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Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review

Cilt: 12 Sayı: 1 28 Haziran 2026
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Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review

Öz

This paper provides a systematic review of theoretical approaches to agricultural land valuation and land rental market mechanisms in agricultural policy-oriented agent-based models (ABMs). Four valuation methodologies are examined: the Net Present Value Model, the Hedonic Price Model, the Shadow Price Approach, and the Willingness to Pay/Accept framework. A systematic review and harmonized elasticity analysis of 25 hedonic price studies across 17 countries, in which coefficients from heterogeneous hedonic models are converted into comparable elasticity measures using reported sample means, identifies lot size, soil quality, and distance to town as the most frequently significant determinants of farmland values. The computed elasticities indicate that a 1% increase in soil quality produces an average 0.214% increase in farmland price. The comparative analysis of five ABMs reveals that all current models are restricted to land rental operations, with none permitting purchase and sale transactions. The review identifies a gap in the integration of hedonic land characteristics into ABM price formation mechanisms, as most models rely on shadow prices adjusted for transportation costs. The findings highlight the need for incorporating land sales markets and hedonic attributes into future agent-based land market simulations.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Farmland Price, Hedonic Price Model, Land Price in ABM

Destekleyen Kurum

European Union Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme (Grant Agreement No. 816078 – AGRICORE Project)

Proje Numarası

Avrupa Birliği Horizon 2020 Araştırma ve Yenilik Programı kapsamında 816078 numaralı hibe anlaşmasıyla finanse edilen AGRICORE projesinin D5.2 numaralı raporu

Etik Beyan

This study does not require ethics committee approval as it is a review article based entirely on published literature and does not involve any primary data collection from human or animal subjects.

Kaynakça

  1. Andriy, P. (2016). Hedonic price modeling of agricultural land valuation in Ukraine. European Journal of Economics and Management Sciences, (1), 58-61.
  2. Arslan, A. (2011). Shadow vs. market prices in explaining land allocation: Subsistence maize cultivation in rural Mexico. Food Policy, 36(5), 606-614.
  3. Bastian, C. T., McLeod, D. M., Germino, M. J., Reiners, W. A., & Blasko, B. J. (2002). Environmental amenities and agricultural land values: A hedonic model using geographic information systems data. Ecological Economics, 40(3), 337-349.
  4. Berger, T. (2001). Agent-based spatial models applied to agriculture: A simulation tool for technology diffusion, resource use changes and policy analysis. Agricultural Economics, 25(2-3), 245-260.
  5. Bert, F. E., Podesta, G. P., Rovere, S. L., Menendez, A. N., North, M., Tatara, E., Laciana, C. E., Weber, E., & Toranzo, F. R. (2010). Agent-based modeling of a rental market for agricultural land in the Argentine Pampas. In Proceedings of the 2010 International Environmental Modeling and Software Society Conference.
  6. Borchers, A., Ifft, J., & Kuethe, T. (2014). Linking the price of agricultural land to use values and amenities. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 96(5), 1307-1320.
  7. Chakir, R., & Lungarska, A. (2017). Agricultural rent in land-use models: Comparison of frequently used proxies. Spatial Economic Analysis, 12(2-3), 279-303.
  8. Curry, S. (1987). Introduction to shadow (or accounting) prices. Project Appraisal, 2(1), 64-66.
  9. Curtiss, J., Jelinek, L., Hruska, M., Medonos, T., & Vilhelm, V. (2013). The effect of heterogeneous buyers on agricultural land prices: The case of the Czech land market. German Journal of Agricultural Economics, 62(2), 116-133.
  10. Dupraz, P., & Temesgen, C. (2012). Farmland rental rate and marginal return to land: A French FADN perspective (Technical report).

Kaynak Göster

APA
Arslan, S., Uysal, P., Koç, A., Bayaner, A., & Çağatay, S. (2026). Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review. Tarım Ekonomisi Araştırmaları Dergisi, 12(1), 237-251. https://doi.org/10.61513/tead.1900624
AMA
1.Arslan S, Uysal P, Koç A, Bayaner A, Çağatay S. Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review. TEAD. 2026;12(1):237-251. doi:10.61513/tead.1900624
Chicago
Arslan, Sedat, Peyman Uysal, Ali Koç, Ahmet Bayaner, ve Selim Çağatay. 2026. “Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review”. Tarım Ekonomisi Araştırmaları Dergisi 12 (1): 237-51. https://doi.org/10.61513/tead.1900624.
EndNote
Arslan S, Uysal P, Koç A, Bayaner A, Çağatay S (01 Haziran 2026) Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review. Tarım Ekonomisi Araştırmaları Dergisi 12 1 237–251.
IEEE
[1]S. Arslan, P. Uysal, A. Koç, A. Bayaner, ve S. Çağatay, “Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review”, TEAD, c. 12, sy 1, ss. 237–251, Haz. 2026, doi: 10.61513/tead.1900624.
ISNAD
Arslan, Sedat - Uysal, Peyman - Koç, Ali - Bayaner, Ahmet - Çağatay, Selim. “Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review”. Tarım Ekonomisi Araştırmaları Dergisi 12/1 (01 Haziran 2026): 237-251. https://doi.org/10.61513/tead.1900624.
JAMA
1.Arslan S, Uysal P, Koç A, Bayaner A, Çağatay S. Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review. TEAD. 2026;12:237–251.
MLA
Arslan, Sedat, vd. “Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review”. Tarım Ekonomisi Araştırmaları Dergisi, c. 12, sy 1, Haziran 2026, ss. 237-51, doi:10.61513/tead.1900624.
Vancouver
1.Sedat Arslan, Peyman Uysal, Ali Koç, Ahmet Bayaner, Selim Çağatay. Theoretical Foundation of Agricultural Land Price and Agent-Based Models: A Literature Review. TEAD. 01 Haziran 2026;12(1):237-51. doi:10.61513/tead.1900624