YEŞİL DÖNÜŞÜMÜN EMEK PAYI ÜZERİNDEKİ ASİMETRİK ETKİLERİ: G-20 VE G-7 EKONOMİLERİ ÜZERİNE KARŞILAŞTIRMALI BİR PANEL VERİ ANALİZİ

Öz

Bu çalışma, küresel iklim krizleriyle mücadeleye yönelik makroekonomik dinamikleri ele alarak, yeşil dönüşümün G-20 ve G-7 ülkelerinde 1991-2021 dönemi için emeğin GSYİH içindeki payı üzerindeki etkilerini incelemektedir. Yenilenebilir enerji tüketiminin etkisi; küreselleşme, beşerî sermaye ve işsizlik kontrol edilerek ikinci nesil panel veri teknikleriyle değerlendirilmiştir. Sonuçlar, ticari açıklığın emeğin pazarlık gücünü zayıflatarak her iki ülke grubunda da emek gelir payını anlamlı ölçüde düşürdüğünü göstermektedir. Ancak, yenilenebilir enerji tüketiminin etkisi istatistiksel olarak anlamsız kalmıştır. Katsayı işaretleri G-20 ve G-7 arasında asimetrik eğilimler sergilese de, bu genel anlamsızlık durumu ortalama etkinin nötr olduğuna işaret etmektedir. Bulgular, altta yatan yapısal heterojenliğin etkiyi dengelemesi nedeniyle, yeşil dönüşümün emek piyasalarını yapısal olarak dönüştürecek teknolojik olgunluk eşiğine henüz ulaşmadığını göstermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Yeşil Dönüşüm
• Emek Gelir Payı
• G-20 ve G-7 Ekonomileri
• CCEMG Tahmincisi
• Gelir Bölüşümü

Destekleyen Kurum

Hiçbir kurum tarafından destek alınmamıştır.

Etik Beyan

Bu çalışmada Penn World Table ve Dünya Bankası gibi açık erişimli veri tabanlarından elde edilen ikincil veriler kullanılmıştır. Çalışma, insan veya hayvan denekler üzerinde herhangi bir anket, mülakat veya deneysel uygulama içermediğinden dolayı etik kurul izni alınmasına gerek duyulmamıştır. Araştırma ve yayın etiği kurallarına tam olarak uyulmuştur. Bunula birlikte, bu çalışmanın, özgün bir çalışma olduğunu; çalışmanın hazırlık, veri toplama, analiz ve bilgilerin sunumu olmak üzere tüm aşamalarından bilimsel etik ilke ve kurallarına uygun davrandığımı; bu çalışma kapsamında elde edilmeyen tüm veri ve bilgiler için kaynak gösterdiğimi ve bu kaynaklara kaynakçada yer verdiğimi; kullanılan verilerde herhangi bir değişiklik yapmadığımı, çalışmanın Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE)' in tüm şartlarını ve koşullarını kabul ederek etik görev ve sorumluluklara riayet ettiğimi beyan ederim. Herhangi bir zamanda, çalışmayla ilgili yaptığım bu beyana aykırı bir durumun saptanması durumunda, ortaya çıkacak tüm ahlaki ve hukuki sonuçlara razı olduğumu bildiririm.

THE ASYMMETRIC EFFECTS OF THE GREEN TRANSITION ON THE LABOR INCOME SHARE: A COMPARATIVE PANEL DATA ANALYSIS OF G-20 AND G-7 ECONOMIES

Öz

This study examines the macroeconomic dynamics related to addressing global climate crises and investigates the effects of the green transition on the labor income share of GDP in G-20 and G-7 countries for the period 1991–2021. The impact of renewable energy consumption was assessed using second-generation panel data techniques, controlling for globalization, human capital, and unemployment. The results demonstrate that trade openness significantly reduces the labor income share in both country groups by weakening labor's bargaining power. However, the impact of renewable energy consumption remained statistically insignificant. Although the coefficient signs exhibit asymmetric tendencies between the G-20 and G-7, this overall insignificance indicates a neutral average effect. The findings suggest that the green transition has yet to attain the technological maturity threshold required to structurally transform labor markets, as underlying structural heterogeneity offsets the impact.

Anahtar Kelimeler

• Green Transition
• Labor Income Share
• G-20 and G-7 Economies
• CCEMG Estimator
• Income Distribution

Destekleyen Kurum

No funding was received from any organization.

Etik Beyan

This study utilized secondary data obtained from open-access databases such as the Penn World Table and the World Bank. Since the study did not involve any surveys, interviews, or experimental procedures on human or animal subjects, no approval from an ethics committee was required. The study fully complied with research and publication ethics guidelines. Furthermore, I declare that this is an original study; that I have acted in accordance with scientific ethical principles and rules throughout all stages of the study, including preparation, data collection, analysis, and presentation of information; that I have cited all data and information not obtained within the scope of this study and have cited them in the reference list; I have not made any alterations to the data used; and I hereby declare that I have adhered to all ethical duties and responsibilities by accepting all terms and conditions of the Committee on Publication Ethics (COPE). I hereby declare that, should any situation contrary to this declaration regarding the study be identified at any time, I accept all moral and legal consequences that may arise.

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