Türkiye İmalat Sanayisinde Seragazı Emisyonları ve Çevresel Vergiler Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi

Yıl 2026, Cilt: 15 Sayı: 1, 167 - 176, 16.01.2026

Hüseyin Şentürk

https://doi.org/10.33206/mjss.1716885

Öz

Bu araştırma, Türkiye'nin imalat sanayisinde 2008-2021 dönemi sektörel verilerini kullanarak çevresel vergiler ile seragazı emisyonları arasındaki neden-sonuç ilişkisini incelemiştir. Çalışma, paneller arasında önemli bir yatay kesit bağımlılığı olduğunu ve çevresel vergilerin birinci farkta, seragazı emisyonlarının ise düzeyde durağan olduğunu belirlemiştir. Yapılan heterojen panel Granger nedensellik testi sonuçlarına göre, çevresel vergilerden seragazı emisyonlarına doğru istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir nedensellik ilişkisi tespit edilememiştir. Bu bulgu, Türkiye imalat sanayisindeki örtülü çevresel vergi uygulamalarının emisyonları azaltmada etkili olmadığını göstermektedir. Ancak, seragazı emisyonlarından çevresel vergilere doğru tek yönlü ve anlamlı bir Granger neden-sonuç ilişkisi bulunmuştur. Bu durum, Türkiye'deki çevresel vergi politikalarının genellikle mevcut emisyon seviyelerindeki artışlara reaktif bir yaklaşımla şekillendiğini ortaya koymaktadır. Araştırma, Türkiye'deki mevcut çevresel vergi sisteminin gözden geçirilmesi, proaktif ve etkin politikaların oluşturulması gerektiğini vurgulamaktadır. Bu çerçevede, çevresel vergi politikalarının sürdürülebilir çevre hedeflerine ulaşabilmesi için sadece emisyon artışlarına tepki vermekten ziyade, uzun vadeli planlama ve önleyici tedbirlerle desteklenmesi gerektiği sonucuna varılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Çevresel Vergiler , Seragazı Emisyonları , İmalat Sanayi , Panel Nedensellik Testi

Etik Beyan

“Türkiye İmalat Sanayisinde Seragazı Emisyonları ve Çevresel Vergiler Arasındaki Nedensellik İlişkisi” başlıklı çalışmanın yazım sürecinde bilimsel kurallara, etik ve alıntı kurallarına uyulmuş; toplanan veriler üzerinde herhangi bir tahrifat yapılmamış ve bu çalışma herhangi başka bir akademik yayın ortamına değerlendirme için gönderilmemiştir.

The Causal Relationship Between Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Environmental Taxes in the Turkish Manufacturing Industry

Öz

This study examined the causal relationship between environmental taxes and greenhouse gas emissions using sectoral data from Turkey's manufacturing industry for the period 2008-2021. The study found that there was significant cross-sectional dependence between panels and that environmental taxes were stationary in the first difference, while greenhouse gas emissions were stationary in level. According to the results of the heterogeneous panel Granger causality test, no statistically significant causality relationship was found from environmental taxes to greenhouse gas emissions. This finding indicates that implicit environmental tax policies in Turkey's manufacturing industry are not effective in reducing emissions. However, a one-way and significant Granger causality relationship was found from greenhouse gas emissions to environmental taxes. This situation reveals that environmental tax policies in Turkey are generally shaped by a reactive approach to increases in current emission levels. The study emphasizes the need to review the current environmental tax system in Turkey and to develop proactive and effective policies. In this context, it has been concluded that environmental tax policies need to be supported by long-term planning and preventive measures rather than merely responding to increases in emissions in order to achieve sustainable environmental goals.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Environmental Taxes , Greenhouse Gas Emissions , Manufacturing Industry , Panel Causality Test

Etik Beyan

During the writing process of the study “The Causal Relationship Between Greenhouse Gas Emissions and Environmental Taxes in the Turkish Manufacturing Industry” scientific rules, ethical and citation rules were followed. No falsification was made on the collected data and this study was not sent to any other academic publication medium for evaluation.

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