PETROL FİYAT ŞOKLARI VE FİNANSAL STRES ARASINDAKİ ZAMAN-DEĞİŞİMLİ İLİŞKİ: AB BÖLGESI İÇİN TVP-VAR ANALİZİ

Onur Polat

doi:10.14784/marufacd.976465

PETROL FİYAT ŞOKLARI VE FİNANSAL STRES ARASINDAKİ ZAMAN-DEĞİŞİMLİ İLİŞKİ: AB BÖLGESI İÇİN TVP-VAR ANALİZİ

Öz

Bu çalışmada, petrol fiyat şokları ile AB bölgesi finansal stres endeksi arasındaki dinamik aktarım mekanizması TVP-VAR modeli uygulanarak incelenmektedir. Bu bağlamda, çalışmanın veri kümesi, 2000:09-2018:06 dönemi için aylık spot WTI ham-petrol fiyatları, küresel petrol üretimi, Kilian Endeksi ve Euro bölgesi için finansal stres endeksini (CISS) içermektedir. Çalışmanın ampirik sonuçları pozitif petrol fiyat şoklarının AB bölgesi finansal koşullarını kötüleştirdğini göstermektedir. Ek olarak, TVP-VAR modeli, küresel petrol piyasasından AB bölgesi finansal koşullarına doğru olan yapısal şokların dinamik yapısını tutarlı bir şekilde yakalamaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

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Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

Türkçe

Konular

-

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yazarlar

Onur Polat Bu kişi benim
0000-0002-7170-4254
Türkiye

Yayımlanma Tarihi

31 Temmuz 2021

Gönderilme Tarihi

1 Nisan 2020

Kabul Tarihi

20 Haziran 2021

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2021 Cilt: 13 Sayı: 25

DOI

https://doi.org/10.14784/marufacd.976465

IZ

https://izlik.org/JA25SD37XC

Kaynak Göster

RIS / Bibtex

APA

Polat, O. (2021). PETROL FİYAT ŞOKLARI VE FİNANSAL STRES ARASINDAKİ ZAMAN-DEĞİŞİMLİ İLİŞKİ: AB BÖLGESI İÇİN TVP-VAR ANALİZİ. Finansal Araştırmalar ve Çalışmalar Dergisi, 13(25), 689-702. https://doi.org/10.14784/marufacd.976465

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