Kosova'da Enerji Tüketimi, Ekonomik Büyüme ve Doğrudan Yabancı Yatırımlar Arasındaki Dinamik İlişki: ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı

Yıl 2025, Sayı: Özel Sayı 3, 225 - 241, 31.12.2025

Davut Kazaz , Ahmet Atakişi , Meltem Okur Dinçsoy

Öz

Sürdürülebilir kalkınma hedefi günümüzde ülkelerin temel odak noktasını oluşturmaktadır. Bu bağlamda enerji konusu hem ekonomik büyüme hem de çevre kirliliğini azaltma bakımından kritik bir rol oynamaktadır. Bu çalışma Kosova’da ekonomik büyüme ve doğrudan yabancı yatırımların enerji harcamasına olan etkisini 2010:Q1–2021:Q4 dönemi için incelemektedir. Çalışmada Otoregresif Gecikmesi Dağıtılmış (ARDL) sınır testi uygulanarak ele alınan değişkenler arasındaki kısa ve uzun dönemli ilişkileri analiz edilmesi amaçlanmaktadır. Sınır testi sonuçları, değişkenlerin uzun dönemli bir eşbütünleşme ilişkisinin olduğunu güçlü bir şekilde ortaya koymuştur. Uzun dönem tahmin sonuçlarına göre, ekonomik büyümenin enerji tüketimi üzerinde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı ve pozitif bir etkisi olduğu tespit edilmiştir. Buna karşın, doğrudan yabancı yatırımların enerji tüketimi üzerinde anlamlı bir etki tespit edilememiştir. DYY’nin etkisizliği, yatırımların enerji yoğun sektörlerden ziyade hizmet veya düşük enerji kullanılan alanlarda yoğunlaştığı şeklinde ifade edilebilir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Enerji Tüketimi , Ekonomik Büyüme , Yabancı Yatırımlar , ARDL Sınır Testi

Etik Beyan

Yazar(lar), bu çalışmada bilimsel ve etik ilkelere uyulduğunu ve kullanılan tüm kaynakların düzgün bir şekilde alıntılandığını beyan eder.

Destekleyen Kurum

Yazar(lar), bu çalışmaya herhangi bir mali destek veya finansman sağlanmadığını beyan eder.

The Dynamic Relationship Between Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, and Foreign Direct Investments in Kosovo: An ARDL Bound Testing Approach

Öz

Sustainable development goals have become the central focus of countries in contemporary times. In this context, the relationship between economic growth and energy consumption plays a critical role. This study examines the impact of economic growth and foreign direct investments (FDI) on energy consumption in Kosovo over the period from Q1 2010 to Q4 2021. The study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bound testing approach to analyze both the short- and long-term dynamic relationships among the variables under consideration. The results of the bound test strongly indicate the presence of a long-run cointegration relationship among the variables. According to the long-term estimation results, economic growth has a statistically significant and positive effect on energy consumption. The ineffectiveness of FDI can be attributed to the fact that these investments are concentrated in service sectors or areas with low energy consumption, rather than energy-intensive industries.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Energy Consumption , Economic Growth , Foreign Direct Investments , ARDL Bound Test

Kaynakça

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