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KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 26 Sayı: 2, 369 - 380, 03.08.2022

Öz

Tüm dünyada üretim ve işgücü piyasaları üzerinde önemli etkileri bulunan 2008 küresel krizi negatif etkilerini Amerika Birleşik Devletlerinden sonra büyük ölçüde Avrupa ülkeleri üzerinde göstermiştir. Söz konusu etkiler, işgücü piyasasının en zayıf halkalarından olan genç bireyler açısından daha olumsuz olmuştur. Bu çalışmanın amacı küresel krizin genç işsizliği üzerindeki etkilerini 32 Avrupa ülkesi ve 2000-2018 dönemi için panel veri analizi yöntemini kullanarak analiz etmektir. Bu konuda literatürdeki çalışmalar oldukça sınırlı olduğundan ve çalışma ile konu kapsamlı biçimde ele alındığından, bu çalışma ilgili alanda öncü bir çalışma olarak görülebilir. Çalışma kapsamında gerçekleştirilen ampirik analiz, Avrupa’da genç işsizlik oranının küresel krizden sonra yaklaşık 3,75 yüzdelik puanlık pozitif bir değişim gösterdiğini ortaya koymaktadır. Büyüme oranı, enflasyon oranı ve dışa açıklık genç işsizliği ile olumsuz yönde bir ilişki sergilemektedir. Son olarak cinsiyete göre analiz edildiğinde, çalışma, bölgedeki genç erkeklerin krizden genç kadınlara kıyasla daha fazla etkilendiğini açığa çıkarmaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Breusch, T. & Pagan, A. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its application to model specification in econometrics. Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239–253.
  • Bruno, G.S.F., Marelli, E.& Signorelli, M. (2014). The rise of NEET and youth unemployment in EU regions after the crisis. Comparative Economic Studies, 56(4), 592-615.
  • Bruno, G.S.F., Choudhry Tanveer, M.C., Marelli, E.& Signorelli, M. (2017). The short- and long-run impacts of financial crises on youth unemployment in OECD countries. Applied Economics, 49(34), 3372-3394.
  • Choudhry, M.T., Marelli, E.& Signorelli, M. (2012). Youth unemployment rate and impact of financial crises. International Journal of Manpower, 33(1), 76-95.
  • Demidova, O.& Signorelli, M. (2010). The impact of crises on youth unemployment of Russian regions: an empirical analysis. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pia/wpaper/78-2010.html
  • EUROSTAT, 2019a. Eurostat database. (Access date:22/08/2019) https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?dataset=lfsa_urgan&lang=en
  • EUROSTAT, 2019b. Statistics on young people neither in employment nor in education or training (Access date:22/08/2019) https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statisticsexplained/index.php/Statistics_on_young_people_neither_in_employment_nor_in_education_or_training#NEETs:_analysis_by_sex_and_age
  • EUROSTAT, 2019c. Eurostat database. (Access date:02/09/2019) https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database
  • Hsiao C. (2014). Analysis of panel data. New York: Cambridge University Press.
  • Hernanz, V.& Jimeno, J.F. (2017). Youth unemployment in the EU. Retrieved from https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/CESifo-Forum-2017-2-hernaz-jimeno-youth-unemployment-june.pdf ILO, (2017). Global employment trends for youth 2017, paths to a better working future. Retrieved from https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---dgreports/---dcomm/---publ/documents/publication/wcms_598669.pdf
  • ILO,(2006). Global employment trends for youth. Retrieved from https://www.ilo.org/empelm/pubs/WCM_041929/lang--en/index.htm
  • ILOSTAT(2019). ILO database (Access date: 02/09/2019) Retrieved from https://ilostat.ilo.org/resources/methods/description-unemployment-rate/
  • Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H. & Shin Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115 (1), 53–74.
  • Junankar, P.N.R. (2014). The impact of the global financial crisis on youth labour markets (Discussion paper No. 8400) Retrieved from https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2492427##
  • Maddala, G. S. & Shaowen W. (1999). A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Special issue, 631-652.
  • Marelli, E., Choudhry, M.T.& Signorelli, M. (2013). Youth and total unemployment rate: the impact of policies and institutions. Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali , 121 (1), 63-86.
  • OECD, (2019). Youth not in employment, education or training (NEET). Retrieved from https://data.oecd.org/youthinac/youth-not-in-employment-education-or-training-neet.htm
  • OECD, (2018). Education at a glance 2018, OECD indicators. Paris: OECD Publishing.
  • O’Higgins, N. (2012). This time it’s different? Youth labour markets during the great recession. Comparative Economic Studies, 54 (2), 395–412.
  • Pesaran, M.H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22 (2), 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. H., (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels. Retrieved from http://ftp.iza.org/dp1240.pdf
  • Putun, M. (2017). Investigation of the linkages connected to chronıc level of youth unemployment: inefficiencies in European labour markets (and) institutions. International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies, 9 (1): 115-131.
  • Sironi, M. (2018). Economic conditions of young adults before and after the great recession. Journal of Family and Economic Issues, 39 (1): 103–116.
  • Valle R.C., Normandeau S., Gonzalez, G.R. (2015). Education at a glance interim report: update of employment and educational attainment indicators. Retrieved from http://www.oecd.org/education/EAG-Interim-report.pdf.
Yıl 2022, Cilt: 26 Sayı: 2, 369 - 380, 03.08.2022

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Breusch, T. & Pagan, A. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its application to model specification in econometrics. Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239–253.
  • Bruno, G.S.F., Marelli, E.& Signorelli, M. (2014). The rise of NEET and youth unemployment in EU regions after the crisis. Comparative Economic Studies, 56(4), 592-615.
  • Bruno, G.S.F., Choudhry Tanveer, M.C., Marelli, E.& Signorelli, M. (2017). The short- and long-run impacts of financial crises on youth unemployment in OECD countries. Applied Economics, 49(34), 3372-3394.
  • Choudhry, M.T., Marelli, E.& Signorelli, M. (2012). Youth unemployment rate and impact of financial crises. International Journal of Manpower, 33(1), 76-95.
  • Demidova, O.& Signorelli, M. (2010). The impact of crises on youth unemployment of Russian regions: an empirical analysis. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/p/pia/wpaper/78-2010.html
  • EUROSTAT, 2019a. Eurostat database. (Access date:22/08/2019) https://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?dataset=lfsa_urgan&lang=en
  • EUROSTAT, 2019b. Statistics on young people neither in employment nor in education or training (Access date:22/08/2019) https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statisticsexplained/index.php/Statistics_on_young_people_neither_in_employment_nor_in_education_or_training#NEETs:_analysis_by_sex_and_age
  • EUROSTAT, 2019c. Eurostat database. (Access date:02/09/2019) https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database
  • Hsiao C. (2014). Analysis of panel data. New York: Cambridge University Press.
  • Hernanz, V.& Jimeno, J.F. (2017). Youth unemployment in the EU. Retrieved from https://www.ifo.de/DocDL/CESifo-Forum-2017-2-hernaz-jimeno-youth-unemployment-june.pdf ILO, (2017). Global employment trends for youth 2017, paths to a better working future. Retrieved from https://www.ilo.org/wcmsp5/groups/public/---dgreports/---dcomm/---publ/documents/publication/wcms_598669.pdf
  • ILO,(2006). Global employment trends for youth. Retrieved from https://www.ilo.org/empelm/pubs/WCM_041929/lang--en/index.htm
  • ILOSTAT(2019). ILO database (Access date: 02/09/2019) Retrieved from https://ilostat.ilo.org/resources/methods/description-unemployment-rate/
  • Im, K. S., Pesaran, M. H. & Shin Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115 (1), 53–74.
  • Junankar, P.N.R. (2014). The impact of the global financial crisis on youth labour markets (Discussion paper No. 8400) Retrieved from https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2492427##
  • Maddala, G. S. & Shaowen W. (1999). A comparative study of unit root tests with panel data and a new simple test. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Special issue, 631-652.
  • Marelli, E., Choudhry, M.T.& Signorelli, M. (2013). Youth and total unemployment rate: the impact of policies and institutions. Rivista Internazionale di Scienze Sociali , 121 (1), 63-86.
  • OECD, (2019). Youth not in employment, education or training (NEET). Retrieved from https://data.oecd.org/youthinac/youth-not-in-employment-education-or-training-neet.htm
  • OECD, (2018). Education at a glance 2018, OECD indicators. Paris: OECD Publishing.
  • O’Higgins, N. (2012). This time it’s different? Youth labour markets during the great recession. Comparative Economic Studies, 54 (2), 395–412.
  • Pesaran, M.H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22 (2), 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. H., (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels. Retrieved from http://ftp.iza.org/dp1240.pdf
  • Putun, M. (2017). Investigation of the linkages connected to chronıc level of youth unemployment: inefficiencies in European labour markets (and) institutions. International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies, 9 (1): 115-131.
  • Sironi, M. (2018). Economic conditions of young adults before and after the great recession. Journal of Family and Economic Issues, 39 (1): 103–116.
  • Valle R.C., Normandeau S., Gonzalez, G.R. (2015). Education at a glance interim report: update of employment and educational attainment indicators. Retrieved from http://www.oecd.org/education/EAG-Interim-report.pdf.
Toplam 24 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

H. İşil Alkan

Abreg Sinan Çelem 0000-0002-2692-1604

Yayımlanma Tarihi 3 Ağustos 2022
Gönderilme Tarihi 8 Aralık 2019
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2022 Cilt: 26 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Alkan, H. İ., & Çelem, A. S. (2022). KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ. Türkiye Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 26(2), 369-380.
AMA Alkan Hİ, Çelem AS. KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ. Türkiye Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi. Ağustos 2022;26(2):369-380.
Chicago Alkan, H. İşil, ve Abreg Sinan Çelem. “KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ”. Türkiye Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi 26, sy. 2 (Ağustos 2022): 369-80.
EndNote Alkan Hİ, Çelem AS (01 Ağustos 2022) KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ. Türkiye Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi 26 2 369–380.
IEEE H. İ. Alkan ve A. S. Çelem, “KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ”, Türkiye Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, c. 26, sy. 2, ss. 369–380, 2022.
ISNAD Alkan, H. İşil - Çelem, Abreg Sinan. “KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ”. Türkiye Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi 26/2 (Ağustos 2022), 369-380.
JAMA Alkan Hİ, Çelem AS. KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ. Türkiye Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi. 2022;26:369–380.
MLA Alkan, H. İşil ve Abreg Sinan Çelem. “KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ”. Türkiye Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, c. 26, sy. 2, 2022, ss. 369-80.
Vancouver Alkan Hİ, Çelem AS. KÜRESEL KRİZ GENÇ İŞSİZLİĞİNİ NASIL ETKİLEDİ? AVRUPA BÖLGESİ ÜZERİNE BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ. Türkiye Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi. 2022;26(2):369-80.