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GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach

Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2 24 Eylül 2026
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GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach

Öz

Traditional landslide susceptibility models often rely on statistical methods applied to limited point-based samples, which can limit the spatial continuity of predictions. This study proposes a GIS-integrated, pixel-based machine learning approach that operates directly on raster data to generate continuous landslide susceptibility maps. Implemented in Rwanda, the workflow uses variables derived from a 30 m-resolution digital elevation model (DEM), including slope, aspect, elevation, and curvature, together with auxiliary environmental data such as NDVI, soil type, and distances to hydrological and infrastructural features. Several machine learning algorithms were evaluated, including Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, Logistic Regression, and ensemble approaches. Using only topographic variables, the Stacked Ensemble achieved the highest performance (F1-score = 0.8515; ROC-AUC = 0.9200). When all predictor variables were included, CatBoost achieved the highest performance (F1-score = 0.8860; ROC-AUC = 0.9564). This scalable approach is particularly suitable for landslide susceptibility assessment in data-scarce regions and can contribute to spatial planning and risk reduction efforts in Rwanda and similar regions.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Landslide susceptibility mapping, GIS, Machine learning, Raster analysis, CatBoost, Rwanda

Kaynakça

  1. Ayalew, L., & Yamagishi, H. (2005). The application of GIS-based logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Kakuda–Yahiko Mountains, Japan. Geomorphology, 65(1–2), 15–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2004.06.010
  2. Breiman, L. (2001). Random forests. Machine Learning, 45(1), 5–32. https://doi.org/10.1023/A:1010933404324
  3. Brenning, A. (2005). Spatial prediction models for landslide hazards: review, comparison and evaluation. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 5(6), 853–862. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-5-853-2005
  4. Bui, D. T., Pradhan, B., Lofman, O., & Revhaug, I. (2012). Landslide susceptibility assessment in Vietnam using support vector machines, decision tree, and Naïve Bayes models. Mathematical Problems in Engineering, 2012, Article 974638. https://doi.org/10.1155/2012/974638
  5. Chen, T., & Guestrin, C. (2016, August 13-17). XGBoost: A scalable tree boosting System [Conference presentation]. 22nd ACM SIGKDD International Conference on Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining, San Francisco, CA, USA. https://doi.org/10.1145/2939672.2939785
  6. Depicker, A., Govers, G., Jacobs, L., Campforts, B., Uwihirwe, J., & Dewitte, O. (2021). Interactions between deforestation, landscape rejuvenation, and shallow landslides in the North Tanganyika–Kivu rift region, Africa. Earth Surface Dynamics, 9(3), 445–462. https://doi.org/10.5194/esurf-9-445-2021
  7. Guzzetti, F., Galli, M., Reichenbach, P., Ardizzone, F., & Cardinali, M. (2006). Landslide hazard assessment in the Collazzone area, Umbria, central Italy. Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 6(1), 115–131. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-6-115-2006
  8. Hong, H., Chen, W., Xu, C., Youssef, A. M., Pradhan, B., & Bui, D. T. (2017). Rainfall-induced landslide susceptibility assessment at the Chongren area (China) using frequency ratio, certainty factor, and index of entropy. Geocarto International, 32(2), 139–154. https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2015.1130086
  9. Ihorikiza, M. C., & Ndokoye, P. (2023). Analysis of the impact of landslides on rural community livelihood in Rwanda: Case of Ngororero district. International Journal of Geography and Geology, 12(1), 18–30. https://doi.org/10.18488/10.v12i1.3400
  10. Jacobs, L., Kervyn, M., Reichenbach, P., Rossi, M., Marchesini, I., Alvioli, M., & Dewitte, O. (2020). Regional susceptibility assessments with heterogeneous landslide information: Slope unit- vs. pixel-based approach. Geomorphology, 356, Article 107084. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geomorph.2020.107084

Kaynak Göster

APA
Iradukunda, A., & Özgün, A. K. (2026). GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach. Türk Uzaktan Algılama ve CBS Dergisi, 7(2), 304-316. https://doi.org/10.48123/rsgis.1864203
AMA
1.Iradukunda A, Özgün AK. GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach. Turk J Remote Sens GIS. 2026;7(2):304-316. doi:10.48123/rsgis.1864203
Chicago
Iradukunda, Albert, ve Abdulkadir Kaan Özgün. 2026. “GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach”. Türk Uzaktan Algılama ve CBS Dergisi 7 (2): 304-16. https://doi.org/10.48123/rsgis.1864203.
EndNote
Iradukunda A, Özgün AK (01 Eylül 2026) GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach. Türk Uzaktan Algılama ve CBS Dergisi 7 2 304–316.
IEEE
[1]A. Iradukunda ve A. K. Özgün, “GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach”, Turk J Remote Sens GIS, c. 7, sy 2, ss. 304–316, Eyl. 2026, doi: 10.48123/rsgis.1864203.
ISNAD
Iradukunda, Albert - Özgün, Abdulkadir Kaan. “GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach”. Türk Uzaktan Algılama ve CBS Dergisi 7/2 (01 Eylül 2026): 304-316. https://doi.org/10.48123/rsgis.1864203.
JAMA
1.Iradukunda A, Özgün AK. GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach. Turk J Remote Sens GIS. 2026;7:304–316.
MLA
Iradukunda, Albert, ve Abdulkadir Kaan Özgün. “GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach”. Türk Uzaktan Algılama ve CBS Dergisi, c. 7, sy 2, Eylül 2026, ss. 304-16, doi:10.48123/rsgis.1864203.
Vancouver
1.Albert Iradukunda, Abdulkadir Kaan Özgün. GIS and Machine Learning Framework for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping: A Raster-Based Approach. Turk J Remote Sens GIS. 01 Eylül 2026;7(2):304-16. doi:10.48123/rsgis.1864203