Araştırma Makalesi
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İnovasyonun İstihdam Düzeyine Etkisi: Türkiye İçin Bir ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 30 Sayı: 51, 33 - 52, 31.01.2022
https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.01.02

Öz

Teknolojik ilerlemelerin ivme kazanması ile birlikte iktisadi literatürde inovasyon ve istihdam ilişkisinin yönü ve boyutları konusunda birçok araştırma yapılmıştır. Yapılan araştırmalardan elde edilen sonuçlar, inovasyon ve istihdam ilişkisi bakımından araştırmacılar arasında tam bir fikir birliğine ulaşılmadığını göstermektedir. Bu çalışmada Türkiye ekonomisi ekseninde inovasyon faaliyetlerinin istihdam düzeyi üzerindeki etkileri ARDL Sınır Testi yöntemi kullanılarak araştırılmıştır. Değişkenlere ilişkin yıllık veriler 1990-2018 dönemini kapsamaktadır. Araştırma sonuçlarına göre, yüksek teknolojili ürün ihracatı, Ar-Ge harcamaları, işletme sayısındaki değişim parametreleri istihdam düzeyine pozitif katkı yapmaktadır. Buna karşılık, beklentilerin aksine, yurt içi patent başvuru miktarı istihdam düzeyini negatif etkiler görünmektedir.

Kaynakça

  • Akel, V. & S. Gazel (2014), “Döviz Kurları ile BIST Sanayi Endeksi Arasındaki Eşbütünleşme İlişkisi: Bir ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı”, Erciyes University Journal of Faculty of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 44, 23-41.
  • Antonucci, T. & M. Pianta (2002), “Employment Effects of Product and Process Innovation in Europe”, International Review of Applied Economics, 16(3), 295-307.
  • Asteriou, D. & S. Hall (2007), Applied Econometrics: A Modern Approach, Palgrave Macmillan Pub., New York. Berman, E. et al. (1994), “Changes in The Demand for Skilled Labour within U.S. Manufacturing Industries: Evidence from Annual Survey of Manufacturing”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(2), 367-397.
  • Blien, U. & O. Ludewig (2017), “Technological Progress and (Un) employment Development”, IZA Discussion Paper Series, <http://ftp.iza.org/dp10472.pdf>, 16.07.2019.
  • Cirera, X. & L. Sabetti (2016), “The Effects of Innovation on Employment in Developing Countries: Evidence from Enterprise Surveys”, The World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, <http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24857>, 16.07.2019.
  • Crespi. G. & E. Tacsir (2011), “Effects of Innovation on Employment in Latin America”, MPRA Paper No. 35429, <https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/35429/1/MPRA_paper_35429.pdf>, 12.07.2019.
  • Dachs, B. & B. Peters (2013), “Innovation, Employment Growth, and Foreign Ownership of Firms: A European Perspective”, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 13-019, <https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/72469/1/742561240.pdf>, 24.07.2019.
  • Dalgıç, B. & B. Fazlıoğlu (2021), “Innovation and Firm Growth: Turkish Manufacturing and Services SMEs, Eurasian Business Review, 11, 395-419.
  • Dritsakis, N. (2011), “Demand for Money in Hungary: An ARDL Approach”, Review of Economics & Finance, 1, 01-16.
  • Esen, E. et al. (2012), “Feldstein-Horioka Hipotezinin Türkiye Ekonomisi için Sınanması: ARDL Modeli Uygulaması”, Eskişehir Osmangazi University Journal of Economics and Administrative Science, 7(1), 251-267.
  • Evangelista, R. & M. Savona (2003), “Innovation, Employment and Skills in Services. Firm and Sectoral Evidence”, Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 14, 449-474.
  • Fatukasi, B. et al. (2015), “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Macroeconomic Relationships in Nigeria”, European Journal of Business and Management, 7(8), 26-34.
  • Fazlıoğlu, B. et al. (2019), “The Effect of Innovation on Productivity: Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Firms”, Industry and Innovation, 26 (4), 439-460.
  • Frey, C.B. & M.A. Osborne (2013), “The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Jobs Are to Computerization?”, University of Oxford, <https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/ downloads/academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf>, 20.06.2019.
  • Garcia, A. et al. (2004), “Innovation and Jobs: Evidence from Manufacturing Firms“, MPRA Paper 1204, <https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/1204/1/ MPRA_paper_1204.pdf>, 24.06.2019.
  • Gül-Gökdoğan, T. (2014), “Türkiye İçin İstihdamın Belirleyicileri: İBBS-2 Bölge Düzeyi, Mekânsal Analiz Uygulaması”, Dokuz Eylül University Journal of Faculty of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 29(1), 105-135.
  • Halicioglu, F. (2007), “The Demand for New Housing in Turkey: An Application of ARDL Model”, Global Business and Economics Review, 9(1), 62-74.
  • Harrison, R. et al. (2008), “Does Innovation Stimulate Employment? A Firm-Level Analysis Using Comparable Micro-Data from Four European Countries”, NBER Working Paper No: 14216, <https://www.nber.org/papers/w14216.pdf>, 18.06.2019.
  • İğdeli, A. (2019), “Ar-Ge ve Eğitim Harcamalarının Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği”, Manas Social Studies Journal, 8(3), 2517-2538.
  • Jenkins, R. (2008), “Trade, Technology and Employment in South Africa”, Journal of Development Studies, 44(1), 60-79.
  • Jung, S. et al. (2016), “Study on The Effect of Innovation on Employment Structure and Economic Growth: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach”, EcoMod, 9524, <http://ecomod.net/system/files/ Yeo.ecomod16_yeo_160430.pdf>, 20.06.2019.
  • Kang, K.-H. (2007), “Technological Innovation and Employment”, Bank of Korea Economic Papers, No. 9(2), <https://www.bok.or.kr/viewer/skin/doc.html?fn=FILE_201803300852120061.pdf&rs=/webview/result/E0000729/200701>, 22.10.2021.
  • Karabulut, A.T. (2015), “Effects of Innovation Types on Performance of Manufacturing Firms in Turkey”, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 195, 1355-1364.
  • Massini, A.M. (2016), “Innovation and Employment: The case of Brazil”, Lund University, Department of Economic History, Master Thesis, <http://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/record/8883088>, 18.06.2019.
  • Mastrostefano, V. & M. Pianta (2009), “Technology and Jobs”, Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 18(8), 729-741.
  • Matuzeviciute, K. et al. (2017), “Do Technological Innovations Affect Unemployment? Some Empirical Evidence from European Countries”, Economies, 5(4), 1-19.
  • Mehta, S. (2016), “Innovation and Employment: A Study of Indian Manufacturing Sector”, Millennial Asia, 7(2), 184-206.
  • Meriküll, J. (2008), “The Impact of Innovation on Employment: Firm- and Industry-level Evidence from Estonia”, Bank of Estonia Working Paper Series, <http://www.eestipank.ee/sites/eestipank.ee/files/publication/en/WorkingPapers/2008/_wp_108.pdf>, 21.07.2019.
  • OECD (2020), Database, <https://stats.oecd.org/>, 02.07. 2020.
  • Onoja, A.O. et al. (2017), “Econometric Analysis of Short-Run and Long-Run Determinants of Agricultural Value Addition in Africa”, Agrosearch, 17(1), 26-43.
  • Peluffo, A. & E. Silva (2018), “Innovation, Employment and Skills”, 35th IARIW General Conference, <http://www.iariw.org/copenhagen/peluffo.pdf>, 25.07.2019.
  • Pesaran, M.H. et al. (2001), “Bound Testing Approaches to The Analysis of Level Relationship”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 289-326.
  • Piva, M. & M. Vivarelli (2005), “Innovation and Employment: Evidence from Italian Microdata”, Journal of Economics, 86(1), 65-83.
  • Piva, M. & M. Vivarelli (2017), “Technological Change and Employment: Were Ricardo and Marx Right?”, IZA Discussion Paper, No.10471, <http://ftp.iza.org/dp10471.pdf>, 25.07.2019.
  • Sinclair, P.J.N. (1981), “When will Technical Progress Destroy Jobs?”, Exford Economic Papers, 31, 1-18.
  • Skousen, M. (2016), İktisadi Düşünce Tarihi: Modern İktisadın İnşası, [The Making of Modern Economics] 7th ed. (trans. M. Acar, E. Erdem & M. Toprak), Ankara: Adres Publications.
  • Tarı, R. (2006), Ekonometri, 4th ed., Kocaeli Univ, Publications, Kocaeli.
  • TUIK (2020), “Konularına Göre İstatistikler”, <http://www.tuik.gov.tr>, 24.06.2020.
  • Üçdoğruk, Y. (2006), “Employment Impact of Product and Process Innovations in Turkey”, Ege Academic Review, 6(1), 93-105.
  • Vivarelli, M, (2007), “Innovation and Employment: A Survey”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 2621, <http://anon-ftp.iza.org/dp2621.pdf>, 20.06.2019.
  • Vivarelli, M. (2014), “Innovation, Employment and Skills in Advanced and Developing Countries: A Survey of the Literature,” Journal of Economic Issues, 48(1). 123-154.
  • World Bank (2020), Data, <https://data.worldbank.org/>, 28.06.2020.

The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 30 Sayı: 51, 33 - 52, 31.01.2022
https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.01.02

Öz

Since the acceleration of technological advancements, many studies have been done in the economics literature on the direction and extent of the relationship between innovation and employment. The findings of these studies indicate that there is no unanimity among the researchers on an innovation-employment relationship. Based on annual data for the 1990-2018 period, this paper investigates the effect of innovation on employment in the Turkish economy using the ARDL bounds testing approach. The results obtained from the analysis show that exports of high-tech products, R&D expenditures, and changes in the number of firms positively affect employment, whereas, contrary to expectations, the number of domestic patent applications seems to affect it negatively.

Kaynakça

  • Akel, V. & S. Gazel (2014), “Döviz Kurları ile BIST Sanayi Endeksi Arasındaki Eşbütünleşme İlişkisi: Bir ARDL Sınır Testi Yaklaşımı”, Erciyes University Journal of Faculty of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 44, 23-41.
  • Antonucci, T. & M. Pianta (2002), “Employment Effects of Product and Process Innovation in Europe”, International Review of Applied Economics, 16(3), 295-307.
  • Asteriou, D. & S. Hall (2007), Applied Econometrics: A Modern Approach, Palgrave Macmillan Pub., New York. Berman, E. et al. (1994), “Changes in The Demand for Skilled Labour within U.S. Manufacturing Industries: Evidence from Annual Survey of Manufacturing”, The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(2), 367-397.
  • Blien, U. & O. Ludewig (2017), “Technological Progress and (Un) employment Development”, IZA Discussion Paper Series, <http://ftp.iza.org/dp10472.pdf>, 16.07.2019.
  • Cirera, X. & L. Sabetti (2016), “The Effects of Innovation on Employment in Developing Countries: Evidence from Enterprise Surveys”, The World Bank Policy Research Working Paper Series, <http://hdl.handle.net/10986/24857>, 16.07.2019.
  • Crespi. G. & E. Tacsir (2011), “Effects of Innovation on Employment in Latin America”, MPRA Paper No. 35429, <https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/35429/1/MPRA_paper_35429.pdf>, 12.07.2019.
  • Dachs, B. & B. Peters (2013), “Innovation, Employment Growth, and Foreign Ownership of Firms: A European Perspective”, ZEW Discussion Paper No. 13-019, <https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/72469/1/742561240.pdf>, 24.07.2019.
  • Dalgıç, B. & B. Fazlıoğlu (2021), “Innovation and Firm Growth: Turkish Manufacturing and Services SMEs, Eurasian Business Review, 11, 395-419.
  • Dritsakis, N. (2011), “Demand for Money in Hungary: An ARDL Approach”, Review of Economics & Finance, 1, 01-16.
  • Esen, E. et al. (2012), “Feldstein-Horioka Hipotezinin Türkiye Ekonomisi için Sınanması: ARDL Modeli Uygulaması”, Eskişehir Osmangazi University Journal of Economics and Administrative Science, 7(1), 251-267.
  • Evangelista, R. & M. Savona (2003), “Innovation, Employment and Skills in Services. Firm and Sectoral Evidence”, Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, 14, 449-474.
  • Fatukasi, B. et al. (2015), “Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Macroeconomic Relationships in Nigeria”, European Journal of Business and Management, 7(8), 26-34.
  • Fazlıoğlu, B. et al. (2019), “The Effect of Innovation on Productivity: Evidence from Turkish Manufacturing Firms”, Industry and Innovation, 26 (4), 439-460.
  • Frey, C.B. & M.A. Osborne (2013), “The Future of Employment: How Susceptible Jobs Are to Computerization?”, University of Oxford, <https://www.oxfordmartin.ox.ac.uk/ downloads/academic/The_Future_of_Employment.pdf>, 20.06.2019.
  • Garcia, A. et al. (2004), “Innovation and Jobs: Evidence from Manufacturing Firms“, MPRA Paper 1204, <https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/1204/1/ MPRA_paper_1204.pdf>, 24.06.2019.
  • Gül-Gökdoğan, T. (2014), “Türkiye İçin İstihdamın Belirleyicileri: İBBS-2 Bölge Düzeyi, Mekânsal Analiz Uygulaması”, Dokuz Eylül University Journal of Faculty of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 29(1), 105-135.
  • Halicioglu, F. (2007), “The Demand for New Housing in Turkey: An Application of ARDL Model”, Global Business and Economics Review, 9(1), 62-74.
  • Harrison, R. et al. (2008), “Does Innovation Stimulate Employment? A Firm-Level Analysis Using Comparable Micro-Data from Four European Countries”, NBER Working Paper No: 14216, <https://www.nber.org/papers/w14216.pdf>, 18.06.2019.
  • İğdeli, A. (2019), “Ar-Ge ve Eğitim Harcamalarının Ekonomik Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkisi: Türkiye Örneği”, Manas Social Studies Journal, 8(3), 2517-2538.
  • Jenkins, R. (2008), “Trade, Technology and Employment in South Africa”, Journal of Development Studies, 44(1), 60-79.
  • Jung, S. et al. (2016), “Study on The Effect of Innovation on Employment Structure and Economic Growth: A Computable General Equilibrium Approach”, EcoMod, 9524, <http://ecomod.net/system/files/ Yeo.ecomod16_yeo_160430.pdf>, 20.06.2019.
  • Kang, K.-H. (2007), “Technological Innovation and Employment”, Bank of Korea Economic Papers, No. 9(2), <https://www.bok.or.kr/viewer/skin/doc.html?fn=FILE_201803300852120061.pdf&rs=/webview/result/E0000729/200701>, 22.10.2021.
  • Karabulut, A.T. (2015), “Effects of Innovation Types on Performance of Manufacturing Firms in Turkey”, Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 195, 1355-1364.
  • Massini, A.M. (2016), “Innovation and Employment: The case of Brazil”, Lund University, Department of Economic History, Master Thesis, <http://lup.lub.lu.se/student-papers/record/8883088>, 18.06.2019.
  • Mastrostefano, V. & M. Pianta (2009), “Technology and Jobs”, Economics of Innovation and New Technology, 18(8), 729-741.
  • Matuzeviciute, K. et al. (2017), “Do Technological Innovations Affect Unemployment? Some Empirical Evidence from European Countries”, Economies, 5(4), 1-19.
  • Mehta, S. (2016), “Innovation and Employment: A Study of Indian Manufacturing Sector”, Millennial Asia, 7(2), 184-206.
  • Meriküll, J. (2008), “The Impact of Innovation on Employment: Firm- and Industry-level Evidence from Estonia”, Bank of Estonia Working Paper Series, <http://www.eestipank.ee/sites/eestipank.ee/files/publication/en/WorkingPapers/2008/_wp_108.pdf>, 21.07.2019.
  • OECD (2020), Database, <https://stats.oecd.org/>, 02.07. 2020.
  • Onoja, A.O. et al. (2017), “Econometric Analysis of Short-Run and Long-Run Determinants of Agricultural Value Addition in Africa”, Agrosearch, 17(1), 26-43.
  • Peluffo, A. & E. Silva (2018), “Innovation, Employment and Skills”, 35th IARIW General Conference, <http://www.iariw.org/copenhagen/peluffo.pdf>, 25.07.2019.
  • Pesaran, M.H. et al. (2001), “Bound Testing Approaches to The Analysis of Level Relationship”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16, 289-326.
  • Piva, M. & M. Vivarelli (2005), “Innovation and Employment: Evidence from Italian Microdata”, Journal of Economics, 86(1), 65-83.
  • Piva, M. & M. Vivarelli (2017), “Technological Change and Employment: Were Ricardo and Marx Right?”, IZA Discussion Paper, No.10471, <http://ftp.iza.org/dp10471.pdf>, 25.07.2019.
  • Sinclair, P.J.N. (1981), “When will Technical Progress Destroy Jobs?”, Exford Economic Papers, 31, 1-18.
  • Skousen, M. (2016), İktisadi Düşünce Tarihi: Modern İktisadın İnşası, [The Making of Modern Economics] 7th ed. (trans. M. Acar, E. Erdem & M. Toprak), Ankara: Adres Publications.
  • Tarı, R. (2006), Ekonometri, 4th ed., Kocaeli Univ, Publications, Kocaeli.
  • TUIK (2020), “Konularına Göre İstatistikler”, <http://www.tuik.gov.tr>, 24.06.2020.
  • Üçdoğruk, Y. (2006), “Employment Impact of Product and Process Innovations in Turkey”, Ege Academic Review, 6(1), 93-105.
  • Vivarelli, M, (2007), “Innovation and Employment: A Survey”, IZA Discussion Paper No. 2621, <http://anon-ftp.iza.org/dp2621.pdf>, 20.06.2019.
  • Vivarelli, M. (2014), “Innovation, Employment and Skills in Advanced and Developing Countries: A Survey of the Literature,” Journal of Economic Issues, 48(1). 123-154.
  • World Bank (2020), Data, <https://data.worldbank.org/>, 28.06.2020.
Toplam 42 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Mustafa Acar 0000-0002-7426-6747

Erşan Sever 0000-0003-0220-5571

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 28 Ocak 2022
Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Ocak 2022
Gönderilme Tarihi 12 Temmuz 2020
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022 Cilt: 30 Sayı: 51

Kaynak Göster

APA Acar, M., & Sever, E. (2022). The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey. Sosyoekonomi, 30(51), 33-52. https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.01.02
AMA Acar M, Sever E. The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey. Sosyoekonomi. Ocak 2022;30(51):33-52. doi:10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.01.02
Chicago Acar, Mustafa, ve Erşan Sever. “The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey”. Sosyoekonomi 30, sy. 51 (Ocak 2022): 33-52. https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.01.02.
EndNote Acar M, Sever E (01 Ocak 2022) The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey. Sosyoekonomi 30 51 33–52.
IEEE M. Acar ve E. Sever, “The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey”, Sosyoekonomi, c. 30, sy. 51, ss. 33–52, 2022, doi: 10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.01.02.
ISNAD Acar, Mustafa - Sever, Erşan. “The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey”. Sosyoekonomi 30/51 (Ocak 2022), 33-52. https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.01.02.
JAMA Acar M, Sever E. The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey. Sosyoekonomi. 2022;30:33–52.
MLA Acar, Mustafa ve Erşan Sever. “The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey”. Sosyoekonomi, c. 30, sy. 51, 2022, ss. 33-52, doi:10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2022.01.02.
Vancouver Acar M, Sever E. The Effect of Innovation on Employment: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach for Turkey. Sosyoekonomi. 2022;30(51):33-52.