Terör Örgütlerinin Çevrimiçi Eylemleriyle Mücadelede Bir Önleme Stratejisi: Siber Caydırıcılık

Öz

Bu çalışmada çevrimiçi ortamı siber saldırlar dâhil pek çok amaçla kullanan terör örgütleri üzerinde caydırıcılığın etkililiği farklı yönlerden tartışılmaktadır. Terör örgütlerinin silahlı kanadıyla, finans kaynaklarıyla, dış yardım ve destekleriyle, eleman temin etme yollarıyla ve algı yönetim faaliyetleriyle mücadele edilmesi bütüncül bir yaklaşımı gerektirmektedir. Günümüzde bunların yanı sıra siber alandaki hareketliliklerinin takip edilmesi ve engellenmesi mücadelenin tamamlayıcı etkisini oluşturmaktadır. Bu nedenle terör örgütlerini siber alandan uzak tutmak, buradaki faaliyetlerini durdurmak ve saldırılarını engellemek oldukça hassas bir yaklaşım gerektirmektedir. Çalışmada devletlerin sahip oldukları siber güç ve savunma kabiliyetinin terör örgütleri üzerindeki etkisi ele alınacaktır. Siber caydırıcılığın geleneksel caydırıcılıktan farklılaşan yönleri hâlihazırda devletler için bir meydan okuma oluştururken, bir devlet dışı aktör olarak terör gruplarının nasıl caydırılabileceği incelenmesi fayda sağlayacak konulardandır. Çalışmada caydırıcılık teorisi, bir devlet-dışı aktör üzerinde ve geleneksel mücadele sahasının dışında yeniden değerlendirmeye açılacaktır. Çalışmanın birinci bölümünde siber caydırıcılığın kavramsal çerçevesi çizilecektir. İkinci bölümde ise terör örgütlerinin siber tehdit potansiyeline yer verildikten sonra siber caydırıcılık üzerinden bir analiz yapılacaktır. Burada denial ve punishment kapsamında bir değerlendirme yapılacaktır. Sonuç bölümünde ise kapsamlı ulusal siber caydırıcılık stratejisi hakkında bir tartışma yer alacaktır. Çalışmanın terör örgütlerinin çevrimiçi faaliyetleriyle mücadele stratejilerine mütevazı bir katkı sunması planlanmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Siber Güvenlik
• Siber Caydırıcılık
• Terörizmle Mücadele
• Caydırıcılık Teorisi
• Ulusal Güvenlik

A Prevention Strategy in Combatting the Online Actions of Terrorist Organizations: Cyber Deterrence

Öz

This study explores the effectiveness of deterrence against terrorist organizations that use online environments, including cyberattacks, from various perspectives. Addressing the armed wings, financial resources, external aid and support, recruitment methods, and perception management activities of terrorist organizations requires a comprehensive approach. In addition to these aspects, monitoring and countering their activities in cyberspace constitute a complementary side of the struggle. Therefore, keeping terrorist organizations away from the cyber domain, halting their activities, and preventing attacks require a highly nuanced approach. This study will examine the impact of states' cyber power and defense capabilities on terrorist organizations. As the distinctive aspects of cyber deterrence pose a challenge for states, understanding how to deter non-state actors like terrorist groups is a valuable area of investigation. The study will reevaluate deterrence theory in the context of non-state actors and beyond traditional battlefields. The first section of the study will outline the conceptual framework of cyber deterrence. The second section will analyze the cyber threat potential of terrorist organizations and evaluate cyber deterrence through the lenses of denial and punishment. The conclusion will discuss a comprehensive national cyber deterrence strategy. The study aims to make a modest contribution to strategies for combating the online activities of terrorist organizations.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Cyber Security
• Cyber Deterrence
• Counterterrorism
• Deterrence Theory
• National Security

Kaynakça

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