The Fight Against COVID-19 in Europe: The Effects of Vaccination on the Economy

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 25 Sayı: 1, 132 - 147, 28.03.2024

Erdem Ateş

Öz

COVID-19 is an epidemic that emerged in late 2019 and has killed approximately 6.9 million people worldwide as of September 2023. The pandemic also had negative effects on the economy. The aim of the study is to determine the impact of COVID-19 vaccines on economic indicators. In the study, the relationship between monthly COVID-19 vaccination numbers and export, import, inflation and unemployment variables of 28 European countries for the period 2021:01-2022:01 was examined using the ARDL model and PMG estimator. According to the analysis findings, it was seen that exports and imports did not have a statistically significant relationship with the number of vaccinated people. However, it has been determined that as the number of vaccinated people increases, inflation increases and the unemployment rate decreases. As a result, it has been determined that vaccination positively affects economic indicators.

Anahtar Kelimeler

International economics, International trade, Inflation, COVID-19, Employment.

Avrupa'da Kovid-19 ile Mücadele: Aşılamanın Ekonomiye Etkileri

Öz

COVID-19, 2019 yılı sonlarında ortaya çıkan ve 2023 yılı Eylül ayı itibarıyla dünya çapında yaklaşık 6,9 milyon insanın ölümüne neden olan bir salgındır. Pandeminin ekonomiye de olumsuz etkileri olmuştur. Çalışmanın amacı COVID-19 aşılarının ekonomik göstergeler üzerindeki etkisini belirlemektir. Çalışmada, ARDL modeli ve PMG tahmincisi kullanılarak 2021:01-2022:01 dönemi için 28 Avrupa ülkesinin aylık COVID-19 aşı sayıları ile ihracat, ithalat, enflasyon ve işsizlik değişkenleri arasındaki ilişki incelenmiştir. Analiz bulgularına göre, ihracat ve ithalatın aşılanan kişi sayısıyla istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir ilişkisi olmadığı görülmüştür. Ancak aşılanan kişi sayısı artıkça enflasyonun arttığı, işsizlik oranının ise azaldığı belirlenmiştir. Sonuç olarak, aşılamanın ekonomik göstergeleri olumlu etkilediği belirlenmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

uluslararası iktisat, uluslararası ticaret, enflasyon, COVID-19, istihdam.

Kaynakça

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