Türkiye’de Eneri Tüketimi, CO2 Emisyonu ve Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişki: 1960-2013 Dönemi

Yıl 2017, Sayı: 34, 169 - 197, 31.12.2017

Çiğdem Karış

Öz

Bu çalışmada, 1960-2013 dönemi Türkiye ekonomisi için enerji tüketimi, CO2 (karbondioksit) emisyonu ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki, Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik yöntemiyle araştırılmıştır. Yapılan analizler sonucunda, 1960-2013 döneminde Türkiye’de enerji tüketimi ile CO2 emisyonu arasında çift yönlü ve pozitif bir nedensellik ilişkisinin olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca ekonomik büyümeden CO2 emisyonuna ve ekonomik büyümeden enerji tüketimine doğru tek yönlü pozitif bir ilişki bulunmuştur. Ekonomik büyümeden enerji tüketimene doğru tek yönlü bir nedensellik ilişkisinin bulunması; Türkiye’de Korumacı hipotezin geçerli olduğunu göstermektedir. Bu bağlamda enerji kullanımında korumacı politikaların büyümeyi olumsuz etkilemediği, enerji ekonomik büyüme açısından bir uyarıcı olmadığından enerji tasarrufuna yönelik politikaların uygulanmasının ekonomik performanası dolayısıyla ekonomik büyümeyi olumsuz yönde etkilemeyeceği söylenebilir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Enerji Tüketimi, CO2 Emisyonu, Ekonomik Büyüme, Toda-Yamamoto Nedensellik

The Relationship Between Energy Consumption, CO2 Emission and Economic Growth in Turkey: Period 1960-2013

Öz

In this study, the relationship between energy consumption, CO2 emissions and economic growth for Turkish economy in the period of 1960-2013 was examined with Toda-Yamamoto causality testing method. According to the reults of analysis, a birectional and positive causality relationship was found between energy consumption and CO2 emissions in Turkey in the period of 1960-2013. Besides, unidirectional and positive relationship was found from economic growth to CO2 emissions and from economic growth to energy consumption. The finding of unidirectional causality relationship from economic growth to energy consumption suggests that the Protective hypothesis is valid in Turkey. In this context, it can be said that protectionist policies on energy use do not adversely affect growth. Since energy is not a stimulus for economic growth, it can be said that the practice of policies for energy saving will not adversely affect economic growth.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Energy Consumption, CO2 Emissions, Economic Growth, Toda-Yamamoto Causality

Kaynakça

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