The Digitalizing Family and the Electricity Bill: Appliance Intensity, Air Conditioning, and Proportional Energy Burden

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 26 Sayı: Özel Sayı, 2429 - 2455, 30.12.2025

Mehmet Çağrı Gözen

Öz

This study examines the share of electricity expenditure in household income in Türkiye. Using 2022 Household Budget Survey microdata, variable selection was performed via Adaptive LASSO, and a fractional logit model was estimated, with results reported as average marginal effects. Findings show that the share decreases significantly as income rises (regressive burden). Household size and dwelling area increase the share, while tenants face higher burdens. Air conditioner (AC) ownership creates the largest increase, and the number of panel TVs, internet subscriptions, computers, and mobile phones also raise the burden. The results highlight the vulnerability of the “low-income–large–big/tenant dwelling” profile. Policy suggestions include efficient AC subsidies, time-of-use tariff promotion, and minimum energy performance standards in rental housing. Energy poverty is represented by proportional electricity burden.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Family economics , electricity-income ratio , fractional logit , appliance intensity , renting

Etik Beyan

There is no circumstance in this study that requires ethics committee approval.

Destekleyen Kurum

No supporting institution is involved.

Dijitalleşen Aile ve Elektrik Faturası: Cihaz Yoğunluğu, Klima ve Oransal Enerji Yükü

Öz

Bu çalışma, Türkiye’de ailelerin elektrik harcamasının gelir içindeki payını incelemektedir. 2022 Hanehalkı Bütçe Anketi mikro verisi kullanılarak Adaptif LASSO ile değişken seçimi yapılmış, fractional logit modeli tahmin edilerek sonuçlar ortalama marjinal etkilerle raporlanmıştır. Bulgular, gelir arttıkça oranın anlamlı biçimde azaldığını (regresif yük) göstermektedir. Hanehalkı büyüklüğü ve konut alanı oranı artırırken, kiracılarda oran daha yüksektir. Klima sahipliği en büyük artışı yaratmakta; panel TV, internet, bilgisayar ve cep telefonu sayısı da yükü artırmaktadır. Sonuçlar, “düşük gelir–kalabalık–büyük/kiralık konut” profilinin kırılganlığını ortaya koymaktadır. Politika önerileri arasında verimli klima teşvikleri, çok zamanlı tarife yönlendirmeleri ve kiralık konutlarda asgari enerji performansı yer almaktadır. Enerji yoksulluğu, oransal elektrik yükü ile temsil edilmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Aile ekonomisi , elektrik/gelir oranı , fractional logit , cihaz yoğunluğu , kiracılık

Etik Beyan

Bu çalışmada etik kurul izni gerektirecek bir durum bulunmamaktadır.

Destekleyen Kurum

Destekleyen bir kurum bulunmamaktadir

Kaynakça

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