Herding in the Central and Eastern Countries Stock Markets: The Case of Croatia, Poland and Romania
Yıl 2024,
, 479 - 495, 28.10.2024
Meltem Keskin
,
Selma Aytüre
Öz
Herding behaviour in the stock markets of Croatia, Poland and Romania from the Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) region was investigated using the three well-known models. The study was based on daily closing price data for the period (2013:1-2023:12). According to the findings, in the first method, herding behaviour was observed in upward market conditions in the stock markets of all three countries; in the second method, herd behaviour was not proved in any of the markets. In the third method, emotional herding behaviour was detected in extreme downward market conditions in the Romanian stock market.
Kaynakça
- Angela-Maria, F. et al. (2015), “An empirical investigation of herding behavior in CEE stock markets under the global financial crisis”, Procedia Economics and Finance, 25, 354-361.
- Bikhchandani. S. & S. Sharma (2001), “Herd Behaviour and Financial Markets”, IMF Staff Papers, 47(3), 279-310.
- Bogdan, D. & L.R. Miloş (2009), “Testing the Efficiency Market Hypothesis for the Romanian Stock Market”, Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, 11(1), 402-415.
- Caparrelli, F. et al. (2004), “Herding in the Italian Stock Market: A Case of Behavioral Finance”, The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 4, 222-230.
- Carswell, J. (1993), The South Sea Bubble, Alan Sutton Publishing Ltd, UK.
- Chang, E.C. et al. (2000), “An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 24(10), 1651-1679.
- Chiang, T.C. & D. Zheng (2010), “An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets”, Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(8), 1911-1921.
- Christie. W.G. & R.D. Huang (1995), “Following the pied piper: Do individual returns herd around the Market”, Financial Analysts Journal, 51(4), 31-37.
- Fang, H. et al. (2021), “The Effect of COVID-19 on Herding Behavior in Eastern European Stock Markets”, Frontiers in Public Health, 9, 695931.
- Ferreruela, S. & T. Mallor (2021), “Herding in The Bad Times: The 2008 And COVID-19 Crises”, North American Journal of Economics And Finance, 58, 10153.
- Filip, A. et al. (2015), “The herding behaviour of investors in the CEE stocks markets”, Procedia Economics and Finance, 32, 307-315.
- Gelos, G. & S. Ratna (2000), Financial Market Spillovers in Transition Economies, WP/00/71.
- Hancı, A. & E. Altay (2024), “Kripto para piyasasinda sürü davranişi: coinlerde ve tokenlarda piyasa yönünde sürü davranişinin analizi”, Öneri Dergisi, 19(61), 123-145.
- Hwang, S. & M. Salmon (2004), “Market Stress and Herding”, Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(4), 585-616.
- Hwang. S. & M. Salmon (2007), Sentiment and beta herding, <http://ssrn.com/abstract>, 299919.
- Investing.com (2024), Borsa Verileri, <https://www.investing.com/>, 20.01.2024.
- Ivanov, A. & M. Peleah (2010), “From centrally planned development to human development”, Human Development Research Paper, 2010/38, United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Reports.
- Jiang, R. et al. (2022), “Investor’s herding behavior in Asian equity markets during COVID-19 period”, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 73, 101771.
- Júnior, G.D.S.R. et al. (2020), “Analyzing herding behavior in commodities markets-an empirical approach”, Finance Research Letters, 35, 101285.
- Kanojia, S. et al. (2022), “Impact of herding on the returns in the Indian stock market: an empirical study”, Review of Behavioral Finance, 14(1), 115-129.
- Keskin, M. (2024a), “First examples of herd behavior in the Netherlands and London Stock Exchanges”, 10th International Paris Congress on Social Sciences & Humanities, Paris, France, February 17-19.
- Keskin, M. (2024b), “Share impact level analysis of match results of a European football club: Afc Ajax”, International Journal of Eurasia Social Sciences, 15(57), 1375-1386.
- Keskin, M. (2024c), “Examples of financial asset dependency in markets from past to present”, Silk Road 3rd International Scientific Research Congress (294-302), Samarkand, Uzbekistan.
- Kizys, R. & C. Pierdzioch (2011), “The Financial Crisis and the Stock Markets of the CEE Countries”, Finance a úvěr-Czech Journal of Economics and Finance, 61(2), 153-172.
- Komaromi, G. (2006), Anatomy of Stock Market Bubbles, ICFAI Books, The ICFAI University Press.
- Lakonishok, J. et al. (1992), “The Impact of Institutional and Individual Trading on Stock Prices”, Journal of Financial Economics, 32, 23-43.
- Li, T. et al. (2023), “Understanding the role of social media sentiment in identifying irrational herding behavior in the stock market”, International Review of Economics & Finance, 87, 163-179.
- Lipschitz, L. et al. (2002), “Capital flows to transition economies: master or servant?”, Czech Journal of Economics and Finance, (56), 5-6.
- Lorgova, S. & L.L. Ong (2008), “The Capital Markets of Emerging Europe: Institutions, Instruments and Investors”, IMF Working Paper, WP/08/103.
- Mobarek, A. et al. (2014), “A Cross-Country Analysis of Herd Behavior in Europe”, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions, and Money, 32, 107-127.
- Oehler, A. & G. Chao (2000), “Institutional herding in bond markets”, Banberg University Working Paper.
- Pelea, C. (2013), “Hyperrings and α⁎-relations: A general approach”, Journal of Algebra, 383, 104-128.
- Plesoianu, A. et al. (2012), “The Informational Efficiency of the Romanian Stock Market: Evidence from Fractal Analysis”, Procedia Economics and Finance, 3, 111-118.
- Puckett, A.D. et al. (2007), “Direct composite restorative materials”, Dental Clinics of North America, 51(3), 659-675.
- Scharfstein, D.S. & J.C. Stein (1990), “Herd behavior and investment”, The American Economic Review, 80(3), 465-479.
- Süsay, A. & C. Tanrıöven (2023), “Yatırımcıların sürü davranışı eğilimleri ve para politikasının sürü davranışına etkisi: BIST örneği”, Maliye Dergisi, 184, 41-73.
- Tan, L. et al. (2008), “Herding behavior in Chinese stock markets: An examination of A and B shares”, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 16(1-2), 61-77.
- Yousaf, I. et al. (2018), “Herding behavior in Ramadan and financial crises: the case of the Pakistani stock market”, Financial Innovation, 4(1), 1-14.
Merkezi ve Doğu Avrupa Ülkeleri Borsalarında Sürü Davranışları: Hırvatistan, Polonya ve Romanya Örnekleri
Yıl 2024,
, 479 - 495, 28.10.2024
Meltem Keskin
,
Selma Aytüre
Öz
Merkezi ve Doğu Avrupa Ülkeleri (MDAÜ) bölgesinden Hırvatistan, Polonya ve Romanya borsalarında sürü davranışlarının varlığı, üç farklı iyi bilinen model yardımı ile araştırılmıştır. Çalışma (2013:1-2023:12) döneminde günlük kapanış fiyatları verilerine dayanmaktadır. Bulgulara göre, birinci yöntemde üç ülke borsasında da yukarı yönlü piyasa koşullarında sürü davranışı gözlenirken, ikinci yöntemde borsalarının hiçbirinde sürü davranışı kanıtlanamamıştır. Üçüncü yöntemde Romanya borsasında aşağı yönlü ekstrem piyasa koşullarında duygusal sürü davranışı tespit edilmiştir.
Kaynakça
- Angela-Maria, F. et al. (2015), “An empirical investigation of herding behavior in CEE stock markets under the global financial crisis”, Procedia Economics and Finance, 25, 354-361.
- Bikhchandani. S. & S. Sharma (2001), “Herd Behaviour and Financial Markets”, IMF Staff Papers, 47(3), 279-310.
- Bogdan, D. & L.R. Miloş (2009), “Testing the Efficiency Market Hypothesis for the Romanian Stock Market”, Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, 11(1), 402-415.
- Caparrelli, F. et al. (2004), “Herding in the Italian Stock Market: A Case of Behavioral Finance”, The Journal of Behavioral Finance, 4, 222-230.
- Carswell, J. (1993), The South Sea Bubble, Alan Sutton Publishing Ltd, UK.
- Chang, E.C. et al. (2000), “An examination of herd behavior in equity markets: An international perspective”, Journal of Banking and Finance, 24(10), 1651-1679.
- Chiang, T.C. & D. Zheng (2010), “An empirical analysis of herd behavior in global stock markets”, Journal of Banking & Finance, 34(8), 1911-1921.
- Christie. W.G. & R.D. Huang (1995), “Following the pied piper: Do individual returns herd around the Market”, Financial Analysts Journal, 51(4), 31-37.
- Fang, H. et al. (2021), “The Effect of COVID-19 on Herding Behavior in Eastern European Stock Markets”, Frontiers in Public Health, 9, 695931.
- Ferreruela, S. & T. Mallor (2021), “Herding in The Bad Times: The 2008 And COVID-19 Crises”, North American Journal of Economics And Finance, 58, 10153.
- Filip, A. et al. (2015), “The herding behaviour of investors in the CEE stocks markets”, Procedia Economics and Finance, 32, 307-315.
- Gelos, G. & S. Ratna (2000), Financial Market Spillovers in Transition Economies, WP/00/71.
- Hancı, A. & E. Altay (2024), “Kripto para piyasasinda sürü davranişi: coinlerde ve tokenlarda piyasa yönünde sürü davranişinin analizi”, Öneri Dergisi, 19(61), 123-145.
- Hwang, S. & M. Salmon (2004), “Market Stress and Herding”, Journal of Empirical Finance, 11(4), 585-616.
- Hwang. S. & M. Salmon (2007), Sentiment and beta herding, <http://ssrn.com/abstract>, 299919.
- Investing.com (2024), Borsa Verileri, <https://www.investing.com/>, 20.01.2024.
- Ivanov, A. & M. Peleah (2010), “From centrally planned development to human development”, Human Development Research Paper, 2010/38, United Nations Development Programme, Human Development Reports.
- Jiang, R. et al. (2022), “Investor’s herding behavior in Asian equity markets during COVID-19 period”, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 73, 101771.
- Júnior, G.D.S.R. et al. (2020), “Analyzing herding behavior in commodities markets-an empirical approach”, Finance Research Letters, 35, 101285.
- Kanojia, S. et al. (2022), “Impact of herding on the returns in the Indian stock market: an empirical study”, Review of Behavioral Finance, 14(1), 115-129.
- Keskin, M. (2024a), “First examples of herd behavior in the Netherlands and London Stock Exchanges”, 10th International Paris Congress on Social Sciences & Humanities, Paris, France, February 17-19.
- Keskin, M. (2024b), “Share impact level analysis of match results of a European football club: Afc Ajax”, International Journal of Eurasia Social Sciences, 15(57), 1375-1386.
- Keskin, M. (2024c), “Examples of financial asset dependency in markets from past to present”, Silk Road 3rd International Scientific Research Congress (294-302), Samarkand, Uzbekistan.
- Kizys, R. & C. Pierdzioch (2011), “The Financial Crisis and the Stock Markets of the CEE Countries”, Finance a úvěr-Czech Journal of Economics and Finance, 61(2), 153-172.
- Komaromi, G. (2006), Anatomy of Stock Market Bubbles, ICFAI Books, The ICFAI University Press.
- Lakonishok, J. et al. (1992), “The Impact of Institutional and Individual Trading on Stock Prices”, Journal of Financial Economics, 32, 23-43.
- Li, T. et al. (2023), “Understanding the role of social media sentiment in identifying irrational herding behavior in the stock market”, International Review of Economics & Finance, 87, 163-179.
- Lipschitz, L. et al. (2002), “Capital flows to transition economies: master or servant?”, Czech Journal of Economics and Finance, (56), 5-6.
- Lorgova, S. & L.L. Ong (2008), “The Capital Markets of Emerging Europe: Institutions, Instruments and Investors”, IMF Working Paper, WP/08/103.
- Mobarek, A. et al. (2014), “A Cross-Country Analysis of Herd Behavior in Europe”, Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions, and Money, 32, 107-127.
- Oehler, A. & G. Chao (2000), “Institutional herding in bond markets”, Banberg University Working Paper.
- Pelea, C. (2013), “Hyperrings and α⁎-relations: A general approach”, Journal of Algebra, 383, 104-128.
- Plesoianu, A. et al. (2012), “The Informational Efficiency of the Romanian Stock Market: Evidence from Fractal Analysis”, Procedia Economics and Finance, 3, 111-118.
- Puckett, A.D. et al. (2007), “Direct composite restorative materials”, Dental Clinics of North America, 51(3), 659-675.
- Scharfstein, D.S. & J.C. Stein (1990), “Herd behavior and investment”, The American Economic Review, 80(3), 465-479.
- Süsay, A. & C. Tanrıöven (2023), “Yatırımcıların sürü davranışı eğilimleri ve para politikasının sürü davranışına etkisi: BIST örneği”, Maliye Dergisi, 184, 41-73.
- Tan, L. et al. (2008), “Herding behavior in Chinese stock markets: An examination of A and B shares”, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 16(1-2), 61-77.
- Yousaf, I. et al. (2018), “Herding behavior in Ramadan and financial crises: the case of the Pakistani stock market”, Financial Innovation, 4(1), 1-14.