Günlük Buharlaşma Miktarının Bulanık Mantık Yöntemleri Kullanılarak Bölgesel Olarak Modellenmesi

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 1, 23 - 29, 30.12.2019

Kübra Özdülkar , Fatih Üneş , Mustafa Demirci , Yunus Ziya Kaya

Öz

Buharlaşma miktarı, hidrolojik ve meteorolojik çalışmalarda önemli bir parametredir. Buharlaşmanın doğru bir şekilde tahmin edilmesi, su yapılarının planlanmasında ve işletilmesinde çok önemlidir. Bu çalışmada günlük buharlaşma miktarının tahmini için Amerika Birleşik Devletleri Jeolojik Araştırma Enstitüsü (USGS)’den elde edilen 2008-2012 yılları arasındaki buharlaşma verileri kullanılmıştır. Günlük buharlaşma tahmini Mamdani ve Sugeno bulanık mantık yöntemleri kullanılarak tahmin edilmeye çalışılmış ve ortaya çıkan sonuçlar karşılaştırılmıştır. Çalışma alanı olarak Lewisville Gölü yakınında (Texas, ABD) belirtilen bir istasyon seçilmiştir. Günlük ortalama buharlaşma tahmini için ortalama günlük hava sıcaklığı (T), rüzgar hızı (U), güneş ışınımı (SR) ve bağıl nem (RH) parametreleri kullanılmıştır. Bulanık Mantık modelleri arasında karşılaştırma yapılmış ve sonucunda Sugeno yönteminin performansının daha iyi olduğu görülmüştür.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Evaporasyon, Bulanık Mantık, Sugeno, Mamdani

Kaynakça

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