Türkiye’de Finansal Gelişme ile Ticari Serbestleşmenin Büyümeye Etkisi

Öz

Ticaretin ve finansın önündeki engelleri azaltıp dışa açılan ekonomilerin içe dönük ekonomilere göre daha hızlı büyüme kaydettiğine vurgu yapan neoliberal yaklaşımlar, gerek politika yapıcıların gerekse çekmektedir. gerçekleştirilen bu çalışma, neoliberal yaklaşımı destekle-yen Çalışmada ekonomisinde gelişme ve büyüme değişkenleri arasındaki ilişki sorgulanmıştır. Bu amaca dönük olarak Johansen eş-bütünleşme testleri ile Dinamik En Küçük Kareler Yöntemi DOLS ve Düzeltilmiş En Küçük Kareler Yöntemi FMOLS uygulanmıştır. Johansen testi sonuçlarına göre değişkenler arasında bir eşbütünleşme ilişkisi bulun-maktadır. Bir başka ifade ile finansal gelişme ve ticari serbestleşme, ülkenin büyüme performansını belirleyen güçlü birer faktördür. Diğer taraftan DOLS ve FMOLS testleri, üzerindeki etkisi-nin finansal serbestleşmenin büyüme üzerindeki etkisinden daha güçlü olduğu göstermektedir

Öz

Neoliberal approaches, which emphasizes that outward looking economies has a faster growth than inward looking economies by reducing the obstacles of trade and finance, gains intense interest of both policymaker and researchers. Based on this interest, this study presents findings that support neoliberal approaches.In this study, trade liberalization in Turkish economy and the relation between financial growth and expansion parameters in the period 1980-2010 are examined.For this aim, Johansen cointegration test with DOLS and FMOLS methodologies are applied. According to results of Johansen test there is a cointegration relation between the parameters.In other words, financial growth and trade liberalization are subsitantial factors thatdetermine the growth performance of the country.On the other hand, DOLS and FMOLS tests shows that trade liberalization has more powerful effect than financial liberalization on growth

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Liberalization methodologies Financial Development,DOLS Trade FMOLS Growth,and

Kaynakça

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