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Brıcs-T Ülkelerinde Finansal Gelişmenin Ekonomik Büyümeye Etkisi

Yıl 2020, , 343 - 357, 30.04.2020
https://doi.org/10.33437/ksusbd.690132

Öz

Finansal gelişme ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki etkileşim iktisat teorisinde teorik ve ampirik olarak sıkça tartışılan bir konudur. Bu çalışmada 1988-2017 arası dönemde gelişmekte olan ülkeler arasında yer alan Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin, Güney Afrika ve Türkiye ekonomilerinde finansal gelişme ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişki panel veri analiz yöntemi ile test edilmiştir. Ampirik bulgular sonucunda, panelin tamamı için kısa dönemde arz itişli ve uzun dönemde geri besleme hipotezlerinin geçerli olduğu görülmektedir. Paneli oluşturan ülkeler açısından Çin ekonomisinde geri besleme hipotezinin, Brezilya ekonomisinde ise talep itişli hipotezin geçerli olduğu bulgusuna ulaşılmıştır.

Kaynakça

  • Andrés, J., Hernando, I. and LopezSalido, D. (2004), ‘The Role of the Financial System in the Growth–inflation Link.’ European Journal of Political Economy, 20 (4), 941–961.
  • Asteriou, D., & Spanos, K. (2019). The relationship between financial development and economic growth during the recent crisis: Evidence from the EU. Finance Research Letters, 28, 238-245.
  • Bayat, T., Kayhan, S., & Senturk, M. (2012). Budget Deficits And İnterest Rates: An Empirical Analysis For Turkey. Eurasian Journal Of Business And Economics, 5(9), 119-128.
  • Bayat, T., Özcan, B., & Taş, Ş. (2015). Türkiye’de Döviz Kuru Geçiş Etkisinin Asimetrik Nedensellik Testleri ile Analizi. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 10(2), 7-30.
  • Breusch, T., Pagan, A., 1980. The Lagrange multiplier test and its application to model specification in econometrics. Rev. Econ. Stud. 47, 239–253.
  • Caporale, G. M., Rault, C., Sova, R., & Sova, A. (2009). Financial development and economic growth: Evidence from ten new EU members (Brunel University Economics and Finance Working Paper Series, No. 09-37).
  • Ductor, L. and Grechyna, D. (2015), ‘Financial development, real sector, and economic growth.’ International Review of Economics & Finance, 37, 393-405.
  • Emirmahmutoğlu, F. And Kose, N. (2011), “Testing for Granger Causality in Heterogeneous Mixed Panels”, Economic Modelling , 28, 870–876.
  • Ergeç, E. H. (2004). Finansal gelişme ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi ve Türkiye örneği: 1988-2001. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 5(2).
  • Erkişi, K. (2018). Financial Development and Economic Growth in BRICS Countries and Turkey: A Panel Data Analysis. İstanbul Gelişim Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 5(2), 1-17.
  • Fuınhas, J., Fılıpe, M., Belucıo M., Marques, A., (2019), “The Nexus between Financial Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from European Countries", Journal of Economics Studies and Research, Vol. 2019 (2019)
  • Gregorio, J. D., & Guidotti, P. E. (1995). Financial development and economic growth. World Development, 23(3), 433-448.
  • Guru, B. K., & Yadav, I. S. (2019). Financial development and economic growth: panel evidence from BRICS. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science.
  • Hayaloğlu, P. (2015). Kırılgan beşli ülkelerinde finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Dinamik panel veri analizi. Bolu Abant İzzet Baysal Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 11(11), 131-144.
  • Helhel, Y. (2018). Financial development and economic growth relationship: An analysis with credit based financial index. Business and Economics Research Journal, 9(4), 761-771.
  • Im, K. S., Lee, J., & Tieslau, M. (2005). Panel LM unit root tests with level shifts. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 67(3), 393-419.
  • Jayaratne, J., & Strahan, P. E. (1996). The finance-growth nexus: Evidence from bank branch deregulation. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111(3), 639-670.
  • King, R. G., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. The quarterly journal of economics, 108(3), 717-737.
  • Koçyiğit, A., Bayat, T., Kayhan, S., & Şentürk, M. (2015). Short and Long Term Validity of Export-Led Growth Hypothesis in BRICS-T Countries: A Frequency Domain Causality Approach. Stud, 4(3).
  • Lee, J., & Strazicich, M. C. (2003). Minimum Lagrange multiplier unit root test with two structural breaks. Review of Economics and Statistics, 85(4), 1082-1089.
  • Lee, J., & Strazicich, M. C. (2004). Minimum LM unit root test with one structural break. Manuscript, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University, 1-16.
  • Levine, R., & Zervos, S. (1998). Stock markets, banks, and economic growth. American economic review, 537-558.
  • Manuchehr, I. and Ericsson, J. (2001a), ‘On the causality between foreign direct investment and output: a comparative study.’ The International Trade Journal, 15(1), 1–26.
  • Mercan, M., & Göçer, İ. (2013). The effect of financial development on economic growth in BRIC-T countries: Panel data analysis. Journal of Economic and Social Studies, 3(1), 199.
  • Panopoulou, E. (2009), ‘Financial variables and euro area growth: A nonparametric causality analysis.’ Economic Modelling, 26(6), 1414-1419.
  • Paun, C. V., Musetescu, R. C., Topan, V. M., & Danuletiu, D. C. (2019). The impact of financial sector development and sophistication on sustainable economic growth. Sustainability, 11(6), 1713.
  • Pesaran, Hasem, M., (2004), “General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels”, Working Paper No:0435, University of Cambridge.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M.H., Ullah, A., Yamagata, T., 2008. A bias-adjusted LM test of error cross section independence. Econometrics Journal 11, 105–127.
  • Pesaran, M. H., & Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Pradhan, RP., Arvin, MB. and Bahmani, S. (2015), ‘Causal nexus between economic growth, inflation, and stock market development: The case of OECD countries.’ Global Finance Journal, 27, 98-111.
  • Rajan, R. G., & Zingales, L. (1998). Power in a Theory of the Firm. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113(2), 387-432.
  • Ruiz, JL. (2018), ‘Financial development, institutional investors, and economic growth.’ International Review of Economics & Finance, 54, 218-224.
  • Rousseau, P. L., & Wachtel, P. (1998). Financial intermediation and economic performance: historical evidence from five industrialized countries. Journal of money, credit and banking, 657-678.
  • Sarkar, P. (2007), ‘Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Growth? Panel data and Time Series Evidence from Less Developed Countries, 1970-2002.’ MPRA - Munich Personal RePEc Archive, 6(5176), 1– 23.
  • Shaikh, FM. (2010), ‘Causality Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment, Trade and Economic Growth in Pakistan.’ Asian Social Science, 1(4), 82-89.
  • Westerlund, J. (2007). Testing for error correction in panel data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and statistics, 69(6), 709-748.
  • Younsi, M., & Bechtini, M. (2018). Economic Growth, Financial Development, and Income Inequality in BRICS Countries: Does Kuznets’ Inverted U-Shaped Curve Exist?. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 1-22.

The Effect Of Financial Development On Economic Growth In Brıcs-T Countries

Yıl 2020, , 343 - 357, 30.04.2020
https://doi.org/10.33437/ksusbd.690132

Öz

The interaction between financial development and economic growth is a topic that is frequently discussed in the theory of economics theoretically and empirically. While there is consensus about the existence of the relationship between the variables, it is possible to come across different views in terms of the direction of the relationship. Located in this study in the period between 1988-2017 developing countries Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa and Turkey has been tested relationship between financial developments and economic growth with panel data analysis. As a result of empirical findings, it is seen that supply leading hypothesis in the short term and feedback hypothesis in the long term are valid for the whole panel. In terms of the countries that make up the panel, it has been found that the feedback hypothesis is valid in the Chinese economy and the demand-following hypothesis in the Brazilian economy.

Kaynakça

  • Andrés, J., Hernando, I. and LopezSalido, D. (2004), ‘The Role of the Financial System in the Growth–inflation Link.’ European Journal of Political Economy, 20 (4), 941–961.
  • Asteriou, D., & Spanos, K. (2019). The relationship between financial development and economic growth during the recent crisis: Evidence from the EU. Finance Research Letters, 28, 238-245.
  • Bayat, T., Kayhan, S., & Senturk, M. (2012). Budget Deficits And İnterest Rates: An Empirical Analysis For Turkey. Eurasian Journal Of Business And Economics, 5(9), 119-128.
  • Bayat, T., Özcan, B., & Taş, Ş. (2015). Türkiye’de Döviz Kuru Geçiş Etkisinin Asimetrik Nedensellik Testleri ile Analizi. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi İİBF Dergisi, 10(2), 7-30.
  • Breusch, T., Pagan, A., 1980. The Lagrange multiplier test and its application to model specification in econometrics. Rev. Econ. Stud. 47, 239–253.
  • Caporale, G. M., Rault, C., Sova, R., & Sova, A. (2009). Financial development and economic growth: Evidence from ten new EU members (Brunel University Economics and Finance Working Paper Series, No. 09-37).
  • Ductor, L. and Grechyna, D. (2015), ‘Financial development, real sector, and economic growth.’ International Review of Economics & Finance, 37, 393-405.
  • Emirmahmutoğlu, F. And Kose, N. (2011), “Testing for Granger Causality in Heterogeneous Mixed Panels”, Economic Modelling , 28, 870–876.
  • Ergeç, E. H. (2004). Finansal gelişme ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki nedensellik ilişkisi ve Türkiye örneği: 1988-2001. Eskişehir Osmangazi Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 5(2).
  • Erkişi, K. (2018). Financial Development and Economic Growth in BRICS Countries and Turkey: A Panel Data Analysis. İstanbul Gelişim Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 5(2), 1-17.
  • Fuınhas, J., Fılıpe, M., Belucıo M., Marques, A., (2019), “The Nexus between Financial Development and Economic Growth: Evidence from European Countries", Journal of Economics Studies and Research, Vol. 2019 (2019)
  • Gregorio, J. D., & Guidotti, P. E. (1995). Financial development and economic growth. World Development, 23(3), 433-448.
  • Guru, B. K., & Yadav, I. S. (2019). Financial development and economic growth: panel evidence from BRICS. Journal of Economics, Finance and Administrative Science.
  • Hayaloğlu, P. (2015). Kırılgan beşli ülkelerinde finansal gelişme ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Dinamik panel veri analizi. Bolu Abant İzzet Baysal Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 11(11), 131-144.
  • Helhel, Y. (2018). Financial development and economic growth relationship: An analysis with credit based financial index. Business and Economics Research Journal, 9(4), 761-771.
  • Im, K. S., Lee, J., & Tieslau, M. (2005). Panel LM unit root tests with level shifts. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 67(3), 393-419.
  • Jayaratne, J., & Strahan, P. E. (1996). The finance-growth nexus: Evidence from bank branch deregulation. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 111(3), 639-670.
  • King, R. G., & Levine, R. (1993). Finance and growth: Schumpeter might be right. The quarterly journal of economics, 108(3), 717-737.
  • Koçyiğit, A., Bayat, T., Kayhan, S., & Şentürk, M. (2015). Short and Long Term Validity of Export-Led Growth Hypothesis in BRICS-T Countries: A Frequency Domain Causality Approach. Stud, 4(3).
  • Lee, J., & Strazicich, M. C. (2003). Minimum Lagrange multiplier unit root test with two structural breaks. Review of Economics and Statistics, 85(4), 1082-1089.
  • Lee, J., & Strazicich, M. C. (2004). Minimum LM unit root test with one structural break. Manuscript, Department of Economics, Appalachian State University, 1-16.
  • Levine, R., & Zervos, S. (1998). Stock markets, banks, and economic growth. American economic review, 537-558.
  • Manuchehr, I. and Ericsson, J. (2001a), ‘On the causality between foreign direct investment and output: a comparative study.’ The International Trade Journal, 15(1), 1–26.
  • Mercan, M., & Göçer, İ. (2013). The effect of financial development on economic growth in BRIC-T countries: Panel data analysis. Journal of Economic and Social Studies, 3(1), 199.
  • Panopoulou, E. (2009), ‘Financial variables and euro area growth: A nonparametric causality analysis.’ Economic Modelling, 26(6), 1414-1419.
  • Paun, C. V., Musetescu, R. C., Topan, V. M., & Danuletiu, D. C. (2019). The impact of financial sector development and sophistication on sustainable economic growth. Sustainability, 11(6), 1713.
  • Pesaran, Hasem, M., (2004), “General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels”, Working Paper No:0435, University of Cambridge.
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M.H., Ullah, A., Yamagata, T., 2008. A bias-adjusted LM test of error cross section independence. Econometrics Journal 11, 105–127.
  • Pesaran, M. H., & Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing slope homogeneity in large panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Pradhan, RP., Arvin, MB. and Bahmani, S. (2015), ‘Causal nexus between economic growth, inflation, and stock market development: The case of OECD countries.’ Global Finance Journal, 27, 98-111.
  • Rajan, R. G., & Zingales, L. (1998). Power in a Theory of the Firm. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 113(2), 387-432.
  • Ruiz, JL. (2018), ‘Financial development, institutional investors, and economic growth.’ International Review of Economics & Finance, 54, 218-224.
  • Rousseau, P. L., & Wachtel, P. (1998). Financial intermediation and economic performance: historical evidence from five industrialized countries. Journal of money, credit and banking, 657-678.
  • Sarkar, P. (2007), ‘Does Foreign Direct Investment Promote Growth? Panel data and Time Series Evidence from Less Developed Countries, 1970-2002.’ MPRA - Munich Personal RePEc Archive, 6(5176), 1– 23.
  • Shaikh, FM. (2010), ‘Causality Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment, Trade and Economic Growth in Pakistan.’ Asian Social Science, 1(4), 82-89.
  • Westerlund, J. (2007). Testing for error correction in panel data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and statistics, 69(6), 709-748.
  • Younsi, M., & Bechtini, M. (2018). Economic Growth, Financial Development, and Income Inequality in BRICS Countries: Does Kuznets’ Inverted U-Shaped Curve Exist?. Journal of the Knowledge Economy, 1-22.
Toplam 38 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Halil Ergür Bu kişi benim 0000-0001-9475-7036

Yavuz Özek 0000-0003-4517-4875

Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Nisan 2020
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2020

Kaynak Göster

APA Ergür, H., & Özek, Y. (2020). Brıcs-T Ülkelerinde Finansal Gelişmenin Ekonomik Büyümeye Etkisi. Kahramanmaraş Sütçü İmam Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 17(1), 343-357. https://doi.org/10.33437/ksusbd.690132

KSÜ Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi ULAKBİM-TR Dizin tarafından dizinlenen hakemli ve bilimsel bir dergidir.