Araştırma Makalesi
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Proxy War Revisited: Great Power Competition in the Russo-Ukraine Conflict

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1, 613 - 636, 31.05.2025
https://doi.org/10.30561/sinopusd.1650310

Öz

This study analyses the Russian-Ukrainian War within the framework of proxy war. The primary argument of the study is that the Russian-Ukrainian War is a proxy war for the United States of America (USA) and that this proxy war exhibits characteristics reminiscent of the Cold War era. The strategic competition between the great powers has seen a return to Cold War-era proxy war practices. The US utilize Ukraine as a proxy in its strategic competition with Russia and pursues a policy accordingly. The substantial military and economic assistance the US has provided to Ukraine, in addition to its pre- and post-war policies, serve to substantiate this assertion. The time period of the study covers the period from the onset of the war to the end of the Joe Biden era. The final phase of the study incorporated the utilization of the case study analysis method, which is an integral compo-nent of the qualitative analysis method. Moreover, the discourses of political elites and the data sets published by organizations engaged in the war were utilized.

Kaynakça

  • AP News. (2024, Eylül 25). Putin lowers threshold of nuclear response as he issues new warnings to the West over Ukraine. https://apnews.com/article/russia-nuclear-doctrine-putin-aggressor-fd2f2664c2589cdadfe84bd0bdb7275e
  • Axe, D. (2022, Ekim 18). The Donetsk separatist army went to war in Ukraine with 20,000 men. Statistically, almost every single one was killed or wounded. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/11/18/the-donetsk-separatist-army-went-to-war-in-ukraine-with-20000-men-statistically-almost-every-single-one-was-killed-or-wounded/
  • Baldor, L. C., & Copp, T. (2024, Nisan 24). Ukraine uses long-range missiles secretly provi-ded by US to hit Russian-held areas, officials say. AP News. https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-long-range-missiles-4d2254639eb5a503d8b0a291ed0680e9
  • Beal, T. (2023). Weaponizing Europe, countering Eurasia: Mackinder, Brzezinski, Nuland and the road to the Ukraine war. International Critical Thought, 13(1), 56-88. https://doi.org/10.1080/21598282.2023.2188575
  • Byman, D. (2023). Are proxy wars coming back? The Washington Quarterly, 46(3), 149-164. https://doi.org/10.1080/0163660X.2023.2259667
  • Cancian, M. F., & Park, C. H. (2024, Ocak 5). What is in the Ukraine aid package, and what does it mean for the future of the war? CSIS. https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-ukraine-aid-package-and-what-does-it-mean-future-war
  • Carpenter, T. G. (2022, Ekim 12). The NATO vs. Russia proxy war in Ukraine could beco-me a real war. Cato Institute. https://www.cato.org/commentary/nato-vs-russia-proxy-war-ukraine-could-become-real-war
  • Copp, T. (2024, Aralık 7). US announces nearly $1 billion more in longer-term weapons support for Ukraine. AP News. https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-weapons-russia-trump-biden-himars-zelenskyy-7b2560ad6bd54a6275da0ceb5241c0e8
  • Dunford, M. (2023). Causes of the crisis in Ukraine. International Critical Thought, 13(1), 89-125. https://doi.org/10.1080/21598282.2022.2163417
  • Duyile W. Abiodun, Adebimpe O. Ojo, Soboyejo A. Oludemi, & Gabriel G. Jegede. (2022). Russo-Ukraine war: Drawing a parallel with the Second World War and Cold War. Polit Journal: Scientific Journal of Politics, 2(4), 156-165. https://doi.org/10.33258/polit.v2i4.771
  • Falkov, Y. (2023). Proxy wars and the Cold War. Içinde A. Moghadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 137-152). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-13
  • Fox, A. C. (2022). Ukraine and proxy war: Improving ontological shortcomings in military thinking (Land Warfare Paper No. 148). The Association of the United States Army. https://www.ausa.org/publications/ukraine-and-proxy-war-improving-ontological-shortcomings-military-thinking
  • Fox, A. C. (2023). Comparative proxy strategies in the Russo-Ukrainian War. Comparative Strategy, 42(5), 605-620. https://doi.org/10.1080/01495933.2023.2236488
  • Gaido, D. (2023). An alternative view of the Ukrainian conflict: Stephen F. Cohen on the origins of the new Cold War. International Critical Thought, 13(1), 138-154. https://doi.org/10.1080/21598282.2023.2185901
  • Garamone, J. (2022, Nisan 29). U.S. troops train Ukrainians in Germany. U.S. Department of Defense. https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3015610/us-troops-train-ukrainians-in-germany/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.defense.gov%2FNews%2FNews-Stories%2FArticle%2FArticle%2F3015610%2Fus-troops-train-ukrainians-in-germany%2F
  • Garthoff, R. L. (1985). Détente and confrontation: American-Soviet relations from Nixon to Reagan. Brookings Inst.
  • Hann, C. (2024). The proxy war in Ukraine: History, political economy, and representati-ons. Focaal, 2024(98), 100-109. https://doi.org/10.3167/fcl.2024.980110
  • Hoffman, F. G., & Orner, A. (2023). Proxy wars and strategic competition. Içinde A. Mog-hadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 425-437). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-39
  • Hughes, G. (2023). Proxy wars in history. Içinde A. Moghadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 113-123). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-11
  • Jenne, E. K., & Siroky, D. S. (2023). The return of great power proxy wars? Içinde A. Mog-hadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 438-450). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-40
  • Lake, D. A. (2019). Iraq, 2003-11: Principal failure. Içinde E. Berman & D. A. Lake (Ed.), Proxy wars: Suppressing violence through local agents (ss. 238-263). Cornell University Press.
  • Lapatina, A. (2024, Temmuz 16). How America’s aid to Ukraine actually works. Lawfare-media. https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/how-america-s-aid-to-ukraine-actually-works
  • Losey, S., & Gould, J. (2022, Mayıs 9). From howitzers to suicide drones: Pentagon seeks right ‘balance’ on training Ukrainians on new arms. Defense News. https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2022/05/09/from-howitzers-to-suicide-drones-pentagon-seeks-right-balance-on-training-ukrainians-on-new-arms/
  • Karar. (2025, Mart 11). Peskov: Rusya’ya karşı vekâlet savaşı devam ediyor. https://www.karar.com/dunya-haberleri/peskov-rusyaya-karsi-vekalet-savasi-devam-ediyor-1940948
  • Masters, J., & Merrow, W. (2022, Şubat 4). How do the militaries of Russia and Ukraine stack up? CFR. https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/how-do-militaries-russia-and-ukraine-stack
  • Masters, J., & Merrow, W. (2024, Eylül 27). How much U.S. aid ıs going to Ukraine? CFR. https://www.cfr.org/article/how-much-us-aid-going-ukraine
  • Melkozerova, V. (2024, Aralık 30). Biden unveils final $2.5B security aid package for Ukraine. Politico. https://www.politico.eu/article/joe-biden-announces-his-final-2-5-billion-security-aid-package-to-ukraine-war/
  • Moghadam, A., & Wyss, M. (2020). The political power of proxies: Why nonstate actors use local surrogates. International Security, 44(4), 119-157. https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00377
  • Mumford, A. (2013). Proxy warfare: War and conflict in the modern world. Polity Press.
  • Seligman, L., & McLeary, P. (2023, Ocak 18). U.S. prepping major military package for Ukraine. Politico. https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/18/major-military-package-ukraine-russia-00078331
  • Stark, A. (2023). The historical evolution of proxy wars. Içinde A. Moghadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 153-162). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-14
  • Thukydides. (2017). Peloponnessos Savaşları (Çev. F. Akderin). Belge Yayınları.
  • Trebesch, C., Antezza, A., Balanchuk, Y., Bomprezzi, P., Bushnell, K., Schramm, S., & Weiser, L. (2024). The Ukraine support tracker: Which counties help Ukraine and how? (Kiel Working Paper No. No. 2218). Kiel Institute for World Economy. https://www.ifw-kiel.de/publications/ukraine-aid-how-europe-can-replace-us-support-33907/
  • U.S. Department of State. (2024, Aralık 12). U.S. security cooperation with Ukraine. United States Department of State. https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/
  • Williams, B. G. (2012). Fighting with a double-edged sword? Proxy militias in Iraq, Afgha-nistan, Bosnia and Chechnya. İçinde M. A. Innes (Ed.), Making sense of proxy wars: States, surrogates & the use of force (ss. 61-88). Potomac Books.

Vekalet Savaşı Yeniden: Rusya-Ukrayna Çatışmasında Büyük Güç Rekabeti

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1, 613 - 636, 31.05.2025
https://doi.org/10.30561/sinopusd.1650310

Öz

Bu çalışma Rusya-Ukrayna Savaşı’nı vekâlet savaşı çerçevesinde ele almaktadır. Çalış-manın temel argümanı Rusya-Ukrayna Savaşı’nın, Amerika Birleşik Devletleri (ABD) için bir vekâlet savaşı olduğu ve bu vekâlet savaşının Soğuk Savaş dönemi pratiklerine sahip olduğudur. Büyük güçler arasındaki stratejik rekabette Soğuk Savaş dönemi vekâlet sava-şı pratiklerine bir dönüş yaşanmaktadır. ABD, Rusya ile olan stratejik rekabetinde Ukray-na’yı bir vekil olarak kullanmakta ve buna yönelik bir politika izlemektedir. ABD’nin Uk-rayna’ya yönelik yaptığı devasa silah yardımı ve ekonomik yardımlar ile savaş öncesi ve sırasında izlediği politika bunu ortaya koymaktadır. Çalışmanın zaman aralığı savaşın başlangıç tarihinden Joe Biden döneminin bitişine kadar olan süreyi içermektedir. Son olarak çalışmada nitel analiz yöntemi içerisine dâhil olan vaka analizi metodu kullanılmış-tır. Ek olarak siyasi elitlerin söylemleri ile savaşı takip eden kurumların yayımladığı veri setlerine başvurulmuştur.

Kaynakça

  • AP News. (2024, Eylül 25). Putin lowers threshold of nuclear response as he issues new warnings to the West over Ukraine. https://apnews.com/article/russia-nuclear-doctrine-putin-aggressor-fd2f2664c2589cdadfe84bd0bdb7275e
  • Axe, D. (2022, Ekim 18). The Donetsk separatist army went to war in Ukraine with 20,000 men. Statistically, almost every single one was killed or wounded. Forbes. https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2022/11/18/the-donetsk-separatist-army-went-to-war-in-ukraine-with-20000-men-statistically-almost-every-single-one-was-killed-or-wounded/
  • Baldor, L. C., & Copp, T. (2024, Nisan 24). Ukraine uses long-range missiles secretly provi-ded by US to hit Russian-held areas, officials say. AP News. https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukraine-war-long-range-missiles-4d2254639eb5a503d8b0a291ed0680e9
  • Beal, T. (2023). Weaponizing Europe, countering Eurasia: Mackinder, Brzezinski, Nuland and the road to the Ukraine war. International Critical Thought, 13(1), 56-88. https://doi.org/10.1080/21598282.2023.2188575
  • Byman, D. (2023). Are proxy wars coming back? The Washington Quarterly, 46(3), 149-164. https://doi.org/10.1080/0163660X.2023.2259667
  • Cancian, M. F., & Park, C. H. (2024, Ocak 5). What is in the Ukraine aid package, and what does it mean for the future of the war? CSIS. https://www.csis.org/analysis/what-ukraine-aid-package-and-what-does-it-mean-future-war
  • Carpenter, T. G. (2022, Ekim 12). The NATO vs. Russia proxy war in Ukraine could beco-me a real war. Cato Institute. https://www.cato.org/commentary/nato-vs-russia-proxy-war-ukraine-could-become-real-war
  • Copp, T. (2024, Aralık 7). US announces nearly $1 billion more in longer-term weapons support for Ukraine. AP News. https://apnews.com/article/ukraine-weapons-russia-trump-biden-himars-zelenskyy-7b2560ad6bd54a6275da0ceb5241c0e8
  • Dunford, M. (2023). Causes of the crisis in Ukraine. International Critical Thought, 13(1), 89-125. https://doi.org/10.1080/21598282.2022.2163417
  • Duyile W. Abiodun, Adebimpe O. Ojo, Soboyejo A. Oludemi, & Gabriel G. Jegede. (2022). Russo-Ukraine war: Drawing a parallel with the Second World War and Cold War. Polit Journal: Scientific Journal of Politics, 2(4), 156-165. https://doi.org/10.33258/polit.v2i4.771
  • Falkov, Y. (2023). Proxy wars and the Cold War. Içinde A. Moghadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 137-152). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-13
  • Fox, A. C. (2022). Ukraine and proxy war: Improving ontological shortcomings in military thinking (Land Warfare Paper No. 148). The Association of the United States Army. https://www.ausa.org/publications/ukraine-and-proxy-war-improving-ontological-shortcomings-military-thinking
  • Fox, A. C. (2023). Comparative proxy strategies in the Russo-Ukrainian War. Comparative Strategy, 42(5), 605-620. https://doi.org/10.1080/01495933.2023.2236488
  • Gaido, D. (2023). An alternative view of the Ukrainian conflict: Stephen F. Cohen on the origins of the new Cold War. International Critical Thought, 13(1), 138-154. https://doi.org/10.1080/21598282.2023.2185901
  • Garamone, J. (2022, Nisan 29). U.S. troops train Ukrainians in Germany. U.S. Department of Defense. https://www.defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3015610/us-troops-train-ukrainians-in-germany/https%3A%2F%2Fwww.defense.gov%2FNews%2FNews-Stories%2FArticle%2FArticle%2F3015610%2Fus-troops-train-ukrainians-in-germany%2F
  • Garthoff, R. L. (1985). Détente and confrontation: American-Soviet relations from Nixon to Reagan. Brookings Inst.
  • Hann, C. (2024). The proxy war in Ukraine: History, political economy, and representati-ons. Focaal, 2024(98), 100-109. https://doi.org/10.3167/fcl.2024.980110
  • Hoffman, F. G., & Orner, A. (2023). Proxy wars and strategic competition. Içinde A. Mog-hadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 425-437). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-39
  • Hughes, G. (2023). Proxy wars in history. Içinde A. Moghadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 113-123). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-11
  • Jenne, E. K., & Siroky, D. S. (2023). The return of great power proxy wars? Içinde A. Mog-hadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 438-450). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-40
  • Lake, D. A. (2019). Iraq, 2003-11: Principal failure. Içinde E. Berman & D. A. Lake (Ed.), Proxy wars: Suppressing violence through local agents (ss. 238-263). Cornell University Press.
  • Lapatina, A. (2024, Temmuz 16). How America’s aid to Ukraine actually works. Lawfare-media. https://www.lawfaremedia.org/article/how-america-s-aid-to-ukraine-actually-works
  • Losey, S., & Gould, J. (2022, Mayıs 9). From howitzers to suicide drones: Pentagon seeks right ‘balance’ on training Ukrainians on new arms. Defense News. https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2022/05/09/from-howitzers-to-suicide-drones-pentagon-seeks-right-balance-on-training-ukrainians-on-new-arms/
  • Karar. (2025, Mart 11). Peskov: Rusya’ya karşı vekâlet savaşı devam ediyor. https://www.karar.com/dunya-haberleri/peskov-rusyaya-karsi-vekalet-savasi-devam-ediyor-1940948
  • Masters, J., & Merrow, W. (2022, Şubat 4). How do the militaries of Russia and Ukraine stack up? CFR. https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/how-do-militaries-russia-and-ukraine-stack
  • Masters, J., & Merrow, W. (2024, Eylül 27). How much U.S. aid ıs going to Ukraine? CFR. https://www.cfr.org/article/how-much-us-aid-going-ukraine
  • Melkozerova, V. (2024, Aralık 30). Biden unveils final $2.5B security aid package for Ukraine. Politico. https://www.politico.eu/article/joe-biden-announces-his-final-2-5-billion-security-aid-package-to-ukraine-war/
  • Moghadam, A., & Wyss, M. (2020). The political power of proxies: Why nonstate actors use local surrogates. International Security, 44(4), 119-157. https://doi.org/10.1162/isec_a_00377
  • Mumford, A. (2013). Proxy warfare: War and conflict in the modern world. Polity Press.
  • Seligman, L., & McLeary, P. (2023, Ocak 18). U.S. prepping major military package for Ukraine. Politico. https://www.politico.com/news/2023/01/18/major-military-package-ukraine-russia-00078331
  • Stark, A. (2023). The historical evolution of proxy wars. Içinde A. Moghadam, V. Rauta, & M. Wyss, Routledge Handbook of Proxy Wars (ss. 153-162). Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003174066-14
  • Thukydides. (2017). Peloponnessos Savaşları (Çev. F. Akderin). Belge Yayınları.
  • Trebesch, C., Antezza, A., Balanchuk, Y., Bomprezzi, P., Bushnell, K., Schramm, S., & Weiser, L. (2024). The Ukraine support tracker: Which counties help Ukraine and how? (Kiel Working Paper No. No. 2218). Kiel Institute for World Economy. https://www.ifw-kiel.de/publications/ukraine-aid-how-europe-can-replace-us-support-33907/
  • U.S. Department of State. (2024, Aralık 12). U.S. security cooperation with Ukraine. United States Department of State. https://www.state.gov/u-s-security-cooperation-with-ukraine/
  • Williams, B. G. (2012). Fighting with a double-edged sword? Proxy militias in Iraq, Afgha-nistan, Bosnia and Chechnya. İçinde M. A. Innes (Ed.), Making sense of proxy wars: States, surrogates & the use of force (ss. 61-88). Potomac Books.
Toplam 35 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Siyaset Sosyolojisi, Yakınçağ Rusya Tarihi
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Melih Kazdal 0000-0002-4729-4064

Gönderilme Tarihi 3 Mart 2025
Kabul Tarihi 26 Mayıs 2025
Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Mayıs 2025
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2025 Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Kazdal, M. (2025). Vekalet Savaşı Yeniden: Rusya-Ukrayna Çatışmasında Büyük Güç Rekabeti. Sinop Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 9(1), 613-636. https://doi.org/10.30561/sinopusd.1650310