Yenilenebilir ve Yenilenemez Enerji Tüketiminin Meksika'da Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkisi: Bir RALS-EG Eşbütünleşme Testi Yaklaşımı

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 17 Sayı: 2, 502 - 518, 01.08.2022

Mustafa Naimoğlu

Öz

Meksika 1990 yılında enerji ihracatçısı iken, 2019 yılında enerji ithalatçısı olarak 1990 yılına göre enerji ithalatını %1766 oranında artırmıştır. Bu çalışmada 1990-2019 döneminde yıllık verilerle Meksika için yenilenebilir ve yenilenemez enerji tüketiminin ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkisi araştırılmaktadır. Bütün değişkenler birinci farkta durağan olduğu için uzun dönemli ilişki Engle-Granger ve literatüre Lee vd. (2015) tarafından kazandırılan RALS-EG eşbütünleşme testiyle araştırılmıştır. Uzun dönem ilişkinin büyüklüğü için tahmin edilen model sonuçlarına göre Yenilenemeyen enerji dışındaki diğer değişkenlerin katsayıları pozitiftir. Granger-Nedensellik testi sonuçlarına göre ise Meksika için büyüme hipotezi geçerlidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Yenilenebilir ve Yenilenemez Enerji Tüketimi, Büyüme, RALS-EG Eşbütünleşme, Meksika, Meksika

Impact of Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption on Economic Growth in Mexico: A RALS-EG Cointegration Test Approach

Öz

While Mexico was an energy exporter in 1990, it increased its energy imports by 1766% as an energy importer in 2019 compared to 1990. In this study, the effect of renewable and non-renewable energy consumption on economic growth for Mexico is investigated with annual data for the period 1990-2019. Since all variables are stationary at the first difference, the long-run relationship is found in Engle-Granger, and the literature by Lee et al. (2015) was investigated with the RALS-EG cointegration test. According to the model results estimated for the size of the long-term relationship, the coefficients of the variables other than non-renewable energy are positive. According to the Granger-Causality test results, the growth hypothesis is valid for Mexico.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Renewable energy consumption, non-renewable energy consumption, Growth, RALS-EG Cointegration, Meksika.

Kaynakça

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