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TÜRKİYE’DEKİ KARAYOLU TRAFİK KAZALARINDAKİ EĞİLİMLER, 1980-2016

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2, 732 - 740, 20.07.2018
https://doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.444765

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı Türkiye’de 1980 ile 2016 yılları arasındaki trafik
kazası, ölüm ve yaralanma oranlarını incelemektir.  Zaman serisi analizi kullanılarak 1000 kişi,
1000 sürücü, 1000 taşıt ve milyon taşıt-kilometre başına düşen kaza eğilimleri
analiz edilmiştir. Ayrıca, çalışma süresince Türkiye’de gerçekleşen ekonomik
gelişme ile trafik kazaları arasında ilişki araştırılmıştır. Karayolu
yatırımlarının ve trafikteki yaptırımların kazalar, ölümler ve yaralanmalar
üzerindeki etkisi de tartışılmıştır. Çalışmanın sonuçları Türkiye’de gelir
düzeyinde, taşıt sahipliğinde ve taşıt-km’de yaşanan hızlı artışa rağmen,
trafik kazalarındaki ölümlerin son 26 yılda %17 oranında azaldığını
göstermiştir. Öte yandan, trafik kazalarının ve yaralanmaların sayısı artmaya devam
etmektedir ve ölüm oranları halen Avrupa Birliği ülkelerinin üzerindedir.

Kaynakça

  • [1] WANG, C. W., CHAN, C. L., “Estimated trends and patterns of road traffic fatalities in China, 2002–2012”, Traffic Injury Prevention, 17(2), 164-169, 2016.
  • [2] WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, Global status report on road safety 2015, World Health Organization, 2015.
  • [3] WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, Health statistics and information systems. http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/projections/en (last access 10.12.2017).
  • [4] NGHIEM, H. S., CONNELLY, L. B., GARGETT, S., “Are road traffic crash fatality rates converging among OECD countries?”, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 52, 162-170, 2013.
  • [5] KOPITS, E., CROPPER, M., “Traffic fatalities and economic growth”, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 37(1), 169-178, 2005.
  • [6] SÖDERLUND, N., ZWI, A. B., “Traffic-related mortality in industrialized and less developed countries”, Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 73(2), 175, 1995.
  • [7] van BEECK, E. F., BORSBOOM, G. J., MACKENBACH, J. P., “Economic development and traffic accident mortality in the industrialized world, 1962–1990”, International journal of epidemiology, 29(3), 503-509, 2000.
  • [8] BISHAI, D., QURESH, A., JAMES, P., GHAFFAR, A., “National road casualties and economic development”, Health economics, 15(1), 65-81, 2006.
  • [9] ELVIK, R., “The stability of long-term trends in the number of traffic fatalities in a sample of highly motorised countries”, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 42(1), 245-260, 2010.
  • [10] YANNIS, G., PAPADIMITRIOU, E., FOLLA, K., “Effect of GDP changes on road traffic fatalities”, Safety science, 63, 42-49, 2014.
  • [11] PAULOZZI, L. J., RYAN, G. W., ESPITIA-HARDEMAN, V. E., XI, Y., “Economic development's effect on road transport-related mortality among different types of road users: A cross-sectional international study”, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 39(3), 606-617, 2007.
  • [12] YANNIS, G., ANTONIOU, C., PAPADIMITRIOU, E., KATSOCHIS, D., “When may road fatalities start to decrease?”, Journal of Safety Research, 42(1), 17-25, 2011. [13] PAGE, Y., “A statistical model to compare road mortality in OECD countries”. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 33(3), 371-385, 2001.
  • [14] WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, RS in 10 countries. https://www.grsproadsafety.org/wp-content/uploads/RS-10-factsheet-V4-web.pdf (last access 11.23.2017).
  • [15] GUPTA, S., HOE, C., ÖZKAN, T., LAJUNEN, T. J., VURSAVAS, F., SENER, S., HYDER, A. A., “Evaluation of a five-year Bloomberg Global Road Safety Program in Turkey”, Public health, 144, S45-S56, 2017.
  • [16] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Population and demography. http://www.turkstat.gov.tr/PreIstatistikTablo.do?istab_id=1590 (last access 12.10.2017).
  • [17] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Number of road motor vehicles. www.tuik.gov.tr/PreIstatistikTablo.do?istab_id=1581 (last access 12.10.2017).
  • [18] TGDH, TURKISH GENERAL DIRECTORATE OF HIGHWAYS, Karayolları üzerindeki seyir ve taşımalar. http://www.kgm.gov.tr/SiteCollectionDocuments/KGMdocuments/Istatistikler/SeyirveTasimalar/SeyirVeTasimalar.pdf (last access 12.18.2017).
  • [19] TGDS, TURKISH GENERAL DIRECTORATE OF SECURITY, 2002 Trafik istatistik yıllığı. Turkish General Directorate of Security, Ankara, Turkey, 2002.
  • [20] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Road traffic accident statistics, 2016. http://www.turkstat.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=24606 (last access 12.25.2017).
  • [21] World Bank, Country Profile: Turkey. Retrieved from https://data.worldbank.org/country/turkey (last access 12.06.2017).
  • [22] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Traffic accident statistics: Road, 2007. Turkish Statistical Institute, Ankara, Turkey, 2008.
  • [23] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Road lengths. www.tuik.gov.tr/PreIstatistikTablo.do?istab_id=1585 (last access 01.06.2018).
  • [24] TGDH, TURKISH GENERAL DIRECTORATE OF HIGHWAYS, Bütçe ödenekleri harcamaları ve gelirleri. http://www.kgm.gov.tr/SiteCollectionDocuments/KGMdocuments/Istatistikler/ButceOdenekHarcamaGelir/YilItibariOdenekHarcamaTR.pdf (last access 01.13.2018).
  • [25] ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT/INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM, Road safety annual report 2016, OECD Publishing, Paris, France, 2016.

TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2, 732 - 740, 20.07.2018
https://doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.444765

Öz

The objective of this article is to examine the
trends of traffic crashes, deaths and injuries in Turkey from 1980 to 2016. A
time-series methodology were used to analyze crash trends per 1000 people, 1000
driver, 1000 vehicle and a million vehicle-kilometer traveled (VKT).
Furthermore, the association between economic development of Turkey and traffic
crashes were explored. The effectiveness of highway investments and traffic
enforcement on traffic crashes, deaths and injuries were also discussed.
Results shows that even though a dramatic increase is has observed in income,
vehicle ownership and VKT in Turkey, road traffic deaths has decreased by 17% in the last 26 years. However,
crashes and injuries has continued to increase, and death rates are still higher than rates in the European
Union (EU) countries.

Kaynakça

  • [1] WANG, C. W., CHAN, C. L., “Estimated trends and patterns of road traffic fatalities in China, 2002–2012”, Traffic Injury Prevention, 17(2), 164-169, 2016.
  • [2] WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, Global status report on road safety 2015, World Health Organization, 2015.
  • [3] WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, Health statistics and information systems. http://www.who.int/healthinfo/global_burden_disease/projections/en (last access 10.12.2017).
  • [4] NGHIEM, H. S., CONNELLY, L. B., GARGETT, S., “Are road traffic crash fatality rates converging among OECD countries?”, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 52, 162-170, 2013.
  • [5] KOPITS, E., CROPPER, M., “Traffic fatalities and economic growth”, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 37(1), 169-178, 2005.
  • [6] SÖDERLUND, N., ZWI, A. B., “Traffic-related mortality in industrialized and less developed countries”, Bulletin of the World Health Organization, 73(2), 175, 1995.
  • [7] van BEECK, E. F., BORSBOOM, G. J., MACKENBACH, J. P., “Economic development and traffic accident mortality in the industrialized world, 1962–1990”, International journal of epidemiology, 29(3), 503-509, 2000.
  • [8] BISHAI, D., QURESH, A., JAMES, P., GHAFFAR, A., “National road casualties and economic development”, Health economics, 15(1), 65-81, 2006.
  • [9] ELVIK, R., “The stability of long-term trends in the number of traffic fatalities in a sample of highly motorised countries”, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 42(1), 245-260, 2010.
  • [10] YANNIS, G., PAPADIMITRIOU, E., FOLLA, K., “Effect of GDP changes on road traffic fatalities”, Safety science, 63, 42-49, 2014.
  • [11] PAULOZZI, L. J., RYAN, G. W., ESPITIA-HARDEMAN, V. E., XI, Y., “Economic development's effect on road transport-related mortality among different types of road users: A cross-sectional international study”, Accident Analysis & Prevention, 39(3), 606-617, 2007.
  • [12] YANNIS, G., ANTONIOU, C., PAPADIMITRIOU, E., KATSOCHIS, D., “When may road fatalities start to decrease?”, Journal of Safety Research, 42(1), 17-25, 2011. [13] PAGE, Y., “A statistical model to compare road mortality in OECD countries”. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 33(3), 371-385, 2001.
  • [14] WORLD HEALTH ORGANIZATION, RS in 10 countries. https://www.grsproadsafety.org/wp-content/uploads/RS-10-factsheet-V4-web.pdf (last access 11.23.2017).
  • [15] GUPTA, S., HOE, C., ÖZKAN, T., LAJUNEN, T. J., VURSAVAS, F., SENER, S., HYDER, A. A., “Evaluation of a five-year Bloomberg Global Road Safety Program in Turkey”, Public health, 144, S45-S56, 2017.
  • [16] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Population and demography. http://www.turkstat.gov.tr/PreIstatistikTablo.do?istab_id=1590 (last access 12.10.2017).
  • [17] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Number of road motor vehicles. www.tuik.gov.tr/PreIstatistikTablo.do?istab_id=1581 (last access 12.10.2017).
  • [18] TGDH, TURKISH GENERAL DIRECTORATE OF HIGHWAYS, Karayolları üzerindeki seyir ve taşımalar. http://www.kgm.gov.tr/SiteCollectionDocuments/KGMdocuments/Istatistikler/SeyirveTasimalar/SeyirVeTasimalar.pdf (last access 12.18.2017).
  • [19] TGDS, TURKISH GENERAL DIRECTORATE OF SECURITY, 2002 Trafik istatistik yıllığı. Turkish General Directorate of Security, Ankara, Turkey, 2002.
  • [20] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Road traffic accident statistics, 2016. http://www.turkstat.gov.tr/PreHaberBultenleri.do?id=24606 (last access 12.25.2017).
  • [21] World Bank, Country Profile: Turkey. Retrieved from https://data.worldbank.org/country/turkey (last access 12.06.2017).
  • [22] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Traffic accident statistics: Road, 2007. Turkish Statistical Institute, Ankara, Turkey, 2008.
  • [23] TurkStat, TURKISH STATISTICAL INSTITUTE, Road lengths. www.tuik.gov.tr/PreIstatistikTablo.do?istab_id=1585 (last access 01.06.2018).
  • [24] TGDH, TURKISH GENERAL DIRECTORATE OF HIGHWAYS, Bütçe ödenekleri harcamaları ve gelirleri. http://www.kgm.gov.tr/SiteCollectionDocuments/KGMdocuments/Istatistikler/ButceOdenekHarcamaGelir/YilItibariOdenekHarcamaTR.pdf (last access 01.13.2018).
  • [25] ORGANISATION FOR ECONOMIC CO-OPERATION AND DEVELOPMENT/INTERNATIONAL TRANSPORT FORUM, Road safety annual report 2016, OECD Publishing, Paris, France, 2016.
Toplam 24 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular İnşaat Mühendisliği
Bölüm İnşaat Mühendisliği
Yazarlar

Murat Özen 0000-0002-1745-7483

Yayımlanma Tarihi 20 Temmuz 2018
Gönderilme Tarihi 21 Mart 2018
Kabul Tarihi 16 Mayıs 2018
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2018 Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Özen, M. (2018). TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, 7(2), 732-740. https://doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.444765
AMA Özen M. TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016. NÖHÜ Müh. Bilim. Derg. Temmuz 2018;7(2):732-740. doi:10.28948/ngumuh.444765
Chicago Özen, Murat. “TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016”. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi 7, sy. 2 (Temmuz 2018): 732-40. https://doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.444765.
EndNote Özen M (01 Temmuz 2018) TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi 7 2 732–740.
IEEE M. Özen, “TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016”, NÖHÜ Müh. Bilim. Derg., c. 7, sy. 2, ss. 732–740, 2018, doi: 10.28948/ngumuh.444765.
ISNAD Özen, Murat. “TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016”. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi 7/2 (Temmuz 2018), 732-740. https://doi.org/10.28948/ngumuh.444765.
JAMA Özen M. TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016. NÖHÜ Müh. Bilim. Derg. 2018;7:732–740.
MLA Özen, Murat. “TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016”. Niğde Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi Mühendislik Bilimleri Dergisi, c. 7, sy. 2, 2018, ss. 732-40, doi:10.28948/ngumuh.444765.
Vancouver Özen M. TRENDS IN ROAD TRAFFIC CRASHES IN TURKEY, 1980-2016. NÖHÜ Müh. Bilim. Derg. 2018;7(2):732-40.

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