Suudi Arabistan Krallığında İthal Meyvelerin Talep Esnekliği

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 7 Sayı: 1, 1 - 13, 28.06.2021

Mohammed Sanusi Sadıq Invinder Paul Sıngh Muhammad Makarfi Ahmad

Öz

Mevcut araştırma, otuz sekiz yıllık (1979-2017) bir dönem için yayılan zaman serisi verilerini kullanarak Suudi Arabistan Krallığı'ndaki ithal meyvelere olan talebi tahmin etmektedir. Veriler FAO ve UNCTAD veri tabanlarından elde edilmiş olup elma, muz, üzüm, portakal, ananas ve çilek için ithalat miktar ve değerlerini kapsamaktadır. Toplanan veriler, tanımlayıcı istatistikler ve Lineer Yaklaşık İdeal Talep Sistemi (LA / AIDS) modeli kullanılarak analiz edilmiştir. Elde edilen bulgulara göre ortalama bütçe payının elmada, marjinal bütçe payının ise portakalda en yüksek olduğu görülmüştür. Ampirik kanıtlar, elma, muz ve üzümün normal mallar olduğunu, portakal, ananas ve çileğin ise lüks mallar olduğunu göstermiştir. Ayrıca, telafi edilmemiş çapraz fiyat esnekliklerinin telafi edilmiş çapraz fiyat esneklikleri üzerindeki yüksek değerlerinden de anlaşılacağı üzere, gelir etkisinin ithal meyvelere olan talebi etkilemede fiyattan daha güçlü bir etki yarattığı tespit edilmiştir. Bu nedenle çalışma, ülkenin bu meyveleri, özellikle de gerekli olanları, dövizini en üst düzeye çıkarmak ve turizm nüfusu akışından yararlanmak için yoğun yerel üretime başlaması gerektiğini önermektedir. Böylelikle ülke ekonomisi, meyve ihraç eden pazarlardan gelen noksanlıkların bir sonucu olarak ortaya çıkabilecek her türlü pazarlama şokunu absorbe edebilecektir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Talep, İthal meyveler, LA/AIDS, Suudi Arabistan

Demand Elasticity of Imported Fruits in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

Öz

The present research estimated the demand for imported fruits in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia using time series data that spanned for a period of thirty-eight years (1979-2017). The data were sourced from the FAO and UNCTAD databases and they covered import quantities and values for apple, banana, grape, orange, pineapple and straw berry. The collected data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and Linear Approximate Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) model. Based on the findings it was observed that apple has the highest average budget share while orange has the highest marginal budget share. The empirical evidence showed that all the fruit commodities are normal goods with apple, banana and grape been necessities while orange, pineapple and straw berry were luxuries. Furthermore, it was established that income effect waxed stronger effect than price in influencing demand for imported fruit commodities as evidenced from the high values of uncompensated cross-price elasticities over the compensated cross-price elasticities. Therefore, the study recommends that the country should embark on intensive local production of these fruit commodities especially the necessary ones so as to maximize their foreign exchange and take advantage of tourism population influx. By so doing the economy of the nation will be able to absorb any marketing shocks which might arise as a result of market imperfection from fruit exporting markets.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Demand, Imported fruits, LA/AIDS, Saudi Arabia

Kaynakça

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