Araştırma Makalesi

ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING

Cilt: 41 Sayı: 2 6 Ocak 2020
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ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING

Öz

Following the world financial crisis beginning in the last quarter of 2008, aggregate demand and commodity prices have declined sharply leading to a fast decline in world inflation. This different and new period reflects the rise in risk appetite leading to high fluctuations in the short term capital flows. World central banks revised their monetary policy to the changing conditions taking into account financial stability. In 2002, the Central Bank of Republic of Turkey adopted inflation targeting (in the implicit form) to maintain price stability. After 2008, parallel to the developments in global markets, the Turkish economy reflects decline in inflation rates. Together with the changes in the economic conditions, estimating monetary policy models in the form of constant-coefficient and symmetric specification may lead to erroneous interpretations. This study analyzes the existence of structural break(s) and asymmetric behavior for the 2003-2016 period. The paper also examines the monetary policy model under the New Keynesian DSGE model. The Turkish monetary policy investigated for the period presents October 2009 as the break point under different models and structural break tests. Asymmetric reactions to interest rate, output and exchange rate are observed which are suggesting changes in the monetary preferences of Central Bank of Republic of Turkey.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Kaynakça

  1. BINICI, M., Kara, H., and Ozlu, P., 2016. Faiz Koridoru ve Banka Faizleri: Parasal Aktarım Mekanizmasina Dair Bazı Bulgular, Central Bank of Republic of Turkey Working Papers, No. 1608.
  2. ANDREWS, D. W., 1993. Tests for parameter instability and structural change with unknown change point. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society: 821-856.
  3. ANDREWS, D. W., and Ploberger, W., 1994. Optimal tests when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative. Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society: 1383-1414.
  4. BAI, J., 1997. Estimation of a change point in multiple regression models. Review of Economics and Statistics, 79(4), 551-563.
  5. BAI, J., and Perron, P., 1998. Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica: 47-78.
  6. BEC, F., M.B. Salem, F. Collard, 2002. “Asymmetries in monetary policy reaction function: Evidence for the US, French and German central banks”, Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics, Vol. 6(2): 1-22.
  7. BENLIALPER, A. Cömert, H., Öcal, N., 2015. “Asymmetric Exchange Rate Policy in Inflation Targeting Developing Countries”, mimeo. http://www.boeckler.de/pdf/v_2015_10_23_benlialper.pdf, (Accessed 12 December 2016).
  8. BERUMENT, H., 2007. Measuring monetary policy for a small open economy: Turkey, Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 29: 411–430.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil

İngilizce

Konular

Ekonomi

Bölüm

Araştırma Makalesi

Yazarlar

Erhan Aslanoğlu Bu kişi benim
Türkiye

Yayımlanma Tarihi

6 Ocak 2020

Gönderilme Tarihi

8 Nisan 2019

Kabul Tarihi

22 Ekim 2019

Yayımlandığı Sayı

Yıl 2019 Cilt: 41 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA
Deniz, P., & Aslanoğlu, E. (2020). ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 41(2), 391-412. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.665062
AMA
1.Deniz P, Aslanoğlu E. ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2020;41(2):391-412. doi:10.14780/muiibd.665062
Chicago
Deniz, Pınar, ve Erhan Aslanoğlu. 2020. “ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING”. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 41 (2): 391-412. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.665062.
EndNote
Deniz P, Aslanoğlu E (01 Ocak 2020) ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 41 2 391–412.
IEEE
[1]P. Deniz ve E. Aslanoğlu, “ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING”, Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, c. 41, sy 2, ss. 391–412, Oca. 2020, doi: 10.14780/muiibd.665062.
ISNAD
Deniz, Pınar - Aslanoğlu, Erhan. “ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING”. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi 41/2 (01 Ocak 2020): 391-412. https://doi.org/10.14780/muiibd.665062.
JAMA
1.Deniz P, Aslanoğlu E. ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 2020;41:391–412.
MLA
Deniz, Pınar, ve Erhan Aslanoğlu. “ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING”. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, c. 41, sy 2, Ocak 2020, ss. 391-12, doi:10.14780/muiibd.665062.
Vancouver
1.Pınar Deniz, Erhan Aslanoğlu. ASYMMETRY IN INFLATION TARGETING. Marmara Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi. 01 Ocak 2020;41(2):391-412. doi:10.14780/muiibd.665062

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