ENERJİ TÜKETİMİNDE KÜRESELLEŞMENİN ROLÜ

Yıl 2018, Cilt: 23 Sayı: Geybulla Ramazanoğlu Özel Sayısı, 817 - 829, 30.06.2018

Ali Alper

Öz

Bu çalışma Türkiye için 1970-2015 aralığında küreselleşme alt başlıklarının, kişi başına düşen gayri safi yurt içi hasılanın ve şehirde yaşayan nüfusun, kişi başına enerji kullanımına uzun dönemli etkilerini araştırmaktır. Uzun dönem katsayıları tahmin etmek için DOLS tahmin yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Tahmin sonuçlarına göre her üç modelde de kişi başına gayri safi yurtiçi hasılanın kişi başına enerji talebine etkisi pozitif bulunmuştur. Kişi başına düşen gayri safi yurtiçi hasıladaki %1 birimlik artış, kişi başına enerji talebini %0.6 arttırmaktadır. Aynı şekilde şehirde yaşayan nüfusun, kişi başına düşen enerji tüketimine etkisi her üç modelde de pozitif bulunmuş ve şehirde yaşayan nüfustaki %1’lik artış, kişi başına enerji tüketimini %0.1 arttırmaktadır. Küreselleşme alt başlıklarının, kişi başına enerji tüketimine etkisi ise modeller arasında farklılık göstermektedir. Ekonomik ve politik küreselleşmenin kişi başına enerji talebine etkisi pozitif olurken, sosyal küreselleşmenin negatif olmaktadır. Ekonomik ve politik küreselleşmedeki %1 birimlik artış, kişi başına enerji tüketimini sırasıyla %0.13 ve %0.08 arttırırken; sosyal küreselleşmedeki %1 birimlik artış %0.04 azaltmaktadır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Küreselleşme, Bayer-Hanck Eş Bütünleşme, Enerji Tüketimi

THE ROLE OF GLOBALIZATION IN ENERGY CONSUMPTION

Öz

This study investigates the long-term effects of globalization proxies such as the gross domestic product per capita and the urban population on energy use per capita for Turkey between the period 1970-2015. DOLS estimation method is utilized to estimate the long-term coefficients. According to the estimation results, the impact of the GDP per capita on energy demand per capita is found to be positive in all three models. The 1% increase in gross domestic product per capita increases the energy demand per capita by 0.6%. Similarly, the effect of urban population on energy consumption per capita is found to be positive in all three models, and a 1% increase in urban population increases the energy consumption per capita by 0.1%. The effect of globalization proxies on energy consumption per capita varies between models. While both economic and political globalization positively affect energy demand per capita, social globalization has an adverse impact. A 1% rise in both economic and political globalization increase energy consumption per capita by 0.13% and 0.08%, respectively; however, it is reduced by 0.04% due to a 1% rise in social globalization.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Globalization, Bayer-Hanck Cointegration, Energy Consumption

Kaynakça

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