Gelişmekte Olan Ülkelerde Politik İstikrarın Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerine Etkisi

Yıl 2012, Cilt: 17 Sayı: 17, - , 01.06.2012

Timur Gür , Hale Akbulut

Öz

Bu çalışmada, Politik Makroekonomi literatüründen hareketle, gelişmekte olan ülkelerde politik istikrarın ekonomik büyüme üzerine olan etkisi, konu ile ilgili tartışmaların nispeten daha yoğun tartışıldığı 1986 ile 2003 arası döneme ait veri seti kullanılarak incelenmektedir. Panel veri analizi yapılan bu sorgulamada, konu ile ilgili literatürde sıklıkla elde edilen ekonomik büyüme ve makroekonomik performans üzerinde politik istikrarın pozitif rol oynadığı sonucu teyit edilmiştir. Panel veri analizinden elde edilen diğer bir bulgu ise veri seti içerisinde yer alan 19 gelişmekte olan ülke temelinde, tahmin edilen ülke etki katsayılarının çoğu Asya ülkeleri için genellikle pozitif, buna karşılık Latin Amerika ülkeleri için negatif bulunmasıdır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

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Kaynakça

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