Cari Açık Ekonomi Üzerindeki Finansal Baskıyı Artırıyor mu?

Yıl 2013, Sayı: 90, 5 - 18, 01.09.2013

İsmet Göçer

Öz

Bu çalışmada, cari işlemler açığı ile ekonomi üzerinde oluşan finansal baskı arasındaki ilişki, Türkiye için 1998:M01-2013:M02 dönemi verileri kullanılarak, Carrion-i-Silvestre vd. 2009 yapısal kırılmalı birim kök testi ve Toda-Yamamoto 1995 nedensellik analizi yöntemiyle incelenmiştir. Analiz sonucunda yükselen cari işlemler açığının, ekonomi üzerindeki finansal baskıyı artırdığı tespit edilmiştir

Anahtar Kelimeler

Cari açık, Finansal baskı, Nedensellik

IS CURRENT ACCOUNT DEFICIT INCREASING THE FINANCIAL PRESSURE ON THE ECONOMY?

Öz

In this study; the relationship between current account deficit and financial pressure was examined for Turkey by using 1998:M01-2013:M02 periods’ data via Carrion-i-Silvestre et al. 2009 structural breaks unit root test and Toda-Yamamoto 1995 causality test. As a result of the analysis it has been determined that the rising current account deficit is increasing the financial pressure on the economy

Anahtar Kelimeler

Current account deficit, Financial pressure, Causality

Kaynakça

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