Avrupa Birliği Ülkelerinin İklim Değişikliğine Uyum Performanslarının Bütünleşik MEREC-MOORA Yaklaşımıyla Değerlendirilmesi

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 2, 366 - 393, 01.07.2024

Hasan Emin Gürler

https://doi.org/10.17541/optimum.1454898

Öz

1980’li yılların sonlarından itibaren en önemli küresel sorunlardan birisi iklim değişikliği olmuştur. İklim değişikliğinin neden olduğu zorlukların üstesinden gelebilmek için iklim değişikliğine uyum stratejilerinin su-enerji-gıda-çevre bağlantısına entegre edilmesi büyük önem taşımaktadır. Özellikle Paris Anlaşması'ndan (2015) sonra iklim riskleri konusunda küresel farkındalık artmış ve giderek artan sayıda ülke karbon veya iklim nötr olma hedefleri yayınlamıştır. Bu bağlamda bu çalışmada, entegre MEREC-MOORA modeliyle Avrupa Birliği ülkelerini iklim değişikliğine uyum performanslarına göre değerlendirmek amaçlanmıştır. Avrupa Çevre Ajansı tarafından yayımlanan beş kriter, MEREC yöntemiyle ağırlıklandırılmış ve AB ülkeleri MOORA tekniği ile performanslarına göre sıralanmıştır. MEREC tekniği sonuçlarına göre en önemli kriter “kuraklığın ekosistemler üzerindeki etkisi”dir. MOORA yöntemi sonuçlarına göre, iklim değişikliğine uyum performansı en yüksek olan ülke Güney Kıbrıs’tır. Ayrıca çalışmada önerilen MEREC-MOORA entegre modelin sonuçlarının tutarlılığı iki aşamalı duyarlılık analiziyle test edilmiştir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

İklim değişikliği, Merec, Moora, AB ülkeleri, Duyarlılık analizi

Assessment of Climate Change Adaptation Performance of European Union Countries with Integrated Merec-Moora Approach

Öz

Since the late 1980s, climate change has been one of the most important global challenges. To overcome the challenges caused by climate change, it is crucial to integrate climate change adaptation strategies into the water-energy-food-environment nexus. Especially after the Paris Agreement (2015), global awareness of climate risks has increased, and an increasing number of countries have published carbon or climate neutrality targets. In this context, this study aims to evaluate the European Union countries by their climate change adaptation performance with the integrated MEREC-MOORA model. Five criteria published by the European Environment Agency are weighted by the MEREC method, and EU countries are ranked based on their performance using the MOORA technique. According to the MEREC results, the most important criterion is "drought impact on ecosystems". According to the MOORA results, Cyprus is the country with the highest climate change adaptation performance. Also, the consistency of the results of the MEREC-MOORA integrated model proposed in the study was tested with a two-stage sensitivity analysis.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Climate change, Merec, Moora, EU countries, Sensitivity analysis

Kaynakça

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