RETHINKING THE ROLE OF VASSINATIONS IN MITIGATING COVID-19 MORTALITY: A CROSS-NATIONAL SOCIOECONOMIC ANALYSIS
Yıl 2024,
Cilt: 26 Sayı: 47, 1173 - 1192, 31.12.2024
Bilal Kargı
,
Mario Coccia
Öz
This study investigates the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination strategies in reducing mortality across a global sample of over 150 countries. A counterintuitive finding emerged: a positive correlation (r= .65) was observed between the percentage of fully vaccinated individuals and COVID-19 deaths in January 2022. Regression analysis, controlling for GDP per capita, confirmed this association, indicating a 0.7% increase in expected deaths per 100,000 with each 1% rise in full vaccination rates. These findings suggest that vaccination alone may not be sufficient to curb the pandemic's negative impacts. Socioeconomic and environmental factors, viral mutations, and technological disparities (e.g., ventilator availability) likely play a significant role in mortality rates between countries. The study concludes that a multifaceted approach encompassing vaccination alongside measures addressing these additional factors is crucial for mitigating the COVID-19 pandemic's spread and mortality.
Etik Beyan
This study did not use human or animal subjects. Therefore, it does not require Ethics Approval.
Kaynakça
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COVID-19 ÖLÜM ORANINI AZALTMADA AŞILANMANIN ROLÜNÜN YENİDEN DÜŞÜNÜLMESİ: ÜLKELERARASI SOSYOEKONOMİK BİR ANALİZ
Yıl 2024,
Cilt: 26 Sayı: 47, 1173 - 1192, 31.12.2024
Bilal Kargı
,
Mario Coccia
Öz
Bu çalışma, 150'den fazla ülkeden oluşan küresel bir örneklemde COVID-19 aşılama stratejilerinin ölüm oranını azaltmadaki etkinliğini araştırmaktadır. Sezgiye aykırı bir bulgu ortaya çıktı: Ocak 2022'de tam aşılanmış bireylerin yüzdesi ile COVID-19 ölümleri arasında pozitif bir korelasyon (r = .65) gözlemlendi. Kişi başına düşen GSYİH'yi kontrol eden regresyon analizi, bu ilişkiyi doğruladı ve tam aşılama oranlarında her %1 artışla 100.000 kişi başına beklenen ölümlerde %0,7'lik bir artış olduğunu gösterdi. Bu bulgular, aşılamanın tek başına salgının olumsuz etkilerini azaltmak için yeterli olmayabileceğini düşündürmektedir. Sosyoekonomik ve çevresel faktörler, viral mutasyonlar ve teknolojik farklılıklar (örneğin, ventilatör bulunabilirliği) muhtemelen ülkeler arasındaki ölüm oranlarında önemli bir rol oynamaktadır. Çalışma, aşılamanın yanı sıra bu ek faktörleri ele alan önlemleri de kapsayan çok yönlü bir yaklaşımın COVID-19 salgınının yayılmasını ve ölüm oranını azaltmak için hayati önem taşıdığı sonucuna varmıştır.
Etik Beyan
Bu çalışmada insan veya hayvan denek kullanılmamıştır. Bu nedenle Etik Onayı gerektirmemektedir.
Kaynakça
- Abbasi, J. (2020). COVID-19 and mRNA Vaccines-First Large Test for a New Approach. JAMA. 324(12), 1125-1127. https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2020.16866
- Ackley, C.A., Lundberg, D.J., Ma, L., Preston, S.H., and Stokes, A.C. (2022). County-Level Estimates of Excess Mortality Associated with COVID-19 in the United States. Population Health, 17. 101021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ssmph.2021.101021
- Akamatsu, T., Nagae, T., Osawa, M., Satsukawa, K., Sakai, T., and Mizutani, D. (2021). Model-Based Analysis on Social Acceptability and Feasibility of a Focused Protection Strategy Against the COVID-19 Pandemic. Scientific Reports. 11(1), https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-81630-9
- Aldila, D., Samiadji, B.M., Simorangkir, G.M., Khosnaw, S.H.A., and Shahzad, M. (2021). Impact of Early Detection and Vaccination Strategy in COVID-19 Eradication Program in Jakarta, Indonesia. BMC Research Notes, 14(1), 132. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-021-05540-9
- Anderson, R.M., Vegvari, C., Truscott, J., and Collyer, B.S. (2020). Challenges in Creating Herd Immunity to SARS-CoV-2 Infection by Mass Vaccination. Lancet, 396(10263), 1614-1616. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32318-7
- Angelopoulos, A.N., Pathak, R., Varma, R., and Jordan, M.I. (2020). On Identifying and Mitigating Bias in the Estimation of the COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate. Harvard Data Science Review, https://doi.org/10.1162/99608f92.f01ee285
- Ardito, L., Coccia, M., and Petruzzelli, A.M. (2021). Technological Exaptation and Crisis Management: Evidence from COVID-19 Outbreaks. R&D Management Special Issue, 51(4), 81-392. https://doi.org/10.1111/radm.12455
Aschwanden, C. The False Promise of Herd Immunity for COVID-19. Nature, 587(7832), 26-28. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-020-02948-4
- Aschwanden, C. (2021). Five reasons why COVID Herd Immunity is Probably Impossible. Nature, 591(7851), 520-522. https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-021-00728-2
- Barnard, S., Chiavenna, C., Fox, S., Charlett, A., Waller, Z., Andrews, N., Goldblatt, P., and De Angelis, D. (2021). Methods for Modelling Excess Mortality Across England During the COVID-19 Pandemic. Statistical Methods in Medical Research, 31(9), 1790-1802. https://doi.org/10.1177/09622802211046384
- Bontempi, E., and Coccia, M. (2021). International Trade as Critical Parameter of COVID-19 Spread that Outclasses Demographic, Economic, Environmental, and Pollution Factors. Environmental Research, 201. 111514. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2021.111514
- Bontempi, E., Coccia, M., Vergalli, S., and Zanoletti, A. (2021). Can Commercial Trade Represent the Main Indicator of the COVID-19 Diffusion Due to Human-to-Human Interactions? A comparative analysis between Italy, France, and Spain. Environmental Research, 201, 111529. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2021.111529
- Caliskan, B., Özengin, N., and Cindoruk, S.S. (2020). Air Quality Level, Emission Sources and Control Strategies in Bursa/Turkey. Atmospheric Pollution Research, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apr.2020.05.016
- Coccia, M. (2017). Varieties of Capitalism’s Theory of Innovation and a Conceptual Integration with Leadership-Oriented Executives: The Relation between Typologies of Executive, Technological and Socioeconomic Performances. International Journal of Public Sector Performance Management, 3(2), 148-168. https://doi.org/10.1504/IJPSPM.2017.084672
- Coccia, M. (2017a). Disruptive Firms and Industrial Change. Journal of Economic and Social Thought, 4(4), 437-450. https://doi.org/10.1453/jest.v4i4.1511
- Coccia, M. (2018). An Introduction to the Methods of Inquiry in Social Sciences. Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, 5(2), 116-126. https://doi.org/10.1453/jsas.v5i2.1651
- Coccia, M. (2019). Metabolism of Public Organizations: A Case Study. Journal of Social and Administrative Sciences, 6(1), 1-9. https://doi.org/10.1453/jsas.v6i1.1793
- Coccia, M. (2020). Factors Determining the Diffusion of COVID-19 and Suggested Strategy to Prevent Future Accelerated Viral Infectivity Similar to COVID. Science of The Total Environment, 729, 138474. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138474
- Coccia, M. (2020a). How (Un)sustainable Environments are Related to the Diffusion of COVID-19: The Relation between Coronavirus Disease: Air Pollution, Wind Resource and Energy. Sustainability, 12, 9709. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12229709
- Coccia, M. (2020b). Deep Learning Technology for Improving Cancer Care in Society: New directions in cancer imaging driven by artificial intelligence. Technology in Society, 60, 101198. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techsoc.2019.101198
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