemli olanın ise ‘‘dış müdahaleler’’ olduğu tespit edilmiştir. İkinci olarak MEREC tabanlı RAFSI yöntemine göre ülkelerin kırılganlık performansları Kanada, Almanya, Japonya, Fransa, ABD, İngiltere ve İtalya olarak sıralanmıştır. Yöntem çerçevesinde duyarlılık, ayırım ve korelâsyon analizlerine göre FSI kapsamında ülkelerin kırılganlık performansları MEREC tabanlı RAFSI yöntemi ile ölçülebileceği değerlendirilmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

G7 ülkeleri, Kırılganlık Performansı, MEREC tabanlı RAFSI

Kaynakça

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