A Model for Estimating Amount of Personal Protective Equipment Employed within Occupational Health and Safety

Öz

When Occupational Health and Safety studies are examined, it is seen that many different methods are employed in the risk analysis process, but there is no study in the literature to estimate the amount of Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) usage, which is one of the precautions to be taken after risk analysis. In this study, a model was developed based on Autoregressive Integrated Moving Averages (ARIMA) for estimation of PPE usage of enterprises. In an enterprise operating in the white goods sector, the usage data of respiratory protective masks in 2015-2019 has been examined and the need for respiratory protective masks that may arise for 2020-2022 has been estimated. The effectiveness of our method was examined by comparing the estimates made with the amount of PPE usage. Increasing relationships between man and machine in the industrial era require the creation of human-compatible businesses, and in this sense, ergonomics can benefit from occupational health and safety practices in order to improve productivity. The PPE estimates made gave close results to the actual use of respiratory protective masks. This study for the estimation of the amount of use of protective masks can also be applied for the prediction of other personal protective equipment used throughout the business in the future.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Occupational Health and Safety,Ergonomics,Personal Protective Equipment,Forecasting Methods,ARIMA

İş Sağlığı ve Güvenliği Kapsamında Kullanılan Kişisel Koruyucu Donanım Miktarının Tahminine Yönelik Bir Model

Öz

İş Sağlığı ve Güvenliği (ISG) çalışmaları incelendiğinde risklerin analizi sürecinde çok farklı yöntemlerin kullanıldığı görülmekle birlikte, risk analizi sonrasında alınacak önlemlerin başında yer alan Kişisel Koruyucu Donanım (KKD) kullanımı miktarının tahminine yönelik bir çalışma literatürde görülememiştir. Bu çalışmada işletmelerin KKD kullanımlarının tahmini için Otoregresif Entegre Hareketli Ortalamalar (ARIMA) temel alınarak bir model geliştirilmiştir. Beyaz eşya sektöründe faaliyet gösteren bir işletmede 2015-2019 yıllarındaki solunum koruyucu maskelerin kullanım verileri incelenmiş, 2020-2022 yılları için ortaya çıkabilecek solunum koruyucu maskesi ihtiyacı tahmin edilmiştir. Yapılan tahminlerle KKD kullanım miktarları karşılaştırılarak yöntemimizin etkinliği incelenmiştir. Endüstri çağında insan-makine arasında artan ilişkiler, insana uyumlu işletmelerin oluşturulmasını gerektirmektedir ve bu anlamda ergonomi bilimi, verimliliği artırmak için iş sağlığı güvenliği uygulamalarından istifade edebilir. Yapılan KKD tahminleri solunum koruyucu maskelerin gerçekleşen kullanım miktarlarına yakın sonuçlar vermiştir. Koruyucu maskelerin kullanım miktarının tahmini için yapılan bu çalışma gelecekte işletme genelinde kullanılan diğer kişisel koruyucu donanımların tahmini için de uygulanabilir.   

Anahtar Kelimeler

• İş Sağlığı ve Güvenliği,Ergonomi,Kişisel Koruyucu Donanım,Tahmin Yöntemleri,ARIMA

Kaynakça

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