Ekonomik Büyüme, Çevresel Vergiler, Demokrasi, Dışa Açıklık ve Kentleşme Türkiye’de Ekolojik Ayak İzini Etkiliyor mu?

Öz

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de 1994-2022 dönemi için demokrasi, çevresel vergiler, gayrisafi yurt içi hasıla (GSYİH), dışa açıklık ve kentleşmenin ekolojik ayak izi (EAİ) üzerindeki uzun dönemli etkileri incelenmektedir. Çalışmada Fourier Bootstrap Destekli ARDL ve Toda–Yamamoto nedensellik analizleri kullanılmıştır. Çalışma bulgularına göre, demokrasi düzeyi ve ekonomik büyüme ekolojik ayak izi üzerinde uzun dönemde pozitif ve istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etkiye sahip olup çevreyi bozmaktadır. Buna karşın, çevresel vergiler, dışa açıklık ve kentleşmenin ekolojik ayak izi üzerinde negatif etkiye sahip olup uzun dönemde çevre üzerinde olumlu etkiye sahiptir. Bu ampirik sonuçlar, sürdürülebilir vergi politikaları, uluslararası teknoloji transferleri ve sürdürülebilir kentsel büyüme stratejilerinin potansiyel faydalarına işaret etmektedir. Eşbütünleşme bulgularının dayanıklılık testi için Fourier Toda-Yamamoto nedensellik analizi uygulanmıştır. Nedensellik analizi sonuçları, demokrasinin, çevresel vergilerin ve kentsel nüfusun ekolojik ayak izi üzerinde tek yönlü etkisinin olduğunu, buna karşılık GSYİH’nin ve dışa açıklığın EAİ üzerinde anlamlı bir etkisinin olmadığını göstermektedir. Sonuç olarak, demokratikleşme ve ekonomik büyüme ekolojik etkileri artırırken, çevresel vergilerin ekolojik ayak izini azaltmada etkili araçlar olduğu anlaşılmaktadır. Ancak ekonomik kalkınmanın ekolojik sürdürülebilirlik ile uyumlu bir şekilde sürdürülmesi, Türkiye açısından karmaşık bir sorun oluşturmaya devam etmekte, bu da ülkenin ekonomik hedefleriyle uyumlu, iyi tasarlanmış çevre politikalarına duyulan ihtiyacı ortaya koymaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Ticari Dışa Açıklık
• Demokrasi
• Ekolojik Ayak İzi
• Ekonomik Büyüme
• Kentleşme

Etik Beyan

“Ekonomik Büyüme, Çevresel Vergiler, Demokrasi, Dışa Açıklık ve Kentleşme Türkiye’de Ekolojik Ayak İzini Etkiliyor mu?” başlıklı çalışmanın yazım sürecinde bilimsel kurallara, etik ve alıntı kurallarına uyulmuş; toplanan veriler üzerinde herhangi bir tahrifat yapılmamış ve bu çalışma herhangi başka bir akademik yayın ortamına değerlendirme için gönderilmemiştir. Bu araştırma da etik kurul kararı zorunluluğu bulunmamaktadır. Araştırmacıların Katkı Oranı Beyanı: Yazarların çalışmadaki katkı oranları eşittir. Çatışma Beyanı: Çalışmada herhangi bir potansiyel çıkar çatışması söz konusu değildir. Finansman: Bu çalışma için herhangi bir kurum veya kuruluştan destek alınmamıştır. Yapay Zeka ve Türleri Kullanım Beyanı: Bu makalenin hazırlanması sırasında, yapay zeka destekli araçlar, özellikle ChatGPT, yalnızca İngilizceye çeviri yapmak ve seçilen cümlelerin dil, dilbilgisi ve okunabilirliğini iyileştirmek amacıyla sınırlı ölçüde kullanılmıştır. Bu aracın kullanımının ardından yazarlar, yapay zeka desteğiyle hazırlanan tüm içeriği dikkatle gözden geçirip düzeltmişlerdir ve yayınlanan makalenin doğruluğu, bütünlüğü ve nihai içeriği konusunda tüm sorumluluğu üstlenmektedirler.. Veri Paylaşım Beyanı: Bu çalışmanın verilerini bulguların doğrulanması amacıyla makul bir talep üzerine “etik ilkeler ve yayın politikası”nın ilgili kısmında belirtilen şartlara göre paylaşabileceğimizi beyan ederiz.

Do Democracy, Economic Growth, Environmental Taxes, Trade Openness and Urbanisation Impact Ecological Footprint in Türkiye?

Öz

This paper explores the long-run effects of democracy, environmental taxes, gross domestic product (GDP), trade openness, and urbanisation on the ecological footprint (EFP) for Türkiye over the period 1994-2022. It adopts the Fourier bootstrap, Augmented ARDL, and Toda–Yamamoto causality methods. The findings indicate that democracy and economic expansion have a positive and statistically significant impact on the ecological footprint in the long run, thereby increasing environmental degradation. In contrast, environmental taxes, trade openness, and urbanisation exert a negative effect on the EFP in the long run, suggesting an environmentally improving role. These results highlight the potential benefits of sustainable tax policies, international technology transfer, and sustainable urban growth strategies. To test the robustness of the cointegration results, the Fourier Toda–Yamamoto causality analysis is also applied. The causality findings reveal a unidirectional causal effect running from democracy, environmental taxes, and urban population to the ecological footprint, whereas GDP and trade openness do not show a significant causal impact on EFP. Overall, the results suggest that environmental taxes can serve as an effective policy tool, while balancing economic growth with ecological sustainability remains a major challenge for Türkiye.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Trade Openness
• Democracy
• Ecological Footprint
• Economic Growth
• Urbanisation

Etik Beyan

During the writing process of the study “Do Democracy, Economic Growth, Environmental Taxes, Trade Openness and Urbanisation Impact Ecological Footprint in Türkiye?” scientific rules, ethical and citation rules were followed. No falsification was made on the collected data and this study was not sent to any other academic publication medium for evaluation. Ethics Committee Permission is not required. Statement of Contribution Rate of Researchers: The contribution rates of the authors in the study are equal. Declaration of Conflict: There is no potential conflict of interest in the study. Funding: No funding was received from any institution or organization for this study. Statement of Use for Artificial Intelligence and Its Types: During the preparation of this manuscript, an AI-assisted tool, specifically ChatGPT, was used to a limited extent solely for translation into English and for improving the language, grammar, and readability of selected sentences. Following its use, the authors carefully reviewed and revised all AI-assisted content, and accept full responsibility for the accuracy, integrity, and final content of the published article. Data Sharing Statement: We declare that, upon reasonable request for the purpose of verifying the findings, we can share the data of this study according to the conditions specified in the relevant section of the "ethical principles and publication policy".

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