Türkiye İçin Ekonomik Yapısal Reform Ölçüm Yöntemlerinin Geliştirilmesi ve Büyüme Üzerindeki Etkilerinin İncelenmesi

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 32 Sayı: 59, 405 - 432, 31.01.2024

Ömer Yalçınkaya , Vedat Kaya , Gökhan Erkal

https://doi.org/10.17233/sosyoekonomi.2024.01.18

Öz

Bu çalışmada, IMF-MONA (Monitoring of Fund Arrangements) programı sınıflandırmaları eşliğinde ekonomik yapısal reformların Türkiye için tanımlanması, 1990-2021 döneminde Türkiye Cumhuriyeti Cumhurbaşkanlığı Resmî Gazete arşivinden ölçümlenmesi ve ekonomik büyüme üzerindeki etkilerinin BF-ARDL modeliyle incelenmesi amaçlanmıştır. Çalışmada Cobb-Douglas üretim fonksiyonunun genişletilmesine dayanan ekonometrik modellerin çözümlenmesi sonucunda, gerçekleştirilen reformların Türkiye’nin büyümesi üzerinde finansal, mali ve reel sektörlerde pozitif/anlamlı ve ticari sektörde ise pozitif/anlamsız etkilere sahip olduğu belirlenmiştir. Bu sonuçlar, inceleme döneminde Türkiye’de gerçekleştirilen reformların büyümeyi desteklediğini göstermekte ve güçlendirilerek sürdürülebilmesinde önemli bir potansiyele sahip olduğuna işaret etmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

IMF-MONA, Yapısal Reformlar, Büyüme, BF-ARDL, Türkiye

Destekleyen Kurum

TÜBİTAK-SOBAG

Proje Numarası

121k526

Teşekkür

Bu çalışma, Türkiye Bilimsel ve Teknolojik Araştırma Kurumu (TÜBİTAK) tarafından 121K526 nolu proje kapsamında desteklenmektedir.

Development of Economic Structural Reform Measurement Methods for Türkiye and Examining the Effects on Growth

Öz

This study aims to define the economic structural reforms for Türkiye accompanied by the IMF-MONA program classifications, to measure them from the Official Gazette archive of the Presidency of the Republic of Türkiye in the period 1990-2021 and to examine their effects on economic growth with the BF-ARDL model. As a result of analysing the econometric models based on the expansion of the Cobb-Douglas production function in the study, it has been determined that the reforms carried out have positive/meaningful effects on Türkiye’s growth in the financial, fiscal and real sectors and positive/meaningless in the trade sector. These results show that the reforms carried out in Türkiye support growth and indicate that it has a significant potential to be sustained and strengthened.

Anahtar Kelimeler

IMF-MONA, Structural Reforms, Growth, BF-ARDL, Türkiye

Proje Numarası

121k526

Kaynakça

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