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FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024)

Yıl 2025, Sayı: 67, 195 - 215

Öz

Fransa ve Almanya günümüz dünyasında uluslararası ilişkiler alanında en güçlü aktörler arasında yer almaktadır. Her iki aktörün de izlediği bölgesel ve küresel stratejiler dikkatle takip edilmektedir. Fransa ve Almanya’yı izledikleri stratejiler yönüyle özgün kılan en önemli unsur ise her iki devletinde ulusal kimlik ve değerleriyle beraber Avrupa Birliği’nin (AB) başat aktörü olmalarından kaynaklanmaktadır. Dolayısıyla Fransa ve Almanya ulusal çıkarlarını gerçekleştirme çabasının yanı sıra AB kurumsal yapısının güçlendirilmesi konusunda da uyumlu stratejiler benimsemek zorundadır. Bununla beraber müttefikleriyle ilişkileri de bir diğer önemli stratejik unsurdur. Sahip olunan politik, ekonomik ve askeri kapasitelerde izlenecek stratejileri doğrudan etkilemektedir. Çalışma günümüzde devam eden Ukrayna-Rusya Savaşı, Kuzey Afrika ve Orta Doğu bölgesinde yaşanan gerilim ve şiddet olaylarının yanı sıra yükselen güç Çin’e yönelik stratejik yaklaşımlarda benzerliklerin olduğu kadar farklılıkların olduğunu da göstermektedir. Ancak geniş bir bakış açısıyla her iki aktörün de ulusal çıkarlarını gerçekleştirme çabalarının yanı sıra müşterek hareket edebilme potansiyelini de uyumlu bir şekilde değerlendirdikleri görülmüştür.

Kaynakça

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REGIONAL AND GLOBAL STRATEGIES OF FRANCE AND GERMANY AND COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS (2010-2024)

Yıl 2025, Sayı: 67, 195 - 215

Öz

France and Germany are among the most powerful actors in the field of international relations in today's world. The regional and global strategies followed by both actors are followed carefully. The most important factor that makes France and Germany unique in terms of the strategies they follow is that both states are the leading actors of the European Union with their national identities and values. Therefore, in addition to their efforts to realize their national interests, France and Germany must also adopt compatible strategies to strengthen the institutional structure of the European Union. However, relations with its allies are another important strategic element. It directly affects the strategies to be followed in political, economic and military capacities. The study shows that there are similarities as well as differences in the strategic approaches towards the rising power China, as well as the ongoing Ukraine-Russia War, the tension and violence in the North Africa and the Middle East region. However, from a broad perspective, it has been observed that both actors harmoniously evaluate the potential for joint action as well as their efforts to realize their national interests.

Kaynakça

  • Abboud, Leyla & Henry Foy (2024) Macron says Sending Western Troops to Ukraine cannot be Ruled Out (https://www.ft.com/content/83b8a80d-ab22-47fc-bbbb-6b1fd9df68ba).
  • Abboud, Leyla; Sam Jones & Ben Hall (2024) Macron says Ukraine should be able to Target Russia with Western Arms (https://www.ft.com/content/24804516-b67c-40cc-8684-ccbf06b38268).
  • Abboud, Leyla; Ben Salonu & Henry Foy (2024) Europe Faces ‘Mortal’ Threat, says Emmanuel Macron (https://www.ft.com/content/01a0657c-ed25-4d7b-add6-568dcc6907f9).
  • Altıntaş, Aslıhan Yeniçeri (2017) Fransa'nın Küresel Stratejileri: Askeri Müdahalelerden Diplomasi Savaşlarına Fransız Stratejileri. In: Cengiz Dinç & Bülent Akkuş (eds) Küresel ve Büyük Güçlerin Stratejileri Güncel Değerlendirmeler. Ankara: Orion Kitabevi (311-338).
  • Amadio Viceré, Maria Giulia (2021) Externalizing EU Crisis Management: EU Orchestration of the OSCE during the Ukrainian Conflict. Contemporary Security Policy 42(4): 498-529.
  • Amadio Viceré, Maria Giulia (2023) Informal Groupings as Types of Differentiated Cooperation in EU Foreign Policy: the Cases of Kosovo, Libya, and Syria. Contemporary Security Policy 44(1): 35-66.
  • Bakanlığı, Dışişleri (2013) Türkiye ile AB Arasında Vize Serbestisi Diyaloğu Mutabakat Metni ve Geri Kabul Anlaşması İmzalandı (https://www.mfa.gov.tr/turkiye-ile-ab-arasinda-vize-serbestisi-diyalogu-mutabakat-metni-ve-geri-kabul-anlasmasi-imzalandi.tr.mfa).
  • Beattie, Alan (2024) Xi’s Visit Stress-Tests Macron’s Plans for A Sovereign Europe (https://www.ft.com/content/2362ca7d-0b7c-4f82-b8ec-0fa50789fa3b).
  • Beauregard, Philippe; Arsène Brice Bado & Jonathan Paquin (2019) The Boundaries of Acceptability: France’s Positioning and Rhetorical Strategies during the Arab Uprisings. Mediterranean Politics 24(1): 40-61.
  • Bergermann, Marion (2024) Germany's Ruling Socialists Wobble, after Losing to Far Right (https://euobserver.com/eu-elections/ar3fc86be2).
  • Boeke, Sergei & Bart Schuurman (2015) Operation ‘Serval’: A Strategic Analysis of the French Intervention in Mali, 2013–2014. Journal of Strategic Studies 38(6): 801-825.
  • Bohl, Ryan (2024) Syria Sets Out Toward a New and Uncertain Future (https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/syria-sets-out-toward-new-and-uncertain-future).
  • Bozo, Frederic (2016) French Foreign Policy Since 1945. Paris: Berghahn Books.
  • Brozus, Lars & Jessica von Farkas (2012) Germany and R2P: Common but Differentiated Responsibility? [The Responsibility to Protect – From Evasive to Reluctant Action? The Role of Global Middle Powers]. Johannesburg.
  • Bulmer, Simon & William Paterson (2010) Germany and the European Union: from ‘Tamed Power’to Normalized Power? International Affairs Vol. 86(5): ss. 1051-1073.
  • Bulmer, Simon & William E. Paterson (2013) Germany as the EU's Reluctant Hegemon? Of Economic Strength and Political Constraints. Journal of European Public Policy 20(10): 1387-1405.
  • Burchill, Scott (2013) Liberalizm. In: Scott Burchill; Andrew Linklater; Richard Devetak; Jack Donnelly; Terry Nardin; Matthew Paterson; Christian Reus-Smit & Jacqui True (eds) Uluslararası İlişkiler Teorileri. İstanbul: Küre Yayınları (ss. 85-122).
  • Callahan, William A. (2004) Remembering the Future—Utopia, Empire, and Harmony in 21st-Century International Theory. European Journal of International Relations 10(4): 569-601.
  • Chafer, Tony (2005) Chirac and ‘la Françafrique’: No Longer a Family Affair. Modern & Contemporary France 13(1): 7-23.
  • Chazan, Adam & Leyla Abboud (2024) Emmanuel Macron and Olaf Scholz Meet to Patch Up Their Fraying Ties (https://www.ft.com/content/f5112250-15e8-4b11-892e-9a97b395d8c2).
  • Chazan, Guy (2024) France and Germany Reach ‘Breakthrough’ on Joint Tank Plans (https://www.ft.com/content/4c9e40a7-cb30-4915-b750-fb9c26254c6e).
  • Clarkson, Alexander (2024) Germany’s Backward-Looking Elections Could Be a Prelude to Disaster (https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/germany-election-politics-cdu/).
  • Cuvelier, Jeroen (2023) Why Time Matters for Understanding the ASM-LSM Nexus in South-Eastern Democratic Republic of Congo. The Journal of Modern African Studies 61(2): 189-208.
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  • Emir, Mehmet (2021a) Milenyum Çağında AB Kimliğinin Analizi (2010-2018). International Journal of Politics and Security (IJPS) Cilt: 3(2): ss. 169-202.
  • Emir, Mehmet (2021b) Yirminci Yıldönümünde 11 Eylül: Kopenhag Okulu Çerçevesinde ABD İç ve Dış Politikasının Değerlendirilmesi. International Journal of Politics and Security (IJPS) Cilt: 3(3): ss. 267-306.
  • Emir, Mehmet (2022) Almanya’nın 1990-2018 Yılları Arasındaki Ekonomik Gücünün Askeri Güce Dönüşüm Analizi. Anadolu Strateji Dergisi Cilt: 4(2): ss. 31-49.
  • Emir, Mehmet (2023a) Avrupa Birliği'nin Gelişen Libya Politikası: Göç ve Güvenlik. Ankara: Nobel Akademik Yayıncılık.
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  • Emir, Mehmet (2024a) Avrupa Birliği’nin Gelişen Orta Asya Politikası: Ekonomi ve Güvenlik Stratejisinin Karşılaştırmalı Analizi (1991-2023). Gazi Akademik Bakış 18(35): 75-96.
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  • Emir, Mehmet (2024c) İsrail’in Hamas Savaşı Bağlamında Teopolitik Motivasyonu İle Müttefiklik İlişkisinin Bölgesel Etki Analizi. UPA Strategic Affairs 5(1): 204-226.
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  • Eurotopics (2024) Avrupa Parlamentosu Seçimleri: Kiev'e Destek Azalıyor mu? (https://www.eurotopics.net/tr/321367/avrupa-parlamentosu-secimleri-kiev-e-destek-azaliyor-mu).
  • Fırat, Melek (2009) Soğuk Savaş Sonrasında Fransa’nın Dış Politikası. Ankara Üniversitesi SBF Dergisi 64(1): 115-163.
  • Foy, Henry (2024) Why Macron and Scholz’s shift on Ukraine Attacking Russia Matters-Also in This Newsletter: Auditors Assess How the EU is Faring on Artificial Intelligence (https://www.ft.com/content/7b17146b-a5e3-484f-a5a6-0425a9bfab58).
  • Ghitis, Frida (2024) France’s Macron and Germany’s Scholz Have Traded Places on Ukraine (https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/france-ukraine-aid-germany-europe/).
  • Haber, TRT (2024) Fransa'nın Eski Sömürgeleriyle Başı Dertte (https://www.trthaber.com/haber/dunya/fransanin-eski-somurgeleriyle-basi-dertte-857749.html).
  • Hellmann, Gunther (2011) Normatively Disarmed, but Self-Confident: German Foreign Policy 20 Years After Reunification. Internationale Politik Vol. 3/2011: ss. 45-51.
  • Hoffmeyer-Zlotnik, Paula; Sandra Lavenex & Philipp Lutz (2023) Expanding, Complementing, or Substituting Multilateralism? EU Preferential Trade Agreements in the Migration Regime Complex. Politics and Governance 11(2): 49-61.
  • Ischinger, Wolfgang (2022) Germany’s Ukraine Problem - Europe’s Largest Country Needs Time to Adjust to a Dangerous New World (https://www.foreignaffairs.com/germany/germanys-ukraine-problem).
  • Jaspars, Susanne; Nisar Majid & Guhad M. Adan (2023) Somalia's Evolving Political Market Place: from Famine and Humanitarian Crisis to Permanent Precarity. The Journal of Modern African Studies 61(3): 343-366.
  • Johnston, Ian (2024) Moody’s Downgrades France’s Credit Rating over Political Turmoil (https://www.ft.com/content/010b5743-b943-482e-a947-e99a83da42c1).
  • Jones, Bruce D. (2011) Libya and the Responsibilities of Power. Survival Vol. 53(3): ss. 51-60.
  • Khalaf, Roula (2024) Macron and Scholz: We must Strengthen European Sovereignty (https://www.ft.com/content/853f0ba0-c6f8-4dd4-a599-6fc5a142e879).
  • Kökçam, Selami (2023) Nijer’in Ardından Fransa’ya Bir Darbe Daha: Gabon (https://www.trthaber.com/haber/dunya/nijerin-ardindan-fransaya-bir-darbe-daha-gabon-792411.html).
  • Krotz, Ulrich (2015) History and Foreign Policy in France and Germany. New York: Palgrave Macmillan.
  • Kurumu, Almanya İstatistik (2024) Bevölkerung in Privathaushalten nach Migrationshintergrund im weiteren Sinn nach ausgewählten Geburtsstaaten (https://www.destatis.de/DE/Themen/Gesellschaft-Umwelt/Bevoelkerung/Migration-Integration/Tabellen/migrationshintergrund-staatsangehoerigkeit-staaten.html).
  • Liechtenstein, Prince Michael of (2024) Europe’s Future: Meltdowns or Chainsaws? (https://www.gisreportsonline.com/r/europes-future/).
  • Mattiacchi, Eleonora (2023) Volatile States in International Politics. New York: Oxford University Press.
  • Medet, Halil İbrahim (2022) Eski Fransız Sömürgesi Afrika Ülkeleri Anlaşmalarla Yürütülen Yeni Sömürgeciliğe Başkaldırıyor (https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/ayrimcilikhatti/ayrimcilik/eski-fransiz-somurgesi-afrika-ulkeleri-anlasmalarla-yurutulen-yeni-somurgecilige-baskaldiriyor/1815282).
  • Mitrany, David (1948) The Functional Approach to World Organization. International Affairs (Royal Institute of International Affairs 1944-) 24(3): 350-363.
  • Mohan, Garima (2020) A European Strategy for the Indo-Pacific. The Washington Quarterly 43(4): 171-185.
  • Moravcsik, Andrew (1993) Preferences and Power in the European Community: A Liberal Intergovernmentalist Approach. Journal of Common Market Studies 31(4): 473-524.
  • News, BBC (2024) Fransa Cumhurbaşkanı Macron: Yeni Kaledonya'da Görülmemiş Bir İsyan Yaşandı (https://www.bbc.com/turkce/articles/c5115y96j55o).
  • Onderco, Michal & Clara Portela (2023) External Drivers of EU Differentiated Cooperation: How Change in the Nuclear Nonproliferation Regime Affects Member States Alignment. Contemporary Security Policy 44(1): 150-175.
  • Örmeci, Ozan & Temmuz Yiğit Bezmez (2019) Fransa Siyaseti ve Dış Politikası. İstanbul: Bilgesam Yayınları.
  • Özdemir, Haluk (2012) Avrupa Mantığı Avrupa Bütünleşmesinin Teori ve Dinamikleri. İstanbul: Boğaziçi Üniversitesi Yayınevi.
  • Özkan, Yusuf (2024) AB’nin Onayladığı Sığınma ve Göç Anlaşması Neler Öngörüyor, Türkiye’yi Nasıl Etkileyebilir? (https://www.bbc.com/turkce/articles/cj7mmpx10gno).
  • Parlamentosu, Avrupa (2015) The Franco-German relationship in the European Union (https://www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2015/568359/EPRS_BRI%282015%29568359_EN.pdf).
  • Paterson, William (2011) The Reluctant Hegemon: Germany Moves Centre Stage in the European Union. Journal of Common Market Studies Vol. 49: ss. 57-75.
  • Polus, Andrzej & Hangwei Li (2023) Development Studies Meet Pierre Bourdieu: the Case of Chinese Private FDI in Zambia. The Journal of Modern African Studies 61(4): 521-543.
  • Powell, Robert (1994) Anarchy in International Relations Theory: The Neorealist-Neoliberal Debate. International Organization 48(2): 313-344.
  • Salih, Faysal Muhammed (2023) Afrika'daki Darbelerin Ardında Fransa'yı Arayın (https://www.indyturk.com/node/658616/d%C3%BCnyadan-sesler/afrikadaki-darbelerin-ard%C4%B1nda-fransay%C4%B1-aray%C4%B1n).
  • Sampson, Michael & Jue Wang (2023) Status-quo Enhancing versus Status-quo Challenging Change in Global Economic Governance: the Case of China in Finance and Trade. International Relations 37(4): 613-633.
  • Sandbu, Martin (2024) Germany’s Doomed China Strategy (https://www.ft.com/content/2ff22d32-390a-4126-865f-7365178a0d6c).
  • Schlein, Lisa (2022) Sahel Risks Becoming a Forgotten Crisis, UN Official Says (https://www.voanews.com/a/sahel-risks-becoming-a-forgotten-crisis-un-official-says/6736298.html).
  • Schuette, Leonard & Hylke Dijkstra (2023) The Show Must Go On: The EU's Quest to Sustain Multilateral Institutions since 2016. Journal of Common Market Studies 61(5): 1318-1336.
  • Shotter, James (2024) Germany Condemns Israel Plan to Double Population in Golan Heights (https://www.ft.com/content/24657050-1d32-4244-b001-c523abbce0be).
  • Smith, Michael (2003) The Framing of European Foreign and Security Policy: towards a Post-modern Policy Framework? Journal of European Public Policy 10(4): 556-575.
  • Statista (2024a) Refugees and Asylum in Germany (https://www.statista.com/study/71973/refugees-and-asylum-in-germany/).
  • Statista (2024b) Russia-Ukraine War (https://www.statista.com/study/86697/russia-ukraine-conflict/).
  • Stephen, Matthew D. (2021) China's New Multilateral Institutions: A Framework and Research Agenda. International Studies Review 23(3): 807-834.
  • Stratfor (2024a) 2025 Annual Forecast: A Global Overview (https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/2025-annual-forecast-global-overview).
  • Stratfor (2024b) Can the EU Avoid Trump's Tariffs by Importing More U.S. Oil and Gas? (https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/can-eu-avoid-trumps-tariffs-importing-more-us-oil-and-gas).
  • Stratfor (2024c) China, U.S.: Pentagon Report Highlights Escalating Missile Arms Race (https://worldview.stratfor.com/situation-report/china-us-pentagon-report-highlights-escalating-missile-arms-race).
  • Stratfor (2024d) France: President Macron Appoints Centrist Francois Bayrou as Prime Minister (https://worldview.stratfor.com/situation-report/france-president-macron-appoints-centrist-francois-bayrou-prime-minister).
  • Stratfor (2024e) Germany: Bundestag Ousts Scholz in No-Confidence Vote, Paving Way for February Elections (https://worldview.stratfor.com/situation-report/germany-bundestag-ousts-scholz-no-confidence-vote-paving-way-february-elections).
  • Stratfor (2024f) Ukraine, France: Macron To Pitch Deployment to Ukraine as Part of Post-War Security Guarantee (https://worldview.stratfor.com/situation-report/ukraine-france-macron-pitch-deployment-ukraine-part-post-war-security-guarantee).
  • Stratfor (2024g) West Africa: Mali, Niger, Burkina Faso To Enjoy Six-Month Grace Period Following Exit From ECOWAS (https://worldview.stratfor.com/situation-report/west-africa-mali-niger-burkina-faso-enjoy-six-month-grace-period-following-exit).
  • Stratfor (2024h) What Assad's Fall Means for Russia (https://worldview.stratfor.com/article/what-assads-fall-means-russia).
  • Triandafyllidou, Anna & Anastasios Fotiou (1998) Sustainability and Modernity in the European Union: A Frame Theory Approach to Policy-Making. Sociological Research Online 3(1): 60-75.
  • Welle, Deutsche (2022) Alman Ordusu İçin 100 Milyar Euroluk Ek Fon (https://www.dw.com/tr/alman-ordusu-i%C3%A7in-100-milyar-euroluk-ek-fon/a-60934072).
  • Welz, Martin (2022) Institutional Choice, Risk, and Control: The G5 Sahel and Conflict Management in the Sahel. International Peacekeeping 29(2): 235-257.
  • Westerwinter, Oliver (2022) Transnational Governance as Strategy? Mapping and Explaining the European Union’s Participation in Transnational Public-Private Governance Initiatives. Journal of European Integration 44(5): 695-713.
  • Wyrod, Robert & Kimberlee Chang (2023) Tensions in Sino-African Labour Relations: the View from the Karuma Hydroelectric Dam in Uganda. The Journal of Modern African Studies 61(4): 583-604.
  • Yoroms, Gani Joses (2021) France's Counterterrorism and Counterinsurgency Strategy in Africa. In: Usman A. Tar (ed.) The Routledge Handbook of Counterterrorism and Counterinsurgency in Africa. New York: Routledge (265-279).
Toplam 91 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Avrupa ve Bölge Çalışmaları, Karşılaştırmalı Siyasi Hareketler, Uluslararası Siyaset
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Mehmet Emir 0000-0003-3143-1439

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 4 Mart 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi
Gönderilme Tarihi 3 Temmuz 2024
Kabul Tarihi 30 Aralık 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Sayı: 67

Kaynak Göster

APA Emir, M. (2025). FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024). Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi(67), 195-215. https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.1509973
AMA Emir M. FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024). PAUSBED. Mart 2025;(67):195-215. doi:10.30794/pausbed.1509973
Chicago Emir, Mehmet. “FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024)”. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, sy. 67 (Mart 2025): 195-215. https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.1509973.
EndNote Emir M (01 Mart 2025) FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024). Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi 67 195–215.
IEEE M. Emir, “FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024)”, PAUSBED, sy. 67, ss. 195–215, Mart 2025, doi: 10.30794/pausbed.1509973.
ISNAD Emir, Mehmet. “FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024)”. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi 67 (Mart 2025), 195-215. https://doi.org/10.30794/pausbed.1509973.
JAMA Emir M. FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024). PAUSBED. 2025;:195–215.
MLA Emir, Mehmet. “FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024)”. Pamukkale Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, sy. 67, 2025, ss. 195-1, doi:10.30794/pausbed.1509973.
Vancouver Emir M. FRANSA VE ALMANYA’NIN BÖLGESEL VE KÜRESEL STRATEJİLERİ VE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI ANALİZİ (2010-2024). PAUSBED. 2025(67):195-21.