Yeşil İnovasyon ve Dijitalleşmenin Ekonomik Büyümeye Katkısı Nedir: Jeopolitik Riskler ve İklim Politika Belirsizliği Rolünün Analizi

Öz

Bu araştırma 2002-2021 döneminde Brezilya, Rusya, Hindistan, Çin ve Güney Afrika ile Türkiye (BRICS+T) için yeşil inovasyon ve dijitalleşmenin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkilerini ele almıştır. Bu çerçevede jeopolitik riskler ve iklim politika belirsizliğinin rolünü analiz etmiştir. Araştırmada değişkenler arasındaki ilişki Havuzlanmış Bewley (CPS-BP), Dinamik En Küçük Kareler Ortalama Grup (DOLS-MG), Tamamen Değiştirilmiş En Küçük Kareler (FMOLS), Kanonik Eşbütünleşik Regresyon (CCR) ile Dinamik En Küçük Kareler (DOLS) tahmincileri kullanılarak tahmin edilmiştir. Sonuçlarımız yeşil inovasyonun, dijitalleşmenin, bilgi teknolojilerinin, altyapı yatırımlarının, doğumda beklenen yaşam süresi ve ABD kaynaklı iklim politika belirsizliklerinin ekonomik büyümeyi olumlu etkilediğini göstermiştir. Artan jeopolitik riskler BRICS+T ülkelerinde büyümeyi engellemiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• yeşil inovasyon
• ekonomik büyüme
• jeopolitik riskler
• alt yapı yatırımları
• iklim politika belirsizliği

What is the Contribution of Green Innovation and Digitalization to Economic Growth: Analyzing the Role of Geopolitical Risks and Climate Policy Uncertainty

Öz

This research examines the impact of green innovation and digitalization on economic growth in Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and Türkiye (BRICS+T) during the period 2002-2021. Within this framework, it analyzes the role of geopolitical risks and climate policy uncertainty. The relationships between variables were estimated using Pooled Bewley (CPS-BP), Dynamic Least Squares Mean Group (DOLS-MG), Fully Modified Least Squares (FMOLS), Canonical Cointegrated Regression (CCR), and Dynamic Least Squares (DOLS) estimators. Our results show that green innovation, digitalization, information technologies, infrastructure investments, life expectancy at birth, and US-originated climate policy uncertainties positively impacted economic growth. Increased geopolitical risks hindered growth in BRICS+T countries.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• green innovation
• economic growth
• geopolitical risks
• infrastructure investments
• climate policy uncertainty.

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