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NORTH MACEDONIA IS ON THE VERGE OF POLITICAL FRACTURE

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 6, 120 - 138, 30.09.2022

Öz

The process of evolving the chaotic atmosphere into an economic crisis, which started with the pandemic process, continues to increase its impact in North Macedonia. The administrative crisis in North Macedonia, which has a very cosmopolitan structure in terms of the population it contains, plays a vital role in the acceleration of ethnic and political polarization. The political alliances in North Macedonia follow a proxy policy through their relations with regional and global actors in order to have a say in the administration of the country when this situation is combined with the security concerns created by the Ukraine Crisis. Thus, the polarization that has occurred on a global scale is carried over to the internal politics of North Macedonia. The practice of the Cold War, which has been revived in the region with the Ukraine Crisis, narrows the maneuvering areas of political alliances and drags the country's politics to a deadlock. The uncertainty in the European Union membership process puts the current government in a difficult position both in domestic and foreign public opinion. In the last local elections, eyes were turned to the Internal Macedonian Revolutionary Organization - Democratic Party of Macedonia's National Unity (VMRO-DPMNE), after the opposition won a significant part of the metropolitan cities, especially the capital Skopje. The opposition's calls for early elections and street protests accelerated as its votes increased in opinion polls and it appeared in front of the ruling Social Democratic Union of Macedonia (SDSM). The impact of the Ukraine Crisis on the political balances in the Balkan countries was examined on North Macedonia. In this study, we analyzed the potential for change in North Macedonian politics and the current situation of the opposition.

Kaynakça

  • Al Jazeera, (1 September 2022). Sjeverna Makedonija Uvela Mjere Štednje İ Vanredno Stanje Za Energente, https://balkans.aljazeera.net/videos/2022/9/1/sjeverna-makedonija-uvela-mjere-stednje-i-vanredno-stanje-za-energente, (Date Accessed: 2 September 2022).
  • Balkan News, (2 Kasım 2021). “Kuzey Makedonya’da Belirsizlik Hâkim”, https://www.balkannews.com.tr/kuzey-makedonya/kuzey-makedonyada-belirsizlik-hakim-h1535.html, (Erişim Tarihi: 5 Haziran 2022).
  • Balkan News, (9 Haziran 2022b). “Bulgaristan’da Kuzey Makedonya Kaynaklı Hükümet Krizi”, https://www.balkannews.com.tr/balkanlar/bulgaristanda-kuzey-makedonya-kaynakli-hukumet-krizi-h3353.html, (Erişim Tarihi: 13 Haziran 2022).
  • Balkan News, (17 Ocak 2022a). “Kuzey Makedonya’da Yeni Hükümet Kuruldu, Balkan News https://www.balkannews.com.tr/kuzey-makedonya/kuzey-makedonyada-yeni-hukumet-kuruldu-h2146.html, (Erişim Tarihi: 6 Haziran 2022).
  • Clapp, A. (5 January 2018). From Russia with Love: The New Greek Oligarchy. The American Interest, https://www.the-american-interest.com/2018/01/05/new-greek-oligarchy/ (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Fazlagikj, A. & Abdula, F. (16 Temmuz 2020). Kuzey Makedonya’da Erken Genel Seçimin Sonuçları Açıklandı, https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/dunya/kuzey-makedonyada-erken-genel-secimin-sonuclari-aciklandi/1913214, (Erişim Tarihi: 10 Haziran 2022).
  • Free Press, “ACER: Kuzey Makedonya, Bosna Hersek ve Moldova En Çok Rus Gazına Bağımlı”,https://www.slobodenpecat.mk/tr/acer-severna-makedonija-bih-i-moldavijanajzavisni-od-ruskiot-gas/, (Erişim Tarihi: 5 Haziran 2022).
  • Hakan Albayrak, (18 Ocak 2022). Makedonya Hükümetinde Arnavut Fırtınası, https://www.karar.com/yazarlar/hakan-albayrak/makedonya-hukumetinde-arnavut-firtinasi-1591882, (Erişim Tarihi:10 Şubat 2022).
  • Nektaria Stamouli, (13 December 2021). Dimitar Kovachevski On Course To Become North Macedonia’s New Prime Minister, Politico, https://www.politico.eu/article/kovachevski-north-macedonia-new-prime-minister/, (Erişim Tarihi: 3 Haziran 2022).
  • Ntv, (29 Mayıs 2022). “Sırbistan ve Rusya Doğalgaz Konusunda Anlaştı”, https://www.ntv.com.tr/dunya/sirbistan-ve-rusya-dogalgaz-konusunda-anlasti,7bMwB6swiU-hN23LK6mMgw, (Erişim Tarihi: 8 Haziran 2022).
  • Petkovski, L., (2016) Authoritarian Populism And Hegemony: Constructing ‘The People’ İn Macedonia’s İlliberal Discourse, Contemporary South Eastern Europe. 3 (2), pp. 44-66.
  • Republica English (21 February 2022a). “Bujar Osmani Strongly Condemns Russia’s Recognition of Donetsk and Luhansk”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/bujar-osmani-strongly-condemns-russias-recognition-of-donetsk-and-luhansk/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English (29 May 2022f). “New Rise in Prices of Basic Foodstuffs”, https://english.republika.mk/news/economy/new-rise-in-prices-of-basic-foodstuffs/, (Date Accessed: 12 June 2022).
  • Republica English, (21 March 2022b). “Foreign Minister Osmani Meets With EU Counterparts To Discuss Macedonia’s Stalled EU Accession”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/foreign-minister-osmani-meets-with-eu-counterparts-to-discuss-macedonias-stalled-eu-accession/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022)
  • Republica English, (12 July 2022j). “Mickoski: The Church is One Of The Important Pillars On Which Our Identity Recognition is Based”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/mickoski-the-church-is-one-of-the-important-pillars-on-which-our-identity-recognition-is-based/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (12 July 2022k). “The Government Didn’t Meet The Expectations Of The Citizens: Biggest Advantage of VMRO-DPMNE So Far, SDSM Lags Behind By 6.1%”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/the-government-didnt-meet-the-expectations-of-the-citizens-biggest-advantage-of-vmro-dpmne-so-far-sdsm-lags-behind-by-6-1/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (21 March 2022g). “The Government Plans to Allow Traders to Export The Grain it Secured from Serbia for Profit”, https://english.republika.mk/news/economy/the-government-plans-to-allow-traders-to-export-the-grain-it-secured-from-serbia-for-profit/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (22 May 2022c). Bulgarian Parliament Speaker announces that the veto against Macedonia will stay in place, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/bulgarian-parliament-speaker-announces-that-the-veto-will-stay-in-place/, (Date Accessed: 10 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (29 May 2022i). “Nikoloski Urges Citizens To Join 18 June Protest For Early Parliamentary Elections And A Way Out Of The Crisis”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/nikoloski-urges-citizens-to-join-18-june-protest-for-early-parliamentary-elections-and-a-way-out-of-the-crisis/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (30 May 2022d). “Pendarovski says EU perspective in the foreseeable future is unfortunately over”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/pendarovski-says-eu-perspective-in-the-foreseeable-future-is-unfortunately-over/, (Date Accessed: 10 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (30 May 2022e). “New Fuel Prices in Macedonia”, https://english.republika.mk/news/economy/new-fuel-prices-in-macedonia/, (Date Accessed: 11 June 2022).
  • Republica English, (8 March 2022h). “VMRO: SDSM Can’t Blame The Multiple Crises It Caused On The War In Ukraine”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/vmro-sdsm-cant-blame-the-multiple-crises-it-caused-on-the-war-in-ukraine/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (8 March 2022ı). “VMRO Calls For A Major Reduction In The Fuel And Food Taxes”, https://english.republika.mk/news/economy/vmro-calls-for-a-major-reduction-in-the-fuel-and-food-taxes/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Sarajevo Times, (1 June 2022). “Bosnia Herzegovina Gas Supplier signs Agreement with Russian Gazprom”, https://sarajevotimes.com/bih-gas-supplier-signs-agreement-with-russian-gazprom/, (Date Accessed: 10 June 2022).
  • Sinisa Jakov Marusic, (12 November 2021). North Macedonia Govt Survives Threat, Hints at Boosting Majority, Balkan Insight https://balkaninsight.com/2021/11/12/north-macedonia-govt-survives-threat-hints-at-boosting- majority/, (Erişim Tarihi: 1 Haziran 2022).
  • Sinisa Jakov Marusic, (6 December 2021). North Macedonia Govt Solidifies Majority, Adding New Coalition Partner, Balkan Insight, https://balkaninsight.com/2021/12/06/north-macedonia-govt-solidifies-majority-adding- new-coalition-partner/, (Erişim Tarihi: 1 Haziran 2022).
  • VMRO-DPMNE Resmi İnternet Sitesi, https://www.vmro-dpmne.org.mk/index.php/organizacija/sovet-na-veterani, (Erişim Tarihi: 30 Mart 2022)
  • Yeniçağ Gazetesi, (17 Ocak 2022). Kuzey Makedonya'da yeni hükümet güvenoyu aldı, Yeniçağ Gazetesi, https://www.yenicaggazetesi.com.tr/kuzey-makedonyada-yeni-hukumet-guvenoyu-aldi-500673h.htm, (Erişim Tarihi: 10 Haziran 2022).
  • Yusuf Emin Youtube Kanalı. (2020). Kuzey Makedonya Seçim Özel - 4.Bölüm (2. Kısım), https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d97vrlIrxFE&ab_channel=YusufEmin. (Erişim Tarihi: 1 Haziran 2022).
  • Zakharov, A. (2017). Расследование РБК: Как Россиянин Стал Самым Богатым Человеком Македонии. RBC, https://www.rbc.ru/magazine/2017/10/59c2aa029a79473e38382464, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).

SİYASİ KIRILMANIN EŞİĞİNDE KUZEY MAKEDONYA

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 2 Sayı: 6, 120 - 138, 30.09.2022

Öz

Pandemi süreci ile başlayan kaotik atmosferin ekonomik krize evrilme süreci Kuzey Makedonya’da etkisini artırarak devam ettirmektedir. İçinde barındırdığı nüfus açısından oldukça kozmopolit bir yapıya sahip olan Kuzey Makedonya’daki yönetim krizi, etnik ve siyasi kutuplaşmanın ivme kazanmasında önemli rol oynamaktadır. Bu durum, Ukrayna Krizi’nin yaratmış olduğu güvenlik endişeleri ile birleştiğinde Kuzey Makedonya’daki siyasi ittifaklar ülke yönetiminde söz sahibi olmak adına bölgesel ve küresel aktörlerle olan ilişkileri üzerinden bir vekalet siyaseti izlemektedirler. Böylece küresel çapta meydana gelen kutuplaşma Kuzey Makedonya iç siyasetine taşınmaktadır. Ukrayna Krizi ile bölgede yeniden hayat bulan Soğuk Savaş pratiği siyasi ittifakların manevra alanlarını daraltmakla birlikte ülke siyasetini çözümsüzlüğe sürüklemektedir. Kuzey Makedonya’nın Avrupa Birliği üyelik sürecindeki belirsizlik mevcut iktidarı hem iç hem de dış kamuoyunda zor duruma sokmaktadır. Yapılan son yerel seçimlerde başta başkent Üsküp olmak üzere büyükşehirlerin önemli bir kısmını muhalefetin kazanmasıyla gözler Makedon İç Devrimci Örgütü - Makedonya'nın Ulusal Birliği Demokratik Partisi (VMRO-DPMNE)’ne çevrildi. Yapılan kamuoyu yoklamalarında oylarının artması ve iktidardaki Makedonya Sosyal Demokrat Birliği (SDSM)’nin önünde gözükmesiyle muhalefetin erken seçim çağrıları ve sokak protestoları ivme kazandı. Ukrayna Krizi’nin Balkan ülkelerindeki siyasi dengelere olan etkisi Kuzey Makedonya üzerinde incelendi. Bu çerçevede yaptığımız çalışmada Kuzey Makedonya siyasetindeki değişim potansiyelini ve muhalefetin mevcut durumunu analiz edildi.

Kaynakça

  • Al Jazeera, (1 September 2022). Sjeverna Makedonija Uvela Mjere Štednje İ Vanredno Stanje Za Energente, https://balkans.aljazeera.net/videos/2022/9/1/sjeverna-makedonija-uvela-mjere-stednje-i-vanredno-stanje-za-energente, (Date Accessed: 2 September 2022).
  • Balkan News, (2 Kasım 2021). “Kuzey Makedonya’da Belirsizlik Hâkim”, https://www.balkannews.com.tr/kuzey-makedonya/kuzey-makedonyada-belirsizlik-hakim-h1535.html, (Erişim Tarihi: 5 Haziran 2022).
  • Balkan News, (9 Haziran 2022b). “Bulgaristan’da Kuzey Makedonya Kaynaklı Hükümet Krizi”, https://www.balkannews.com.tr/balkanlar/bulgaristanda-kuzey-makedonya-kaynakli-hukumet-krizi-h3353.html, (Erişim Tarihi: 13 Haziran 2022).
  • Balkan News, (17 Ocak 2022a). “Kuzey Makedonya’da Yeni Hükümet Kuruldu, Balkan News https://www.balkannews.com.tr/kuzey-makedonya/kuzey-makedonyada-yeni-hukumet-kuruldu-h2146.html, (Erişim Tarihi: 6 Haziran 2022).
  • Clapp, A. (5 January 2018). From Russia with Love: The New Greek Oligarchy. The American Interest, https://www.the-american-interest.com/2018/01/05/new-greek-oligarchy/ (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Fazlagikj, A. & Abdula, F. (16 Temmuz 2020). Kuzey Makedonya’da Erken Genel Seçimin Sonuçları Açıklandı, https://www.aa.com.tr/tr/dunya/kuzey-makedonyada-erken-genel-secimin-sonuclari-aciklandi/1913214, (Erişim Tarihi: 10 Haziran 2022).
  • Free Press, “ACER: Kuzey Makedonya, Bosna Hersek ve Moldova En Çok Rus Gazına Bağımlı”,https://www.slobodenpecat.mk/tr/acer-severna-makedonija-bih-i-moldavijanajzavisni-od-ruskiot-gas/, (Erişim Tarihi: 5 Haziran 2022).
  • Hakan Albayrak, (18 Ocak 2022). Makedonya Hükümetinde Arnavut Fırtınası, https://www.karar.com/yazarlar/hakan-albayrak/makedonya-hukumetinde-arnavut-firtinasi-1591882, (Erişim Tarihi:10 Şubat 2022).
  • Nektaria Stamouli, (13 December 2021). Dimitar Kovachevski On Course To Become North Macedonia’s New Prime Minister, Politico, https://www.politico.eu/article/kovachevski-north-macedonia-new-prime-minister/, (Erişim Tarihi: 3 Haziran 2022).
  • Ntv, (29 Mayıs 2022). “Sırbistan ve Rusya Doğalgaz Konusunda Anlaştı”, https://www.ntv.com.tr/dunya/sirbistan-ve-rusya-dogalgaz-konusunda-anlasti,7bMwB6swiU-hN23LK6mMgw, (Erişim Tarihi: 8 Haziran 2022).
  • Petkovski, L., (2016) Authoritarian Populism And Hegemony: Constructing ‘The People’ İn Macedonia’s İlliberal Discourse, Contemporary South Eastern Europe. 3 (2), pp. 44-66.
  • Republica English (21 February 2022a). “Bujar Osmani Strongly Condemns Russia’s Recognition of Donetsk and Luhansk”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/bujar-osmani-strongly-condemns-russias-recognition-of-donetsk-and-luhansk/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English (29 May 2022f). “New Rise in Prices of Basic Foodstuffs”, https://english.republika.mk/news/economy/new-rise-in-prices-of-basic-foodstuffs/, (Date Accessed: 12 June 2022).
  • Republica English, (21 March 2022b). “Foreign Minister Osmani Meets With EU Counterparts To Discuss Macedonia’s Stalled EU Accession”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/foreign-minister-osmani-meets-with-eu-counterparts-to-discuss-macedonias-stalled-eu-accession/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022)
  • Republica English, (12 July 2022j). “Mickoski: The Church is One Of The Important Pillars On Which Our Identity Recognition is Based”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/mickoski-the-church-is-one-of-the-important-pillars-on-which-our-identity-recognition-is-based/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (12 July 2022k). “The Government Didn’t Meet The Expectations Of The Citizens: Biggest Advantage of VMRO-DPMNE So Far, SDSM Lags Behind By 6.1%”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/the-government-didnt-meet-the-expectations-of-the-citizens-biggest-advantage-of-vmro-dpmne-so-far-sdsm-lags-behind-by-6-1/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (21 March 2022g). “The Government Plans to Allow Traders to Export The Grain it Secured from Serbia for Profit”, https://english.republika.mk/news/economy/the-government-plans-to-allow-traders-to-export-the-grain-it-secured-from-serbia-for-profit/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (22 May 2022c). Bulgarian Parliament Speaker announces that the veto against Macedonia will stay in place, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/bulgarian-parliament-speaker-announces-that-the-veto-will-stay-in-place/, (Date Accessed: 10 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (29 May 2022i). “Nikoloski Urges Citizens To Join 18 June Protest For Early Parliamentary Elections And A Way Out Of The Crisis”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/nikoloski-urges-citizens-to-join-18-june-protest-for-early-parliamentary-elections-and-a-way-out-of-the-crisis/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (30 May 2022d). “Pendarovski says EU perspective in the foreseeable future is unfortunately over”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/pendarovski-says-eu-perspective-in-the-foreseeable-future-is-unfortunately-over/, (Date Accessed: 10 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (30 May 2022e). “New Fuel Prices in Macedonia”, https://english.republika.mk/news/economy/new-fuel-prices-in-macedonia/, (Date Accessed: 11 June 2022).
  • Republica English, (8 March 2022h). “VMRO: SDSM Can’t Blame The Multiple Crises It Caused On The War In Ukraine”, https://english.republika.mk/news/macedonia/vmro-sdsm-cant-blame-the-multiple-crises-it-caused-on-the-war-in-ukraine/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Republica English, (8 March 2022ı). “VMRO Calls For A Major Reduction In The Fuel And Food Taxes”, https://english.republika.mk/news/economy/vmro-calls-for-a-major-reduction-in-the-fuel-and-food-taxes/, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
  • Sarajevo Times, (1 June 2022). “Bosnia Herzegovina Gas Supplier signs Agreement with Russian Gazprom”, https://sarajevotimes.com/bih-gas-supplier-signs-agreement-with-russian-gazprom/, (Date Accessed: 10 June 2022).
  • Sinisa Jakov Marusic, (12 November 2021). North Macedonia Govt Survives Threat, Hints at Boosting Majority, Balkan Insight https://balkaninsight.com/2021/11/12/north-macedonia-govt-survives-threat-hints-at-boosting- majority/, (Erişim Tarihi: 1 Haziran 2022).
  • Sinisa Jakov Marusic, (6 December 2021). North Macedonia Govt Solidifies Majority, Adding New Coalition Partner, Balkan Insight, https://balkaninsight.com/2021/12/06/north-macedonia-govt-solidifies-majority-adding- new-coalition-partner/, (Erişim Tarihi: 1 Haziran 2022).
  • VMRO-DPMNE Resmi İnternet Sitesi, https://www.vmro-dpmne.org.mk/index.php/organizacija/sovet-na-veterani, (Erişim Tarihi: 30 Mart 2022)
  • Yeniçağ Gazetesi, (17 Ocak 2022). Kuzey Makedonya'da yeni hükümet güvenoyu aldı, Yeniçağ Gazetesi, https://www.yenicaggazetesi.com.tr/kuzey-makedonyada-yeni-hukumet-guvenoyu-aldi-500673h.htm, (Erişim Tarihi: 10 Haziran 2022).
  • Yusuf Emin Youtube Kanalı. (2020). Kuzey Makedonya Seçim Özel - 4.Bölüm (2. Kısım), https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d97vrlIrxFE&ab_channel=YusufEmin. (Erişim Tarihi: 1 Haziran 2022).
  • Zakharov, A. (2017). Расследование РБК: Как Россиянин Стал Самым Богатым Человеком Македонии. RBC, https://www.rbc.ru/magazine/2017/10/59c2aa029a79473e38382464, (Date Accessed: 13 July 2022).
Toplam 30 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Siyaset Bilimi, Uluslararası İlişkiler
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Çağdaş Duman 0000-0003-3512-3070

Yayımlanma Tarihi 30 Eylül 2022
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022 Cilt: 2 Sayı: 6

Kaynak Göster

APA Duman, Ç. (2022). SİYASİ KIRILMANIN EŞİĞİNDE KUZEY MAKEDONYA. SDE Akademi, 2(6), 120-138.

SDE AKADEMİ WEB SAYFASI: https://sdeakademidergisi.org/