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The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region

Cilt: 7 Sayı: 2 26 Şubat 2026
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The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region

Öz

The interrelationship between economic variables and environmental degradation has been extensively investigated within various economic paradigms, including the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) and, more recently, the Environmental Phillips Curve (EPC). Given the increasing global focus on sustainable economic policies, understanding these relationships is crucial for designing effective environmental and labor market policies. The present study aims to examine the hypothesis of the existence of the Environmental Phillips Curve in Mediterranean countries from 1995 to 2021 while also reassessing the validity of the EKC within this regional context. Specifically, this research investigates how economic growth and unemployment influence environmental pollution. The study utilizes the Westerlund cointegration test with bootstrap to verify long-term relationships among the variables. Furthermore, Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) estimation methods are applied to examine the long-run effects comprehensively. The empirical results indicate that the variables are cointegrated, suggesting the presence of a stable, long-term equilibrium relationship. The findings substantiate the validity of both the Environmental Kuznets Curve and the Environmental Phillips Curve in Mediterranean countries. This indicates that there is a U-shaped relationship between economic growth and ecological footprint, and that there is a negative relationship between unemployment rates and ecological footprint.

Anahtar Kelimeler

environmental kuznets curve, environmental phillips curve, renewable energy, panel data

Kaynakça

  1. Anser, M. K., Apergis, N., Syed, Q. R., & Alola, A. A. (2021). Exploring a new perspective of sustainable development drive through environmental Phillips curve in the case of the BRICST countries. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(35), 48112-48122. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14056-5
  2. Aslan, M. (2025). Türkiye’de çevresel Phillips eğrisi hipotezinin incelenmesi: Fourier bootstrap ARDL yaklaşımı. Akademik Hassasiyetler, 12(29), 84-111. https://doi.org/10.58884/akademik-hassasiyetler.1645965
  3. Ayad, H., & Djedaiet, A. (2024). Does the unemployment rate matter for environmental issues in the G7 nations? New testing for the environmental Phillips curve using the load capacity factor. Environment, Development and Sustainability, 1-31. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-024-04956-0
  4. Azimi, M. N., & Rahman, M. M. (2024). Examining the environmental Phillips curve hypothesis in G7 nations: Critical insights from wavelet coherence and wavelet causality analysis. Quality & Quantity, 58(6), 5683-5713. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11135-024-01909-7
  5. Balsalobre-Lorente, D., Ibáñez-Luzón, L., Usman, M., & Shahbaz, M. (2022). The environmental Kuznets curve, based on the economic complexity, and the pollution haven hypothesis in PIIGS countries. Renewable Energy, 185, 1441-1455. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2021.10.059
  6. Baltagi, B. H., Feng, Q., & Kao, C. (2012). A Lagrange multiplier test for cross-sectional dependence in a fixed effects panel data model (Working Paper No. 137). Center for Policy Research, Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs, Syracuse University.
  7. Bekun, F. V., Alola, A. A., Gyamfi, B. A., & Yaw, S. S. (2021). The relevance of EKC hypothesis in energy intensity real-output trade-off for sustainable environment in EU-27. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 28(37), 51137-51148. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-14251-4
  8. Bhowmik, R., Syed, Q. R., Apergis, N., Alola, A. A., & Gai, Z. (2022). Applying a dynamic ARDL approach to the environmental Phillips curve (EPC) hypothesis amid monetary, fiscal, and trade policy uncertainty in the USA. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 29(10), 14914-14928. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-16716-y
  9. Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297111
  10. Danish, Ulucak, R., & Khan, S. U. D. (2020). Determinants of the ecological footprint: Role of renewable energy, natural resources, and urbanization. Sustainable Cities and Society, 54, 101996. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2019.101996

Kaynak Göster

APA
Alma Savaş, D. (2026). The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region. Sosyal Mucit Academic Review, 7(2), 150-166. https://doi.org/10.54733/smar.1829186
AMA
1.Alma Savaş D. The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region. SMAR. 2026;7(2):150-166. doi:10.54733/smar.1829186
Chicago
Alma Savaş, Dilek. 2026. “The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region”. Sosyal Mucit Academic Review 7 (2): 150-66. https://doi.org/10.54733/smar.1829186.
EndNote
Alma Savaş D (01 Şubat 2026) The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region. Sosyal Mucit Academic Review 7 2 150–166.
IEEE
[1]D. Alma Savaş, “The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region”, SMAR, c. 7, sy 2, ss. 150–166, Şub. 2026, doi: 10.54733/smar.1829186.
ISNAD
Alma Savaş, Dilek. “The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region”. Sosyal Mucit Academic Review 7/2 (01 Şubat 2026): 150-166. https://doi.org/10.54733/smar.1829186.
JAMA
1.Alma Savaş D. The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region. SMAR. 2026;7:150–166.
MLA
Alma Savaş, Dilek. “The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region”. Sosyal Mucit Academic Review, c. 7, sy 2, Şubat 2026, ss. 150-66, doi:10.54733/smar.1829186.
Vancouver
1.Dilek Alma Savaş. The Social Cost of Growth: Unemployment and Environmental Degradation in the Mediterranean Region. SMAR. 01 Şubat 2026;7(2):150-66. doi:10.54733/smar.1829186