Avrupa Birliği Ülkelerinde Savunma Harcamalarını Belirleyen Ekonomik ve Sosyal Faktörler: Panel Veri Analizi

Yıl 2015, Sayı: 97, 89 - 104, 01.06.2015

Emin Dedebek Metin Meriç

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı, ekonomik ve sosyal faktörlerin ülkelerin savunma harcamaları üzerindeki etkisinin araştırılmasıdır. Bu amaçla, 1980-2014 yıllarını kapsayan bir dönem için, ekonomik ve sosyal faktörlerin savunma harcamaları üzerindeki etkileri AB üyesi 28 ülke örnekleminde “Panel Veri Analizi” kullanılarak ekonometrik açıdan incelenmiştir. İlgili literatürde savunma harcamaları belirleyicilerinin tespitinde genellikle kullanılmakta olan Neoklasik model üzerinden çalışma açıklanmaya çalışılmıştır. Bu çalışmada Neoklasik Model temelinde, bağımlı değişken olarak savunma harcamaları kullanılmıştır.Analiz sonucunda; sosyal göstergelerden insan hakları ve politik hakların bağımlı değişken üzerinde etkisinin negatif; ekonomik faktörler arasında yer alan dışa açıklık derecesi ve vergi gelirlerinin milli gelir içindeki payının ise pozitif etkiye sahip olduğu gözlenmiştir. Kişi başına milli gelir ile bağımlı değişken arasında istatistiksel olarak negatif bir ilişki olduğu çalışmadan çıkarılacak diğer sonuçlar arasında yer almaktadır

Anahtar Kelimeler

Savunma Harcamaları, Kurumsal Faktörler, İnsan Hakları, Politik Haklar

ECONOMICAL AND SOCIAL FACTORS THAT DETERMINE THE MILITARY EXPENDITURE OF EUROPEAN COUNTRIES: A PANEL DATA ANALYSİS

Öz

This study aims to examine the impact of economical and social factors on the military expenditures. For this purpose, in the sample consisting of 28 EU member states, the impacts of economical and social factors on the military expenditures for the period of 1980-2014 have been analyzed econometrically using “Panel Data Analysis”. An attempt was made to explain the study via the Neoclassical Model which is the model generally used for finding the military expenditure determiners in the relevant literature. In the present study, military expenditures were used as the dependent variable in the base of Neoclassical Model. The analysis shows that human rights and political rights, two of social indicators, have negative effects on the dependent variable whereas openness and the share of tax revenues in the national income, which are included in the economical factors, have positive effects. The fact that there is a statistically negative correlation between per capita income and the dependent variable is another finding to be concluded from the study

Anahtar Kelimeler

Military Expenditures, Institutional Factors, Human Rights, Politic Rights

Kaynakça

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