Suriye-İsrail Barış Görüşmeleri: Olgunlaşma Teorisi Perspektifinden Bir Analiz

Yıl 2012, Cilt: 3 Sayı: 2, 217 - 254, 15.07.2016

Berna Süer

Öz

1990’lı yıllar boyunca ABD’nin arabuluculuğunda gerçekleşen Suriye-İsrail barış görüşmeleri bir anlaşma imzalanmaksızın 2000 yılında sona ermişti. Bu çalışma Suriye-İsrail arasındaki ikili görüşmelerin neden başarısızlıkla sonuçlandığını irdelemektedir. Konuyla ilgili önemli bir literatür vardır. Ancak bu literatürde göze çarpan eksiklik, konunun uyuşmazlıkların çözümü açısından yeterince incelenmediğidir. Var olan çalışmaların da daha çok ABD’nin etkili olamayan arabuluculuk rolü üzerine olduğu görülmektedir. Bu çalışma, uyuşmazlıkların çözümü literatürünün önemli bir kısmını oluşturan olgunlaşma teorisini kuramsal çerçevesi olarak kullanmaktadır. Makale Suriye-İsrail sorununun başarısızlıkla sonuçlanmasını, bu sorunun kendi dinamikleri içinde olgunlaşmadan çözülmeye çalışılmasına bağlamaktadır. Her ne kadar uluslararası ve bölgesel konjonktür çözüm için uygun olsa da ve dönemin süper gücü ABD arabulucu olarak süreçte yer alsa da, bunlar olgunlaşmamış Suriye-İsrail sorununu dönüştürmeye yetmemiştir

Anahtar Kelimeler

Suriye-İsrail Sorunu, Suriye-İsrail Barış Görüşmeleri, Sorunların Dönüşümü, Olgunlaşma Teorisi

Syrian-Israeli Peace Negotiations: An Analysis From the Perspective of Ripeness Theory

Öz

Syrian-Israeli peace negotiations with the US mediation in the 1990s ended in 2000 without an agreement. This article aims at analyzing the reasons behind the failure of the peace process between Syria and Israel. Indeed there is a few but important literature on the issue. However, this conflict has not been studied intensively from the perspective of conflict resolution. And the studies related to this field are mainly about the ineffective role of the US mediation in the process. Be aware of this gap, this article has used ripeness theory, which is a vital part of the literature on conflict resolution. It is argued that the Syrian-Israeli conflict was tried to be solved without ripening of this conflict and this led to the failure of the process at the end. Notwithstanding the appropriate international and regional context together with the presence of the US mediation, this unripe conflict could not be transformed into a good level

Anahtar Kelimeler

Syrian-Israeli Conflict, Syrian-Israeli Peace Negotiations, Conflict Transformation, Ripeness Theory

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