DÖVİZ KURU DEĞİŞMELERİNİN TÜRKİYE’NİN AVRUPA BİRLİĞİ TİCARETİ ÜZERİNE ETKİLERİ

Öz

Bu çalışma, reel kur değişmelerinin etkilerine odaklanarak, Türkiye’nin Avrupa Birliği (AB) ülkeleri ile olan ticaretinde dış ticaret dengesinin belirleyicilerine ilişkin yeni ampirik bulgular sunmaktadır. Genel sonuçlar, Türkiye’nin AB ile olan ticaret dengesinde yurtiçi ve yurtdışı gelir düzeylerinin, reel döviz kurunun ve ihracatın ithal içeriğinin belirleyici faktörler arasında olduğuna işaret etmektedir. Döviz kuru ayarlamalarının yetersiz olması ve bazen ters etkilerin ortaya çıkması nedeniyle, süreklilik gösteren Türkiye’nin ticaret açıklarının azaltılması için döviz kuru değişmeleri ile uyumlu bütünleşik ticaret politikası uygulamalarına ihtiyaç duyulmaktadır.

 

Anahtar Kelimeler: Döviz kuru, Ticaret dengesi, ARDL, Marshall-Lerner koşulu, J-eğrisi.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• DÖVİZ KURU,TİCARET DENGESİ,ARDL,MARSHALL LERNER KOŞULU,J-EĞRİSİ

Kaynakça

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