TURİZM GELİRLERİNE YÖNELİK BİR YAKINSAMA ANALİZİ

Yıl 2015, Sayı: 15, 0 - , 20.06.2015

Kurtuluş Bozkurt Ozan Bahar

https://doi.org/10.18092/ijeas.14404

Cited By: 1

Öz

Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’nin uluslararası turizm sektöründe hem en yakın rakipleri olan hem de Türkiye’nin de içerisinde yer aldığı dünyanın en gelişmiş dokuz turizm ekonomisi ile Türkiye arasında herhangi bir yakınsama sürecinin olup olmadığını araştırmak ve turizm ekonomisi anlamında turizm-yakınsama ilişkisini ortaya koymaktır. Bu bağlamda; 1995-2009 dönemini kapsayan bir panel veri seti oluşturulmuş ve söz konusu ülkelerin turist sayısı başına düşen turizm gelirlerinin yakınsaması Panel Birim Kök analizi kapsamında sınanmaya çalışılmıştır. Yapılan analizler sonucunda Türkiye’nin diğer ülkelerle olan yakınsama sürecinin reddedilemediği, buna karşın bireysel birim kök süreci dikkate alındığında, test tekniklerine göre ufak farklılıklar gösterse de genel anlamda Türkiye’nin ABD, Fransa, İspanya ve Çin ile yakınsama süreci içerisinde olduğunun reddedilemediği sonucuna ulaşılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler: Yakınsama Hipotezi, Turizm Gelirleri, Panel Veri Analizi

JEL Sınıflandırması: L83, E00, C23

 

CONVERGENCE ANALYSIS FOR THE TOURISM RECEIPT

 

Abstract

The aim of this study is to examine whether there is a convergence relationship process or not between Turkey, one of the ten most developed tourism economies in the world, and other nine tourism economies which are also Turkey’s major competitors in international tourism sector and to reveal the relationship between tourism and convergence in terms of tourism economy. In this respect, this study forms a panel data set for the term 1995-2009 and tests the convergence of subject countries international tourism receipts per international visitor arrivals within the framework of Panel Unit Root Analysis. Results of the analysis show that it is not possible to deny the convergence process between Turkey and the subject countries concerning the common unit root process. Despite the minor differences occurred due to different test techniques, when the individual unit root process is considered, it is concluded that it is not possible to deny Turkey’s general convergence process with USA, France, Spain and China.

Keywords: Convergence Hypothesis, Tourism Receipts, Panel Data Analysis

JEL Classification: L83, E00, C23

 

Anahtar Kelimeler

Yakınsama Hipotezi, Turizm Gelirleri, Panel Veri Analizi

Kaynakça

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