Milliyetçi Hareket Partisi'nin Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi ile Yakınlaşma Sürecinin MHP Seçmeninin Demografik ve ideolojik Özelliklerine Etkisi: Haziran 2015 - 2018 Parlamento Seçimleri Mukayesesi

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 10 Sayı: 2, 222 - 239, 30.09.2022

Mustafa Çağatay Aslan

https://doi.org/10.14782/marmarasbd.1073547

Öz

2016 Darbe girişimini takiben Milliyetçi Hareket Partisi ile Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi arasında siyasi ittifak kurma süreci başlamıştır. Batı Avrupa ülkelerindeki tipik radikal sağ seçmenin demografik ve ideolojik özelliklerini dikkate alan bu çalışma söz konusu ittifakın Milliyetçi Hareket Partisi'ne oy veren seçmenin demografik ve ideolojik özelliklerinin nasıl etkilediği sorusuna odaklanmaktadır. "CSES" dördüncü ve beşinci dalga anket çalışması sonuçlarını kullanan bu çalışma Haziran 2015 ve Haziran 2018 parlamento seçimleri özelinde ikili lojistik regresyon analizi yapmaktadır. Analiz 2018 seçimlerinde Milliyetçi Hareket Partisi'ne oy veren seçmen profilinin 2015 seçimlerine göre Batı Avrupa ülkelerindeki radikal sağ partilere oy veren seçmen profiline daha yakın olduğu sonucuna ulaşmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Seçmen Davranışı, Radikal Sağ Oylama, Milliyetçi Hareket Partisi, 2015 Seçimleri, 2018 Seçimleri

The Impact of Nationalist Action Party’s Realignment with The Ruling Party on the Demography and Ideological Self-Placement of the Nap Voters: Comparison of the (June) 2015 and the 2018 Parliamentary Elections

Öz

The Nationalist Action Party realigned itself with the ruling Justice and Development Party after November 2015 parliamentary elections. Considering the typical radical right voters in European democracies, this study analyzes the impact of the change in the NAP’s stance on the overlap between radical right voters in Europe and Turkey. Using CSES dataset and employing a binomial logistic regression analysis the study compares demographic and ideological characteristics of the NAP’s voters in June 2015 and 2018 parliamentary elections. The analysis concludes that electoral profiles of voters who voted for NAP in 2018 elections were closer to those of typical radical right voters in Western European countries than those of voters who supported the party in June 2015 elections.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Voting behaviour, Radical right voting, Nationalist Action Party, the 2015 elections, the 2018 elections

Kaynakça

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