Transdinyester Sorunu: Doğu Avrupa’da Yeni Jeopolitik Fay Hattı mı?

Yıl 2025, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 2, 264 - 287, 29.12.2025

Halit Hamzaoğlu

https://izlik.org/JA68WN96FL

Öz

Makalenin amacı, Transdinyester sorununun Doğu Avrupa’daki jeopolitik gelişmelere etkisini ayrıntılı bir şekilde analiz etmektir. Bu bağlamda Transdinyester sorununun tarihsel ve güncel yönleri değerlendirmeye tabi tutulmuştur. Makalede tarihsel analiz yöntemi kullanılmıştır. Transdinyester sorunu jeopolitik etkenler bağlamında çerçevelendirilmiştir. Soruna taraf olan ve muhtelif düzeyde soruna angaje olan aktörlerin tutumları ve argümanları mukayeseli bir şekilde karşılaştırılmıştır. Transdinyester sorunu Post-Sovyet coğrafyadaki “donmuş çatışmalara” tipik bir örnek teşkil etmektedir. Bu çerçevede Transdinyester sorunu Doğu Avrupa’daki jeopolitik fay hatlarını derinden etkileyecek bir potansiyele sahiptir. Rusya-Ukrayna savaşı, Transdinyester sorununa yeni bir boyut kazandırmıştır. Savaşın ilk yılında Rusya’nın Transdinyester’de yeni bir cephe açması gündeme gelmiştir. Daha sonraki süreçte ise Ukrayna’nın Rusya’yı zor durumda bırakmak için Transdinyester’e saldırma ihtimali belirmiştir. 1 Ocak 2025 tarihinden itibaren Rusya’nın Ukrayna üzerinden gaz geçişini durdurması, bölgede geniş ölçekli enerji krizinin oluşmasına neden olmuştur.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Avrupa Birliği , Moldova , Rusya , Transdinyester , Ukrayna

The Transnistrian Conflict: A New Geopolitical Fault Line in Eastern Europe?

https://izlik.org/JA68WN96FL

Öz

The purpose of this article is to analyze in detail the impact of the Transnistria issue on geopolitical developments in Eastern Europe. In this context, the historical and current aspects of the Transnistria issue have been evaluated. The article employs a historical analysis method. The Transnistria issue has been framed within the context of geopolitical factors. The attitudes and arguments of the actors involved in the conflict and engaged in the issue at various levels have been compared in a comparative manner. The Transnistria conflict is a typical example of “frozen conflicts” in the post-Soviet geography. In this context, the Transnistria conflict has the potential to deeply affect the geopolitical fault lines in Eastern Europe. The Russia-Ukraine war has added a new dimension to the Transnistria issue. In the first year of the war, Russia’s opening of a new front in Transnistria came to the fore. In the subsequent process, the possibility of Ukraine attacking Transnistria to put Russia in a difficult position emerged. Russia’s suspension of gas transit through Ukraine as of January 1, 2025, has caused a large-scale energy crisis in the region.

Anahtar Kelimeler

European Union , Moldova , Russia , Transnistria , Ukraine

Kaynakça

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