Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

EFFECT OF INVESTOR ATTENTION ON RETURNS: AN APPLICATION ON BIST SECTOR INDICES

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 26 Sayı: 47, 855 - 869, 31.12.2024
https://doi.org/10.18493/kmusekad.1455827

Öz

The aim of this study is to examine the impact of investor attention on returns by taking into account sector and firm size. In this context, panel data analysis was conducted using weekly data of firms traded on Borsa Istanbul (BIST) Industrial, Financial and Services indices for the period 2019-2023. In the analysis, investor attention is represented by Google search volume index, and abnormal returns are used to represent returns. The analysis results show that investor attention has significant and positive effect on returns in all sectors, but when lagged values are taken into account, it is determined that this positive effect was replaced by negative effect after one-week lag. It is also determined that these results have similar effects, but are more pronounced in the service sector and small-sized firms. The results reveal the important role of investor attention in explaining returns in terms of sectors and firm size in Turkey and show that this role is more effective in the service sector and small-sized firms.

Kaynakça

  • Adachi, Y., Masuda, M. ve Takeda, F. (2017). Google Search İntensity and İts Relationship to the Returns and Liquidity of Japanese Startup Stocks. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 46, 243-257.
  • Akarsu, S. ve Süer, Ö. (2022). How Investor Attention Affects Stock Returns? Some International Evidence. Borsa Istanbul Review, 22(3), 616-626.
  • Baltagi, B. H. ve Wu, P. X. (1999). Unequally Spaced Panel Data Regressions with AR(1) Disturbances. Econometric Theory, 15(6), 814-823.
  • Bank, M., Larch, M. ve Peter, G. (2011). Google Search Volume and İts Influence on Liquidity and Returns of German Stocks. Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 25, 239-264.
  • Barber, B. M. ve Odean, T. (2008). All That Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors. The Review of Financial Studies, 21(2), 785-818.
  • Bhargava, A., Franzini, L. ve Narendranathan, W. (1982). Serial Correlation and the Fixed Effects Model. The Review of Economic Studies, 49(4), 533-549.
  • Bijl, L., Kringhaug, G., Molnár, P. ve Sandvik, E. (2016). Google Searches and Stock Returns. International Review of Financial Analysis, 45, 150-156.
  • Breusch, T. S., ve Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Chen, T. (2017). Investor Attention and Global Stock Returns. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 18(3), 358-372.
  • Da, Z., Engelberg, J. ve Gao, P. (2011). In Search of Attention. The Journal of Finance, 66(5), 1461-1499.
  • Düz Tan, S. ve Taş, O. (2019). Investor Attention and Stock Returns: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul. Borsa Istanbul Review, 19(2), 106-116.
  • Driscoll, J. C. ve Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(4), 549-560.
  • Ekinci, C. ve Bulut, A. E. (2021). Google Search and Stock Returns: A Study on BIST 100 Stocks. Global Finance Journal, 47(100518), 1-13.
  • Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
  • Fama, E. F. (1998). Market Efficiency, Long-Term Returns, and Behavioral Finance. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 283-306.
  • Google Trendler (t.y.). Google Trendler verileri hakkında SSS. https://support.google.com/trends/answer/4365533?hl=tr
  • Han, L., Li, Z. ve Yin, L. (2018). Investor Attention and Stock Returns: International Evidence. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 54(14), 3168-3188.
  • Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification Tests in Econometrics. Econometrica, 46(6), 1251-1271.
  • Kim, N., Lučivjanská, K., Molnár, P. ve Villa, R. (2019). Google Searches and Stock Market Activity: Evidence from Norway. Finance Research Letters, 28, 208-220.
  • Lintner, J. (1965). The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 47(1), 13–37.
  • Merton, R. C. (1987). A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information. The Journal of Finance, 42(3), 483-510.
  • Nguyen, C. P., Schinckus, C. ve Nguyen, T. V. H. (2019). Google Search and Stock Returns in Emerging Markets. Borsa Istanbul Review, 19(4), 288-296.
  • Oruç, E. ve Şen, M. (2011). Beğenilen İşletmelere Yatırımcı İlgisi ile Finansal Göstergeler Arasındaki İlişki. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 12(1), 31-37.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels (IZA Discussion Paper No. 1240), University of Cambridge. Retrieved from https://www.iza.org/publications/dp/1240/general- diagnostic-tests-for-cross-section-dependence-in-panels
  • Scheffer, M. ve Weiß, G. N. F. (2020). Extreme Dependence İn İnvestor Attention and Stock Returns – Consequences For Forecasting Stock Returns and Measuring Systemic Risk. Quantitative Finance, 20(3), 425- 446.
  • Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk. Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442.
  • Swamy, V., Dharani, M. ve Takeda, F. (2019). Investor Attention and Google Search Volume Index: Evidence from an Emerging Market Using Quantile Regression Analysis. Research in International Business and Finance, 50, 1-17.
  • Takeda, F. ve Wakao, T. (2014). Google Search İntensity and İts Relationship with Returns and Trading Volume of Japanese Stocks. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 27, 1-18.
  • T.C. Merkez Bankası (t.y.). 1 Hafta Repo. https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/TR/TCMB+TR/Main+Menu/Temel+Faaliyetler/Para+Politikasi/M erkez+Bankasi+Faiz+Oranlari/1+Hafta+Repo
  • Yang, D., Ma, T., Wang, T. ve Wang, G. (2021). Does Investor Attention Affect Stock Trading and Returns? Evidence from Publicly Listed Firms in China. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 22(4), 368-381.
  • Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2020). Panel Veri Ekonometrisi (5. Baskı). İstanbul: Beta Yayınları.
  • Ying, Q., Kong, D. ve Luo, D. (2015). Investor Attention, Institutional Ownership, and Stock Return: Empirical Evidence from China. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 51(3), 672-685.

YATIRIMCI İLGİSİNİN GETİRİLERE ETKİSİ: BIST SEKTÖR ENDEKSLERİNDE BİR UYGULAMA

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 26 Sayı: 47, 855 - 869, 31.12.2024
https://doi.org/10.18493/kmusekad.1455827

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı sektör ve firma büyüklüğünü dikkate alarak yatırımcı ilgisinin getiriler üzerindeki etkisini incelemektir. Çalışmanın amacı kapsamında, Borsa İstanbul (BIST) Sınai, Mali ve Hizmet endekslerinde işlem gören firmaların 2019-2023 dönemi haftalık verileri kullanılarak panel veri analizi yapılmıştır. Analizde yatırımcıların pay senetlerine olan ilgisi Google arama hacmi endeksi ile temsil edilmiş, getirileri temsilen ise anormal getiriler kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonuçlarında tüm sektörlerde yatırımcı ilgisinin getiriler üzerinde anlamlı ve pozitif etkisi olduğu tespit edilmiş, ancak gecikmeli değerler dikkate alındığında, bu pozitif etkinin bir haftalık gecikmede yerini negatif etkiye bıraktığı belirlenmiştir. Ayrıca bu sonuçların birbirine yakın etkilere sahip olmakla birlikte hizmet sektöründe ve küçük ölçekli firmalarda daha belirgin olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Analiz sonuçları getirileri açıklamada yatırımcı ilgisinin önemli rolünü Türkiye’de sektörler ve firma büyüklüğü açısından ortaya koymakta ve bu rolün küçük ölçekli firmalarla birlikte hizmet sektöründe daha etkili olduğunu göstermektedir.

Kaynakça

  • Adachi, Y., Masuda, M. ve Takeda, F. (2017). Google Search İntensity and İts Relationship to the Returns and Liquidity of Japanese Startup Stocks. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 46, 243-257.
  • Akarsu, S. ve Süer, Ö. (2022). How Investor Attention Affects Stock Returns? Some International Evidence. Borsa Istanbul Review, 22(3), 616-626.
  • Baltagi, B. H. ve Wu, P. X. (1999). Unequally Spaced Panel Data Regressions with AR(1) Disturbances. Econometric Theory, 15(6), 814-823.
  • Bank, M., Larch, M. ve Peter, G. (2011). Google Search Volume and İts Influence on Liquidity and Returns of German Stocks. Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 25, 239-264.
  • Barber, B. M. ve Odean, T. (2008). All That Glitters: The Effect of Attention and News on the Buying Behavior of Individual and Institutional Investors. The Review of Financial Studies, 21(2), 785-818.
  • Bhargava, A., Franzini, L. ve Narendranathan, W. (1982). Serial Correlation and the Fixed Effects Model. The Review of Economic Studies, 49(4), 533-549.
  • Bijl, L., Kringhaug, G., Molnár, P. ve Sandvik, E. (2016). Google Searches and Stock Returns. International Review of Financial Analysis, 45, 150-156.
  • Breusch, T. S., ve Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Chen, T. (2017). Investor Attention and Global Stock Returns. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 18(3), 358-372.
  • Da, Z., Engelberg, J. ve Gao, P. (2011). In Search of Attention. The Journal of Finance, 66(5), 1461-1499.
  • Düz Tan, S. ve Taş, O. (2019). Investor Attention and Stock Returns: Evidence from Borsa Istanbul. Borsa Istanbul Review, 19(2), 106-116.
  • Driscoll, J. C. ve Kraay, A. C. (1998). Consistent Covariance Matrix Estimation with Spatially Dependent Panel Data. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 80(4), 549-560.
  • Ekinci, C. ve Bulut, A. E. (2021). Google Search and Stock Returns: A Study on BIST 100 Stocks. Global Finance Journal, 47(100518), 1-13.
  • Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work. The Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-417.
  • Fama, E. F. (1998). Market Efficiency, Long-Term Returns, and Behavioral Finance. Journal of Financial Economics, 49(3), 283-306.
  • Google Trendler (t.y.). Google Trendler verileri hakkında SSS. https://support.google.com/trends/answer/4365533?hl=tr
  • Han, L., Li, Z. ve Yin, L. (2018). Investor Attention and Stock Returns: International Evidence. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 54(14), 3168-3188.
  • Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification Tests in Econometrics. Econometrica, 46(6), 1251-1271.
  • Kim, N., Lučivjanská, K., Molnár, P. ve Villa, R. (2019). Google Searches and Stock Market Activity: Evidence from Norway. Finance Research Letters, 28, 208-220.
  • Lintner, J. (1965). The Valuation of Risk Assets and the Selection of Risky Investments in Stock Portfolios and Capital Budgets. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 47(1), 13–37.
  • Merton, R. C. (1987). A Simple Model of Capital Market Equilibrium with Incomplete Information. The Journal of Finance, 42(3), 483-510.
  • Nguyen, C. P., Schinckus, C. ve Nguyen, T. V. H. (2019). Google Search and Stock Returns in Emerging Markets. Borsa Istanbul Review, 19(4), 288-296.
  • Oruç, E. ve Şen, M. (2011). Beğenilen İşletmelere Yatırımcı İlgisi ile Finansal Göstergeler Arasındaki İlişki. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 12(1), 31-37.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels (IZA Discussion Paper No. 1240), University of Cambridge. Retrieved from https://www.iza.org/publications/dp/1240/general- diagnostic-tests-for-cross-section-dependence-in-panels
  • Scheffer, M. ve Weiß, G. N. F. (2020). Extreme Dependence İn İnvestor Attention and Stock Returns – Consequences For Forecasting Stock Returns and Measuring Systemic Risk. Quantitative Finance, 20(3), 425- 446.
  • Sharpe, W. F. (1964). Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk. Journal of Finance, 19(3), 425-442.
  • Swamy, V., Dharani, M. ve Takeda, F. (2019). Investor Attention and Google Search Volume Index: Evidence from an Emerging Market Using Quantile Regression Analysis. Research in International Business and Finance, 50, 1-17.
  • Takeda, F. ve Wakao, T. (2014). Google Search İntensity and İts Relationship with Returns and Trading Volume of Japanese Stocks. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 27, 1-18.
  • T.C. Merkez Bankası (t.y.). 1 Hafta Repo. https://www.tcmb.gov.tr/wps/wcm/connect/TR/TCMB+TR/Main+Menu/Temel+Faaliyetler/Para+Politikasi/M erkez+Bankasi+Faiz+Oranlari/1+Hafta+Repo
  • Yang, D., Ma, T., Wang, T. ve Wang, G. (2021). Does Investor Attention Affect Stock Trading and Returns? Evidence from Publicly Listed Firms in China. Journal of Behavioral Finance, 22(4), 368-381.
  • Yerdelen Tatoğlu, F. (2020). Panel Veri Ekonometrisi (5. Baskı). İstanbul: Beta Yayınları.
  • Ying, Q., Kong, D. ve Luo, D. (2015). Investor Attention, Institutional Ownership, and Stock Return: Empirical Evidence from China. Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, 51(3), 672-685.
Toplam 32 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Finansal Ekonomi
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Fahrettin Söker 0000-0002-3763-5419

Yaşar Alptürk 0000-0003-0063-4479

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 27 Aralık 2024
Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Aralık 2024
Gönderilme Tarihi 20 Mart 2024
Kabul Tarihi 21 Ekim 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Cilt: 26 Sayı: 47

Kaynak Göster

APA Söker, F., & Alptürk, Y. (2024). YATIRIMCI İLGİSİNİN GETİRİLERE ETKİSİ: BIST SEKTÖR ENDEKSLERİNDE BİR UYGULAMA. Karamanoğlu Mehmetbey Üniversitesi Sosyal Ve Ekonomik Araştırmalar Dergisi, 26(47), 855-869. https://doi.org/10.18493/kmusekad.1455827

     EBSCO        SOBİAD            ProQuest      Türk Eğitim İndeksi

18302 18303   18304  18305