THE RELATIVE SENSITIVITIES ANALYSIS BETWEEN THE ECONOMIC GROWTH RATE AND SELECTED MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES: TURKEY CASE

Yıl 2015, , 381 - 396, 20.06.2015

Dilek Sürekçi Yamaçlı

https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.26511

Cited By: 1

Öz

The aim of this study is the investigation of the relations between the selected macroeconomic variables and the economic growth rate for the period of 1987-2010 in Turkey. Relative Sensitivities Analyasis (RSA) was used to accomplish this aim. This statistical method is used for examining the relationships between variables in the over time. According to the results of study, consumption budget balance has higher relative sensitivity on the economic growth rate than the other variables. On the other hand, changes in the stock of external debt and current account deficit have no effect on the economic growth rate, expect periods of 1991, 1994, 2001 and 2008-2009. In this context, for the stabilization of the economic growth rate, especially consumption expenditure and budget deficit should be considered

Anahtar Kelimeler

Economic Growth, Macro Models, Relative Sensitivities Analysis

EKONOMİK BÜYÜME ORANI VE SEÇİLMİŞ MAKROEKONOMİK DEĞİŞKENLER ARASINDA BAĞIL DUYARLILIK ANALİZİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Öz

Bu çalıĢmanın amacı bazı makroekonomik göstergeler ile ekonomik büyüme arasındaki iliĢkileri,1987-
2010 dönemi Türkiye için incelemektir. Bu amaçla Bağıl Duyarlılık Analizi kullanılmıĢtır. Bu istatistiksel
yöntem değiĢkenler arasındaki iliĢkileri, zaman içindeki değiĢimleri dikkate alarak, kapsamlı biçimde
incelemektedir. ÇalıĢmanın sonuçlarına göre, tüketim harcamaları ve bütçe dengesinin ekonomik büyüme
üzerinde diğer değiĢkenlere göre bağıl duyarlılığı yüksektir. Öte yandan, dıĢ borç stoku ve cari açıktaki
değiĢimler ile ekonomik büyüme arasında, 1991, 1994, 2001 ve 2008-2008 dönemleri dıĢında, bağıl duyarlılık zayıftır. Bu kapsamda, ekonomik büyüme hızının istikrar kazanmasında özellikle tüketim harcamaları ve bütçe dengesine kontrol edilmelidir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekonomik Büyüme, Makro Modeller, Bağıl Duyarlılık Analizi

Kaynakça

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