Araştırma Makalesi
BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

Yıl 2026, Cilt: 16 Sayı: 1 , 418 - 436 , 26.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.30783/nevsosbilen.1827782
https://izlik.org/JA58BT52PP

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Altunışık, M. B. (2020). New Turn in Turkey’s Foreign Policy in the Middle East: Regional and Domestic Insecurities. Istituto Affari Internazionali. https://www.iai.it/en/pubblicazioni/c03/new-turn-turkeys-foreign-policy-middle-east-regional-and-domestic-insecurities
  • Anas, O. (2020). The Evolution of Turkey’s Asia Policy in Historical and Contemporary Perspectives. Asian Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies, 14(3), 430-446. https://doi.org/10.1080/25765949.2020.1808379
  • Art, R. J., Brooks, S. G., Wohlforth, W. C., Lieber, K. A., & Alexander, G. (2005). Striking the Balance. International Security, 30(3), 177-196. http://www.jstor.org/stable/4137491
  • Aslam. (2024). Türkiye’s Full Membership in the SCO: Balancing Act Between East and West. https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2024/07/15/turkiyes-full-membership-in-the-sco-balancing-act-between-east-and-west/
  • Aydın-Düzgit, S., Kutlay, M. & Keyman, E. F. (2025). Strategic autonomy in Turkish foreign policy in an age of multipolarity: lineages and contradictions of an idea. Int Polit (2025). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41311-024-00638-w
  • Barkey, H. (2023). Erdogan the Survivor Washington Needs a New Approach to Turkey’s Improviser in Chief. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/turkey/erdogan-nato-survivor-united-states
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  • Brookings. (2024). Sustainable estrangement: Embracing the new normal in US-Turkish relations. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/sustainable-estrangement-embracing-the-new-normal-in-us-turkish-relations/
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  • Brooks, S. G., & Wohlforth, W. C. (2005). Hard Times for Soft Balancing. International Security, 30(1), 72-108. http://www.jstor.org/stable/4137459
  • Chaziza, M. (2021). China’s New Silk Road Strategy and the Turkish Middle Corridor Vision. Asian Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies, 15(1), 34-50. https://doi.org/10.1080/25765949.2021.1881326
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  • D-8. (2021). D-8 praises Turkey’s economic reforms, leading projects. https://developing8.org/news/d8-praises-turkeys-economic-reforms-leading-projects/
  • Daily Sabah, (2021). China's well treatment of Uighurs priority of Turkey. https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/diplomacy/chinas-well-treatment-of-uighurs-priority-of-turkey?utm
  • DEİK. (2023). Bakan Bolat: “Afrika İle Ticaret Hacmimiz 40,7 Milyar Dolara Ulaşti” https://www.deik.org.tr/basin-aciklamalari-bakan-bolat-afrika-ile-ticaret-hacmimiz-40-7-milyar-dolara-ulasti
  • Deloitte. (2023). Türkiye Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA). https://www.deloitte.com/middle-east/en/services/tax/perspectives/turkiye-comprehensive-economic-partnership-agreement.html
  • Dursun-Özkanca, O. (2023). Changing responses to a frozen conflict: The Republic of Cyprus soft balancing vis-à-vis Turkey. International Political Science Review, 45(1), 15-30. https://doi.org/10.1177/01925121231177443
  • Erşen, E. (2022). Turkey’s Pivot to Eurasia: Geopolitics and Foreign Policy in a Changing World Order. Routledge.
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  • Flemes, D. (2009). Regional power South Africa: Co-operative hegemony constrained by historical legacy. Journal of Contemporary African Studies, 27(2), 135-157. https://doi.org/10.1080/02589000902867238
  • Gramer, R. Livingstone, K. & Detsch, J. (2021). Biden Gives Turkey the Silent Treatment. https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/03/03/biden-erdogan-turkey-silent-treatment-diplomacy-middle-east-syria-crisis-nato/
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Biden döneminde Türkiye-ABD ilişkilerinde yumuşak dengeleme: Çok taraflı diplomasi ve ekonomik çeşitlendirme boyutlarıyla bir analiz

Yıl 2026, Cilt: 16 Sayı: 1 , 418 - 436 , 26.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.30783/nevsosbilen.1827782
https://izlik.org/JA58BT52PP

Öz

Bu çalışma, Joe Biden dönemi (2021-2025) ABD dış politikasının Türk dış politikası üzerindeki etkilerini yumuşak dengeleme stratejisi bağlamında incelemektedir. Çalışmanın temel amacı, Biden dönemiyle birlikte Türkiye’nin dış politikasında ortaya çıkan stratejik yönelimleri incelemek ve bu yönelimleri çok taraflı diplomasi ile ekonomik çeşitlendirme adımlarının şekillendirdiği yumuşak dengeleme bağlamında kuramsal bir çerçeveye yerleştirmektir. Teorik çerçeve olarak Paul’ün ve Pape’nin yumuşak dengeleme yaklaşımını esas alan çalışma, nitel bir araştırma yöntemi kullanarak, dış politika söylemleri, resmi belgeler, uluslararası örgüt raporları ve akademik literatür üzerinden açıklayıcı-yorumlayıcı dış politika analizi yaklaşımını benimsemektedir. Bulgular, Türkiye’nin Biden döneminde doğrudan çatışmadan kaçınarak çok taraflı diplomasi, kurumsal işbirlikleri (NATO, ŞİÖ, İİT, TDT, D-8) ve ekonomik araçlar aracılığıyla ABD’nin etkisini sınırlamaya çalıştığını ortaya koymaktadır. Bu strateji, Türkiye’ye hem Batı ittifakı içinde kalma hem de bölgesel düzeyde özerklik kazanma olanağı sağlamıştır. Sonuç olarak çalışma, Türkiye’nin yumuşak dengeleme stratejisinin klasik askeri dengelemeden farklı olarak kurumsal, normatif ve diplomatik araçlar üzerinden işlediğini; böylece orta ölçekli bir devlet olarak stratejik otonomi üretme kapasitesini güçlendirdiğini ortaya koymaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Altunışık, M. B. (2020). New Turn in Turkey’s Foreign Policy in the Middle East: Regional and Domestic Insecurities. Istituto Affari Internazionali. https://www.iai.it/en/pubblicazioni/c03/new-turn-turkeys-foreign-policy-middle-east-regional-and-domestic-insecurities
  • Anas, O. (2020). The Evolution of Turkey’s Asia Policy in Historical and Contemporary Perspectives. Asian Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies, 14(3), 430-446. https://doi.org/10.1080/25765949.2020.1808379
  • Art, R. J., Brooks, S. G., Wohlforth, W. C., Lieber, K. A., & Alexander, G. (2005). Striking the Balance. International Security, 30(3), 177-196. http://www.jstor.org/stable/4137491
  • Aslam. (2024). Türkiye’s Full Membership in the SCO: Balancing Act Between East and West. https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2024/07/15/turkiyes-full-membership-in-the-sco-balancing-act-between-east-and-west/
  • Aydın-Düzgit, S., Kutlay, M. & Keyman, E. F. (2025). Strategic autonomy in Turkish foreign policy in an age of multipolarity: lineages and contradictions of an idea. Int Polit (2025). https://doi.org/10.1057/s41311-024-00638-w
  • Barkey, H. (2023). Erdogan the Survivor Washington Needs a New Approach to Turkey’s Improviser in Chief. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/turkey/erdogan-nato-survivor-united-states
  • BBC. (2021). Erdoğan-Biden görüşmesi: ABD Başkanı hangi konuları gündeme getirecek?. https://www.bbc.com/turkce/haberler-dunya-57435719
  • Bechev, D. (2020). What does Biden’s victory mean for Turkey’s relations with Russia? https://istanpol.org/en/post-what-does-biden-s-victory-mean-for-turkey-s-relations-with-russia_1
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  • Biden, J. R. (2020). Why America Must Lead Again Rescuing U.S. Foreign Policy After Trump. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-01-23/why-america-must-lead-again?utm_campaign=tw_daily_soc&utm_source=twitter_posts&utm_medium=social
  • Biscop, S. (2018). European Strategy in the 21st Century: New Future for Old Power. London: Routledge.
  • Brands, H. (2021). The Emerging Biden Doctrine Democracy, Autocracy, and the Defining Clash of Our Time. Foreign Affairs. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2021-06-29/emerging-biden-doctrine Brookings. (2024). Bring US-Turkish relations in from the cold. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/bring-us-turkish-relations-in-from-the-cold/
  • Brookings. (2024). Sustainable estrangement: Embracing the new normal in US-Turkish relations. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/sustainable-estrangement-embracing-the-new-normal-in-us-turkish-relations/
  • Brooks, S. G., & Wohlforth, W. C. (2002). American Primacy in Perspective. Foreign Affairs, 81(4), 20-33. https://doi.org/10.2307/20033237
  • Brooks, S. G., & Wohlforth, W. C. (2005). Hard Times for Soft Balancing. International Security, 30(1), 72-108. http://www.jstor.org/stable/4137459
  • Chaziza, M. (2021). China’s New Silk Road Strategy and the Turkish Middle Corridor Vision. Asian Journal of Middle Eastern and Islamic Studies, 15(1), 34-50. https://doi.org/10.1080/25765949.2021.1881326
  • China Briefing. (2024). China-Türkiye Trade and Investment Profile. https://www.china-briefing.com/news/china-turkey-bilateral-trade-and-investment-profile/
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  • Congressional Research Service, (2022) Turkey: Background and U.S. Relations In Brief. https://www.everycrsreport.com/files/20221222_R44000_0f1edac04d95e5d3c9f2ca0ffb2f1bbc55a75788.pdf
  • Çubukçuoğlu, S. & Almarzooqi, M. H. (2023). What’s behind growing ties between Turkey and the Gulf states. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/turkeysource/whats-behind-growing-ties-between-turkey-and-the-gulf-states
  • D-8. (2021). D-8 praises Turkey’s economic reforms, leading projects. https://developing8.org/news/d8-praises-turkeys-economic-reforms-leading-projects/
  • Daily Sabah, (2021). China's well treatment of Uighurs priority of Turkey. https://www.dailysabah.com/politics/diplomacy/chinas-well-treatment-of-uighurs-priority-of-turkey?utm
  • DEİK. (2023). Bakan Bolat: “Afrika İle Ticaret Hacmimiz 40,7 Milyar Dolara Ulaşti” https://www.deik.org.tr/basin-aciklamalari-bakan-bolat-afrika-ile-ticaret-hacmimiz-40-7-milyar-dolara-ulasti
  • Deloitte. (2023). Türkiye Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA). https://www.deloitte.com/middle-east/en/services/tax/perspectives/turkiye-comprehensive-economic-partnership-agreement.html
  • Dursun-Özkanca, O. (2023). Changing responses to a frozen conflict: The Republic of Cyprus soft balancing vis-à-vis Turkey. International Political Science Review, 45(1), 15-30. https://doi.org/10.1177/01925121231177443
  • Erşen, E. (2022). Turkey’s Pivot to Eurasia: Geopolitics and Foreign Policy in a Changing World Order. Routledge.
  • Everycrsreport. (2020). Turkey: U.S. Sanctions Under the Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA). https://www.everycrsreport.com/ Fidan, H. (2023). Turkish Foreign Policy at the Turn of the ‘Century of Türkiye’: Challenges, Vision, Objectives, and Transformation. Insight Turkey, 25(23). 11-25. DOI: 10.25253/99.2023253.1
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Soft balancing in Türkiye-USA relations during the Biden era: An analysis in terms of multilateral diplomacy and economic diversification

Yıl 2026, Cilt: 16 Sayı: 1 , 418 - 436 , 26.03.2026
https://doi.org/10.30783/nevsosbilen.1827782
https://izlik.org/JA58BT52PP

Öz

This study examines the impact of US foreign policy on Turkish foreign policy during the Joe Biden era (2021-2025) in the context of the soft balancing strategy. The main purpose of the study is to examine the strategic orientations that emerged in Turkey’s foreign policy during the Biden era and to place these orientations within a theoretical framework in the context of soft balancing shaped by multilateral diplomacy and economic diversification steps. Based on Paul and Pape’s soft balancing approach as a theoretical framework, the study adopts a descriptive-interpretive foreign policy analysis approach using a qualitative research method through foreign policy discourses, official documents, international organization reports and academic literature. The findings reveal that during the Biden era, Turkey avoided direct conflict and tried to limit the influence of the US through multilateral diplomacy, institutional cooperation (NATO, SCO, OIC, TDT, D-8), and economic tools. This strategy provided Turkey with the opportunity to both remain within the Western alliance and gain autonomy at the regional level. In conclusion, the study demonstrates that Turkey’s soft balancing strategy, unlike classical military balancing, operates through institutional, normative and diplomatic tools. Thus, it reveals that it has strengthened its capacity to produce strategic autonomy as a medium-sized state.

Kaynakça

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  • Spicer, J. & Gümrükçü, T. (2024). Turkey is anchored in the West despite split on Gaza, US envoy says. https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/turkey-is-anchored-west-despite-split-gaza-us-envoy-says-2024-06-12/
  • Störmer, E., Muench, S., Vesnic-Alujevic, L., Scapolo, F., & Cagnin, C. (2021). European Commission: Joint Research Centre, Shaping and securing the EU's open strategic autonomy by 2040 and beyond, Publications Office of the European Union. https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2760/414963
  • SWP Comment. (2020). Problematic Prospects for US‑Turkish Ties in the Biden Era. https://www.swp-berlin.org/en/publication/problematic-prospects-for-us-turkish-ties-in-the-biden-era/
  • SWP Comment. (2024). From Biden to Trump: Waning Turkish‑American Relationship Demands Greater European Engagement. https://www.swp-berlin.org/10.18449/2024C54/
  • The New York Times. (2014). Biden apologizes to Turkey for remarks on Islamic State https://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/05/world/europe/turkish-leader-demands-biden-apology.html
  • U.S. Department of State. (2020). The United States Sanctions Turkey Under CAATSA 231. https://2017-2021.state.gov/the-united-states-sanctions-turkey-under-caatsa-231/?safe=1
  • U.S. Department of States. (2024). 2024 Country Reports on Human Rights Practices: Turkey https://www.state.gov/reports/2024-country-reports-on-human-rights-practices/turkey
  • Ülgen, S. (2021). Redefining the U.S.-Turkey Relationship. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.
  • United Arab Emirates Ministry of Economy and Tourism. (2023). UAE-Türkiye Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement. https://www.moet.gov.ae/en/cepa_turkey
  • Walt, S. (1990). The Origins of Alliance. Cornell University Press.
  • Walt, S. (2006). Taming American Power: The Global Response to U.S. Primacy. W.W. Norton & Company.
  • Walt, S. (2009). Alliances in a Unipolar World. World Politics, 61(1), 86-120. http://www.jstor.org/stable/40060222
  • Waltz, K. N. (1979). Theory of international politics. Addison-Wesley.
  • White House. (2021). Remarks by President Biden in press conference following the NATO Summit. https://www.whitehouse.gov
  • Wright, T. (2021). Advancing multilateralism in a populist age. https://www.brookings.edu/articles/advancing-multilateralism-in-a-populist-age/
  • Yeşiltaş, M. (2009). Soft Balancing In Turkish Foreign Policy: The Case of The 2003 Iraq War. Perceptions: Journal of International Affairs, 14(1), 25-51. https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/816501
  • Yetim, H. T., & Hazar, A. (2022). S400s, sanctions and defiance: explaining Turkey’s quest for strategic autonomy and the US response. Southeast European and Black Sea Studies, 23(1), 179–199. https://doi.org/10.1080/14683857.2022.2095698
Toplam 83 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Uluslararası Kurumlar, Uluslararası Siyaset
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

İbrahim Kurnaz 0000-0001-7228-6536

Gönderilme Tarihi 21 Kasım 2025
Kabul Tarihi 18 Ocak 2026
Yayımlanma Tarihi 26 Mart 2026
DOI https://doi.org/10.30783/nevsosbilen.1827782
IZ https://izlik.org/JA58BT52PP
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2026 Cilt: 16 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Kurnaz, İ. (2026). Soft balancing in Türkiye-USA relations during the Biden era: An analysis in terms of multilateral diplomacy and economic diversification. Nevşehir Hacı Bektaş Veli Üniversitesi SBE Dergisi, 16(1), 418-436. https://doi.org/10.30783/nevsosbilen.1827782